玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.6116.48-2.019.2316.436.6N/A1.077.25-
2024/92.2427.94111.9216.6219.984.920.380.876.18國際鋅價上漲。
2024/81.7588.8414.4814.3812.385.490.340.545.32-
2024/70.93-66.98-39.1512.6312.095.380.350.34.77-
2024/62.8170.9250.9111.720.117.030.231.224.48國際鋅價上漲。
2024/51.64-36.19-11.418.8912.845.970.270.663.26-
2024/42.5847.1611.27.2520.315.620.291.172.6-
2024/31.7535.452.04.6726.04.670.40.591.43今年3月氧化鋅銷貨數量較2月增加。
2024/21.29-20.7825.442.9214.35.740.330.360.84-
2024/11.63-42.056.781.636.785.530.340.480.48-
2023/122.81159.776.720.41-22.616.560.240.965.7-
2023/111.08-59.36-56.4417.6-25.874.80.320.314.73今年11月出貨數量較去年11月減少。
2023/102.66151.9135.0916.52-22.35.250.30.864.42-
2023/91.06-30.87-59.8413.85-28.164.110.440.073.56國際鋅價下跌且今年9月出貨數量較去年9月減少。
2023/81.530.35-30.0512.8-23.154.910.370.253.48-
2023/71.52-18.11-9.1411.27-22.115.240.350.393.23-
2023/61.860.32-25.189.74-23.816.030.330.472.85-
2023/51.86-19.89-41.067.88-23.485.320.380.462.37-
2023/42.32101.15-15.336.03-15.754.50.450.881.91-
2023/31.1511.74-24.53.71-16.03.710.670.251.03-
2023/21.03-32.56-44.112.56-11.525.190.480.280.78-
2023/11.53-42.045.81.5345.86.650.370.50.5-
2022/122.636.0356.026.3842.277.090.20.9810.98今年12月出貨數量較去年12月增加。
2022/112.4826.026.6623.7440.897.090.20.899.99-
2022/101.97-25.12-35.7721.2646.386.790.210.659.1-
2022/92.6320.4166.4119.2968.416.50.240.978.45國際鋅價上升。
2022/82.1930.3569.2916.6559.156.350.251.047.48國際鋅價上升。
2022/71.68-32.5722.614.4757.737.310.220.356.44國際鋅價上升。
2022/62.49-20.9576.8812.7963.888.370.221.236.09國際鋅價上漲。
2022/53.1515.0581.9910.361.037.410.251.544.87國際鋅價上漲。
2022/42.7479.3669.797.1553.266.10.31.513.32國際鋅價上漲。
2022/31.53-17.27128.64.4244.544.420.430.621.81國際鋅價上漲。
2022/21.8475.9327.82.8921.064.580.410.921.19-
2022/11.05-37.9410.781.0510.785.070.380.270.27-
2021/121.69-27.5-35.1518.5414.277.090.170.656.51-
2021/112.33-24.1122.2816.8523.736.390.190.975.87-
2021/103.07210.5898.8314.5223.965.350.231.374.9國際鋅價上漲,且今年10月出貨數量較去年10月增加。
2021/90.99-23.49-5.9611.4512.63.650.470.233.53-
2021/81.29-5.5920.8510.4614.744.070.42-
2021/71.37-2.71-10.589.1713.934.50.38-
2021/61.41-18.673.677.819.684.750.3-
2021/51.737.34102.76.423.894.010.35國際鋅價上漲且今年5月出貨數量較去年5月增加。
2021/41.61141.48-11.394.678.293.720.38-
2021/30.67-53.755.073.0622.663.060.48-
2021/21.4452.533.92.3928.684.990.3-
2021/10.95-63.6721.450.9521.455.460.27-
2020/122.636.7251.8816.22-1.726.050.16國際鋅價上漲。
2020/111.923.3877.8913.62-7.934.50.21今年11月出貨數量較去年11月增加。
2020/101.5446.8980.7711.71-14.633.660.26今年10月出貨數量較去年10月增加。
2020/91.05-1.6711.0510.17-20.963.650.44-
2020/81.07-30.15122.039.12-23.513.960.4今年8月出貨數量較去年8月增加。
2020/71.5312.79-16.748.05-29.633.740.43-
2020/61.3659.0212.966.52-32.14.030.32-
2020/50.85-53.07-50.545.16-38.543.310.39國際鋅價下跌且今年5月出貨數量較去年5月減少。
2020/41.82186.34-34.954.31-35.443.530.36-
2020/30.63-41.05-31.662.49-35.82.490.67-
2020/21.0838.32-23.381.86-37.13.570.47-
2020/10.78-54.57-49.590.78-49.593.560.47-
2019/121.7160.13-32.1916.51-23.120.0N/A-
2019/111.0725.38-4.7414.79-21.910.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.632023/11.532022/11.052021/10.952020/10.78
2024/21.292023/21.032022/21.842021/21.442020/21.08
2024/31.752023/31.152022/31.532021/30.672020/30.63
2024/42.582023/42.322022/42.742021/41.612020/41.82
2024/51.642023/51.862022/53.152021/51.732020/50.85
2024/62.812023/61.862022/62.492021/61.412020/61.36
2024/70.932023/71.522022/71.682021/71.372020/71.53
2024/81.752023/81.532022/82.192021/81.292020/81.07
2024/92.242023/91.062022/92.632021/90.992020/91.05
2024/102.612023/102.662022/101.972021/103.072020/101.54
N/AN/A2023/111.082022/112.482021/112.332020/111.9
N/AN/A2023/122.812022/122.632021/121.692020/122.6
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.98%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.1130.593.74
24Q2 (19)0.85-7.61-12.37
24Q1 (18)0.92-6.12-9.8
23Q4 (17)0.98-8.4175.0
23Q3 (16)1.0710.3122.99
23Q2 (15)0.97-4.911.49
23Q1 (14)1.0282.14-18.4
22Q4 (13)0.56-35.63-11.11
22Q3 (12)0.870.058.18
22Q2 (11)0.87-30.4107.14
22Q1 (10)1.2598.4115.74
21Q4 (9)0.6314.5523.53
21Q3 (8)0.5530.95-36.05
21Q2 (7)0.42-61.11-46.15
21Q1 (6)1.08111.7611.34
20Q4 (5)0.51-40.737.84
20Q3 (4)0.8610.260.0
20Q2 (3)0.78-19.590.0
20Q1 (2)0.97162.160.0
19Q4 (1)0.370.00.0

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