玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.67-1.58-2.347.46-6.892.06N/A-
2024/90.68-2.26-3.286.79-7.312.110.86-
2024/80.7-4.1-1.936.1-7.742.20.82-
2024/70.73-4.8-13.515.4-8.452.340.78-
2024/60.77-8.61-17.94.67-7.62.410.67-
2024/50.844.2-6.423.91-5.272.690.6-
2024/40.81-23.24-12.843.07-4.952.40.67-
2024/31.0590.7427.942.26-1.792.260.85-
2024/20.55-17.34-28.181.22-18.21.871.03-
2024/10.670.91-7.60.67-7.62.090.92-
2023/120.66-13.92-33.889.44-16.982.110.86-
2023/110.7711.11-16.388.78-15.362.160.84-
2023/100.69-2.53-34.358.01-15.262.110.86-
2023/90.71-0.9-43.997.32-12.872.260.89-
2023/80.71-15.42-44.246.62-7.372.490.81-
2023/70.84-9.63-20.085.90.672.670.76-
2023/60.934.161.045.065.222.750.84-
2023/50.9-2.942.64.136.222.640.87-
2023/40.9212.6725.783.237.272.510.92-
2023/30.827.077.062.311.32.311.22-
2023/20.776.3427.831.49-1.612.481.13-
2023/10.72-27.78-20.980.72-20.982.631.07-
2022/121.08.85-2.7911.3730.052.960.88-
2022/110.92-12.768.1910.3734.423.230.81-
2022/101.05-16.8441.959.4637.653.590.73-
2022/91.26-1.3668.588.4137.143.60.84今年受惠歐美市場需求增加,上半年缺料訂單遞延效應,及專案出貨所致。
2022/81.2821.2360.567.1432.763.260.93今年受惠歐美市場需求增加,上半年缺料訂單遞延效應,及專案出貨所致。
2022/71.0614.2622.945.8627.922.851.06-
2022/60.925.7726.174.8129.072.531.08-
2022/50.8718.9720.753.8829.782.371.15-
2022/40.73-4.094.113.0132.662.11.3-
2022/30.7727.8414.82.2845.542.281.19-
2022/20.6-34.2644.641.5168.42.541.07去年同期受疫情影響訂單減少,今年受惠歐美區訂單迴流成長。
2022/10.91-11.1788.790.9188.792.780.97去年同期受疫情影響訂單減少,今年受惠歐美區訂單迴流成長。
2021/121.0321.1676.838.7443.82.610.83去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成⻑。
2021/110.8514.4650.437.7240.312.340.93去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成⻑。
2021/100.74-1.2478.856.8739.162.290.95去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成⻑。
2021/90.75-6.0559.16.1335.532.40.94去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成⻑。
2021/80.8-7.1753.045.3832.792.390.95去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成長。
2021/70.8617.2657.934.5829.82.310.98去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成長。
2021/60.731.2220.753.7224.682.160.85-
2021/50.722.5774.432.9925.692.10.88去年受疫情影響訂單減少,今年歐美區訂單成長。
2021/40.715.7544.912.2715.41.791.03-
2021/30.6761.0621.761.565.691.561.02-
2021/20.41-14.2-12.520.9-3.741.481.08-
2021/10.48-16.795.320.485.321.630.98-
2020/120.583.07-6.996.08-21.31.560.8-
2020/110.5636.07-15.615.5-22.551.450.86-
2020/100.41-12.15-36.514.94-23.271.410.88-
2020/90.47-9.62-33.114.52-21.781.540.96-
2020/80.52-4.21-10.234.05-20.211.670.89-
2020/70.54-10.339.13.53-21.51.570.95-
2020/60.6146.22-1.732.99-25.311.510.89-
2020/50.41-14.78-47.552.38-29.611.450.92-
2020/40.49-11.13-31.891.97-24.141.510.89-
2020/30.5515.7-19.351.48-21.21.480.87-
2020/20.473.3-8.580.93-22.241.560.83-
2020/10.46-26.52-32.640.46-32.641.750.74-
2019/120.62-6.48-11.237.7222.110.0N/A-
2019/110.672.375.397.126.270.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.672023/10.722022/10.912021/10.482020/10.46
2024/20.552023/20.772022/20.62021/20.412020/20.47
2024/31.052023/30.822022/30.772021/30.672020/30.55
2024/40.812023/40.922022/40.732021/40.712020/40.49
2024/50.842023/50.92022/50.872021/50.722020/50.41
2024/60.772023/60.932022/60.922021/60.732020/60.61
2024/70.732023/70.842022/71.062021/70.862020/70.54
2024/80.72023/80.712022/81.282021/80.82020/80.52
2024/90.682023/90.712022/91.262021/90.752020/90.47
2024/100.672023/100.692022/101.052021/100.742020/100.41
N/AN/A2023/110.772022/110.922021/110.852020/110.56
N/AN/A2023/120.662022/121.02021/121.032020/120.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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