玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)7517.1927.12-0.02-125.096.0-0.07-800.065.00.16-15.79115.380.57-41.84-34.4818.57-19.365.07-7.39-312.3647.14-2.65-149.7292.19-0.04-233.3366.67-0.02-140.093.33-2.49-134.3992.01-2.65-149.7292.19-22.41-76.14-333.33
24Q2 (19)641.5914.290.08-27.27142.110.01133.33108.330.1972.73137.250.98-2.971.0323.0127.2799.393.48700.0140.235.33-21.27148.680.03400.0137.50.05-28.57145.457.24-15.72166.05.33-21.27148.68-1.49128.03-2.08
24Q1 (18)6316.6761.540.11283.33132.35-0.03-137.582.350.11110.28132.351.010.02.0218.08-13.37308.13-0.58-111.6595.986.77303.92150.0-0.01-120.092.860.07333.33153.858.59312.1160.626.77303.92150.08.04185.661.25
23Q4 (17)54-8.4738.46-0.0688.080.650.08140.0188.89-1.07-2.886.961.0116.09-12.1720.8785.51149.944.98135.62167.12-3.3290.2268.50.05141.67155.56-0.0390.075.0-4.0587.065.94-3.3290.2268.52.89-37.5836.66
23Q3 (16)595.3651.28-0.50-163.16-194.12-0.20-66.67-5.26-1.04-103.92-22.350.87-10.310.011.25-2.5192.64-13.98-61.6211.91-33.95-210.05-340.91-0.12-50.014.29-0.3-172.73-328.57-31.15-183.96-320.38-33.95-210.05-340.91-6.17-59.52-18.63
23Q2 (15)5643.5943.59-0.1944.1251.28-0.1229.4140.0-0.51-50.025.00.97-2.02-16.3811.54160.5243.45-8.6540.142.87-10.9519.1316.09-0.0842.8655.56-0.1115.3826.67-10.9722.5826.96-10.9519.1316.09-7.9617.22-29.74
23Q1 (14)390.02.63-0.34-9.68-21.43-0.17-88.8941.38-0.3470.43-21.430.99-13.91-13.914.43-46.95592.19-14.44-94.6126.1-13.54-28.46-46.22-0.14-55.5639.13-0.13-8.33-18.18-14.17-19.18-42.41-13.54-28.46-46.229.13-46.02-18.13
22Q4 (13)390.021.88-0.31-82.3522.5-0.0952.6352.63-1.15-35.2940.11.1532.18-9.458.3542.9880.35-7.4253.2535.59-10.54-36.88-3.74-0.0935.7140.0-0.12-71.437.69-11.89-60.46-8.58-10.54-36.88-3.743.59-12.9728.82
22Q3 (12)390.018.18-0.1756.4159.52-0.195.0-11.76-0.85-25.044.440.87-25.0-18.695.8473.815.04-15.87-4.82-15.59-7.7041.039.51-0.1422.226.67-0.0753.3350.0-7.4150.6748.15-7.7041.039.51-12.068.5618.02
22Q2 (11)392.6334.48-0.39-39.29-30.0-0.2031.03-185.71-0.68-142.8644.261.160.877.413.36425.0-68.86-15.1422.52-131.85-13.05-40.93-58.95-0.1821.74-157.14-0.15-36.36-66.67-15.02-50.95-52.64-13.05-40.93-58.95-4.29-4.64-10.80
22Q1 (10)3818.7531.03-0.2830.069.57-0.29-52.636.45-0.2885.4269.571.15-9.45-10.850.64-86.18145.07-19.54-69.628.22-9.268.8655.95-0.23-53.3314.81-0.1115.3859.26-9.959.1359.72-9.268.8655.954.6217.38-32.20
21Q4 (9)32-3.0310.34-0.404.76-1100.0-0.19-11.76-2000.0-1.92-25.49-900.01.2718.69-32.454.63-16.73-68.13-11.5216.1-1394.38-10.1620.19-1947.27-0.150.0-850.0-0.137.14-1400.0-10.9523.37-1290.22-10.1620.19-1947.278.88-17.62-77.31
21Q3 (8)3313.7913.79-0.42-40.0-244.83-0.17-142.86-312.5-1.53-25.41-828.571.07-0.93-31.415.56-48.47-72.72-13.73-110.26-362.02-12.73-55.05-334.87-0.15-114.29-287.5-0.14-55.56-275.0-14.29-45.22-312.02-12.73-55.05-334.87-8.6113.70-32.72
21Q2 (7)290.00.0-0.3067.39-350.0-0.0777.42-158.33-1.22-32.61-1425.01.08-16.28-29.8710.79859.86-38.62-6.5369.33-199.24-8.2160.94-461.67-0.0774.07-170.0-0.0966.67-400.0-9.8460.16-432.43-8.2160.94-461.67-23.83-1166.31-1561.29
21Q1 (6)290.00.0-0.92-2400.0-360.0-0.31-3200.0-342.86-0.92-483.33-360.01.29-31.3819.44-1.42-109.77-111.59-21.29-2492.13-402.12-21.02-3921.82-294.37-0.27-1450.0-440.0-0.27-2800.0-350.0-24.70-2784.78-418.91-21.02-3921.82-294.37-5.43-1243.11-1643.75
