玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.27-29.72-24.831.33-21.76-10.1440.0742.0433.0868.5027.5811.5116.3618.123.0292.2035.5121.84
24Q2 (19)3.2332.92-19.251.7018.8811.1128.21-24.7724.0553.69-15.9-9.9813.85-22.67-16.2168.04-18.453.33
24Q1 (18)2.43-31.1614.081.43-29.941.5837.5045.41-12.0863.8442.88-28.9517.9155.87-30.0183.4341.45-21.96
23Q4 (17)3.5316.89-17.912.0437.84-13.9225.79-14.3521.9444.68-27.2716.1711.49-27.642.558.98-22.0621.86
23Q3 (16)3.02-24.5-25.621.48-3.27-18.6830.1132.4134.361.433.023.1615.88-3.9335.6175.6714.9124.91
23Q2 (15)4.0087.79-24.811.5351.492.022.74-46.6832.959.64-33.62-1.716.53-35.425.0465.85-38.412.0
23Q1 (14)2.13-50.47-33.851.01-57.38-9.0142.65101.6550.7189.85133.629.3225.59128.2829.5106.91120.8917.83
22Q4 (13)4.305.91-43.052.3730.2219.721.15-5.6675.3738.46-22.89-16.3511.21-4.2728.5648.40-20.11-1.85
22Q3 (12)4.06-23.6826.871.8221.3354.2422.4231.03-21.0849.88-17.78-35.3411.71-11.42-7.1460.58-6.16-34.81
22Q2 (11)5.3265.2234.011.5035.142.7417.11-39.54-25.3260.67-26.18-2.4813.22-33.15.6864.56-28.84-11.09
22Q1 (10)3.22-57.3540.01.11-43.94-13.2828.30134.66-28.5482.1978.7515.6519.76126.617.6390.7384.0-1.7
21Q4 (9)7.55135.9477.651.9867.83.1312.06-57.55-43.745.98-40.39-3.088.72-30.85-26.3549.31-46.94-13.52
21Q3 (8)3.20-19.4-0.311.18-19.18-0.8428.4124.010.2577.1424.00.712.610.8-19.3292.9327.994.05
21Q2 (7)3.9772.619.371.4614.06-20.2222.91-42.15-8.5862.21-12.4724.7712.51-31.8616.3772.61-21.3313.13
21Q1 (6)2.30-45.88-11.21.28-33.33-11.7239.6084.8712.8571.0749.8113.1918.3655.0721.9992.3061.8711.43
20Q4 (5)4.2532.40.711.9261.34-16.8821.42-24.42-0.7947.44-38.0720.4411.84-24.2513.5257.02-36.1512.82
20Q3 (4)3.21-11.570.01.19-34.970.028.3413.090.076.6053.630.015.6345.40.089.3139.160.0
20Q2 (3)3.6340.150.01.8326.210.025.06-28.580.049.86-20.590.010.75-28.570.064.18-22.520.0
20Q1 (2)2.59-38.630.01.45-37.230.035.0962.530.062.7959.410.015.0544.30.082.8363.890.0
19Q4 (1)4.220.00.02.310.00.021.590.00.039.390.00.010.430.00.050.540.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)10.56-43.267.86-7.9634.5576.1946.428.6114.9313.9766.0434.06
2022 (9)18.6151.068.549.7719.61-33.7942.74-8.9313.10-10.0949.26-20.51
2021 (8)12.326.487.78-10.5729.62-6.1546.9311.8214.578.4961.973.13
2020 (7)11.5717.588.708.2131.56-14.9641.97-7.5113.431.8260.09-13.29
2019 (6)9.84-18.08.0420.5437.1122.0345.38-17.0413.195.0269.30-4.48
2018 (5)12.00-27.186.6749.2230.4137.2954.70-33.0512.56-29.7572.55-15.61
2017 (4)16.48-19.844.47-9.3322.1524.7981.7010.4117.88-10.8285.9719.9
2016 (3)20.561.634.93-45.0417.75-1.6174.0081.9120.0530.5371.7065.36
2015 (2)20.23-0.258.97-47.2418.040.2240.6889.5615.36-36.6943.36185.26
2014 (1)20.28017.00018.00021.46024.26015.200

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