20Q4 (5)290.00.00.04-86.21133.330.01-87.500.2414.29-66.671.8820.5149.2114.53-28.73.560.89-83.02256.00.55-89.85120.520.02-75.000.01-87.5133.330.92-86.35141.070.55-89.85120.52--0.00
20Q3 (4)290.00.00.29141.670.00.08-33.330.00.21362.50.01.561.30.020.3815.930.05.24-20.360.05.42138.770.00.08-20.00.00.08166.670.06.74127.70.05.42138.770.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)290.00.00.12160.00.00.12271.430.0-0.0860.00.01.5442.590.017.5843.510.06.58255.190.02.27142.590.00.1300.00.00.03150.00.02.96162.180.02.27142.590.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)290.00.0-0.20-66.670.0-0.0700.0-0.20-127.780.01.08-14.290.012.25-12.690.0-4.24-1796.00.0-5.33-98.880.0-0.0500.0-0.06-100.00.0-4.76-112.50.0-5.33-98.880.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)290.00.0-0.120.00.00.000.00.00.720.00.01.260.00.014.030.00.00.250.00.0-2.680.00.000.00.0-0.030.00.0-2.240.00.0-2.680.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.3127.55-4.052.86-9.180.65N/A部份九月出貨,因颱風影響,延至第四季
2024/90.13-39.33-52.242.56-9.740.570.51九月下旬颱風接近台灣,導致貨櫃船期延後,出貨延宕至十月上旬
2024/80.22-0.76-30.762.43-5.150.630.46越南因非洲豬瘟撲殺病豬,影響飼料廠庫存去化,目前已逐步開始復育
2024/70.2216.26-21.332.21-1.560.80.36越南因非洲豬瘟,撲殺病豬,致飼料廠上半年庫存去化遲緩
2024/60.19-51.88-31.841.991.230.980.34越南非洲豬瘟疫情再起,撲殺大量病豬,上半年飼料廠庫存未能全數去化,導致出貨量受影響
2024/50.39-1.6218.651.86.651.140.29本月單月營收及年度累積營收均較去年同期有所成長
2024/40.415.928.781.413.731.010.332024年4月單月營收及年度累積營收均較去年同期有所成長
2024/30.3427.9-7.161.011.871.010.28母公司營收雖較去年成長,但漳州廠今年停業,致單月合併營收不如去年同期。惟今年第一季合併營收較去年同期增長。
2024/20.27-32.52-19.50.677.251.020.28二月份因春節假期,工作天數較短,營收較去年同期衰退。惟一二月累計營收仍較去年同期成長。
2024/10.413.8838.270.438.271.090.26台灣廠營收已逐步成長,且去年同期因春節假期因素,一月工作天數較短,基期較低,致營收成長幅度較高
2023/120.352.23-5.243.84-11.341.010.2中國經濟持續惡化,子公司已停業,合併營收較去年同期減少,但台灣母公司營運已漸好轉
2023/110.349.23-5.473.49-11.910.930.21中國市場持續惡化,子公司已停業,合併營收較去年同期減少,台灣母公司已轉虧為盈
2023/100.3113.26-25.083.15-12.560.90.22中國市場持續低迷,漳州子公司已停止營運,合併營收雖較去年同期減少,然而台灣母公司已轉虧為盈
2023/90.28-12.040.962.84-10.920.870.2中國經濟持續低迷,影響子公司營運,台灣母公司業績雖有起色,合併營收仍較去年下滑
2023/80.3112.7627.732.56-12.040.870.2中國經濟持續低迷,影響子公司營運,台灣母公司業績雖有起色,合併營收仍較去年下滑
2023/70.280.73-20.372.25-15.710.890.19中國經濟持續低迷,影響大陸子公司上半年業績,合併營收較去年下滑
2023/60.28-16.232.011.97-15.010.970.31因應原料成本逐步下滑,客戶訂單緩步回升,惟仍需時間以回到去年同期狀況
2023/50.33-9.8-4.531.69-17.271.070.28反映原料成本上漲,調高產品售價,致訂單量較去年同期減少。
2023/40.37-1.07-32.521.36-19.871.070.28反映原料成本上漲,調高產品售價,致訂單量較去年同期減少。
2023/30.3710.9-31.340.99-13.910.990.45原料仍處於高檔,客戶下單延遲,營收不如預期。
2023/20.3315.9125.840.621.40.990.45因應原料成本波動,調高客戶報價,致營收較去年成長
2023/10.29-21.95-17.230.29-17.231.020.44本月因逢農曆年工作天數較少,故營收較去年同期減少。
2022/120.371.99-16.334.34-7.861.150.46受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/110.36-13.42-0.853.97-6.981.050.5受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/100.4252.63-9.253.6-7.550.940.56受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/90.2711.27-12.583.19-7.330.870.32受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/80.25-29.7-41.342.91-6.80.870.32受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/70.3529.053.912.67-1.430.970.29受新冠肺炎影響,導致 1.海運貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕 2.原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲 以致累計營收不如預期
2022/60.27-21.63.122.32-2.21.160.35受新冠肺炎影響,導致 1.海運貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕 2.原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲 以致累計營收不如預期
2022/50.35-36.25-26.652.04-2.861.430.29受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨,營收減少。
2022/40.540.6657.851.74.011.350.3美元匯率升值,營收較去年同期增加。
2022/30.54103.2723.541.15-10.371.150.29受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率影響,累計營收較去年度減少。
2022/20.27-23.7642.860.61-27.81.060.32受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2022/10.35-21.11-47.570.35-47.571.160.29受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/120.4420.87-26.724.71-22.231.270.3受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/110.37-20.76-40.624.26-21.741.140.33受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/100.4647.02-29.93.9-19.331.190.32受新冠肺炎影響及美金匯率貶值,導致營收較去年同期減少。
2021/90.31-25.33-41.643.44-17.671.070.57受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/80.4224.54-4.533.12-14.131.020.6受新冠肺炎影響及美金匯率貶值導致營收減少。
2021/70.3428.07-41.642.7-15.451.070.57受新冠肺炎及美金匯率貶值導致營收減少
2021/60.26-44.24-52.262.37-9.671.080.59受新冠肺炎影響及美金匯率貶值導致營收減少。
2021/50.4737.190.442.11.671.250.51-
2021/40.34-21.21-33.691.632.030.970.66-
2021/30.44135.0518.81.2919.211.290.23-
2021/20.19-72.02-63.560.8519.421.450.21110年2月因農曆年關係,外銷客戶為避開農曆年前後港口塞港嚴重之現象,因而110年2月營收較少,惟本年仍較去年成長19.42%。
2021/10.6610.26229.080.66229.081.880.16訂單增加營收亦增加。
2020/120.6-2.0674.676.05-6.391.880.3109年12月訂單增加致本月營收增加,但因受美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,今年度營收較去年減少。
2020/110.62-6.4523.85.45-10.961.810.31因受美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,今年度營收較去年減少。
2020/100.6622.3957.574.83-14.041.640.34因原料豆粉價格看漲,客戶下單量增加,故本月營收成長。
2020/90.5422.143.084.18-19.781.560.26因受新冠肺炎全球大流行之影響,客戶下單趨保守,且美金對新台幣匯率下滑,致今年度營收較去年減少。
2020/80.44-23.87-35.443.64-22.331.570.26受到新冠肺炎全球大流行之影響,客戶下單趨保守,且美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/70.584.77-6.463.2-20.091.60.26受到新冠肺炎全球大流行之影響,客戶下單趨保守,且美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/60.5517.3-8.812.62-22.581.540.2-
2020/50.47-9.43-30.142.07-25.581.360.23-
2020/40.5241.15-12.721.6-24.121.40.22-
2020/30.37-27.9-28.751.08-28.611.080.28-
2020/20.51152.651.180.71-28.531.060.28-
2020/10.2-41.47-58.980.2-58.981.040.29本月淡季除外農曆年較早,主要銷售地區越南客戶為避開農曆年前1-2周港口塞港非常嚴重之現象.故避開農曆年前出貨
2019/120.35-30.58-32.566.473.810.0N/A-
2019/110.519.062.756.127.060.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)5438.46-1.070-0.4103.84-11.5212.08170.85-7.790-14.830-0.30-0.560-0.570
2022 (9)3921.88-1.150-0.7704.34-7.864.46-3.04-14.410-10.300-0.620-0.490-0.450
2021 (8)3210.34-1.920-0.7204.71-22.154.60-71.95-13.550-13.270-0.640-0.720-0.620
2020 (7)290.00.24-66.670.15-59.466.05-6.4916.40-18.252.54-58.021.19-63.720.15-61.540.12-62.50.07-66.67
2019 (6)297.410.72-22.580.3719.356.473.8520.066.536.0520.523.28-18.810.3925.810.32-5.880.21-16.0
2018 (5)273.850.93-14.680.31-24.396.2310.8518.83-12.665.02-31.234.04-18.880.31-24.390.34-10.530.25-10.71
2017 (4)268.331.09-60.650.41-54.955.62-22.721.56-6.267.30-36.414.98-47.020.41-50.60.38-54.220.28-58.82
2016 (3)244.352.774.140.91-5.217.27-9.6923.0012.4111.486.899.4021.60.83-3.490.837.790.689.68
2015 (2)234.552.6600.96209.688.050.3720.4667.1610.74193.447.73116.530.86196.550.77120.00.62113.79
2014 (1)22-85.140.0000.3155.08.028.9712.2403.6603.5700.2952.630.35105.880.29123.08

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