玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.49-16.0-7.436.0-10.151.59N/A-
2024/90.5811.94-14.95.51-10.391.732.85-
2024/80.52-17.61-43.614.93-9.821.862.65-
2024/70.63-11.98-4.344.41-2.992.092.36-
2024/60.72-3.52-1.643.78-2.762.052.44-
2024/50.7425.464.993.07-3.022.052.43-
2024/40.59-18.16-16.392.33-5.331.63.12-
2024/30.72151.014.521.73-0.851.733.06因大陸公司3月出貨天數較2月(過年)多所致
2024/20.29-60.34-53.451.01-4.361.383.86因大陸公司年假時間較長,出貨天數變少所致
2024/10.7399.6964.390.7364.391.613.3工具機景氣稍稍回溫,建德集團全員努力的成果
2023/120.36-30.02-48.617.56-16.131.413.78-
2023/110.52-1.46-20.577.19-13.371.733.08-
2023/100.53-22.77-26.036.68-12.752.132.5-
2023/90.68-25.8313.936.15-11.392.262.39-
2023/80.9239.760.795.47-13.782.32.35-
2023/70.66-9.5-20.644.55-16.232.092.59-
2023/60.732.98-20.033.89-15.442.142.54-
2023/50.71-0.1-16.433.16-14.32.12.58-
2023/40.712.31-1.022.46-13.672.022.69-
2023/30.6911.77-34.971.75-17.911.753.21-
2023/20.6240.0743.841.06-0.981.773.18-
2023/10.44-37.57-31.070.44-31.071.83.12-
2022/120.718.1424.679.013.092.072.59-
2022/110.65-8.23-20.658.31.61.962.73-
2022/100.7118.953.487.654.092.222.41-
2022/90.6-34.38-20.796.944.152.342.13-
2022/80.9110.0332.586.347.352.651.88-
2022/70.83-8.816.015.434.022.581.93-
2022/60.917.63-1.284.63.672.471.94-
2022/50.8418.313.133.694.972.621.82-
2022/40.71-32.77-10.72.855.522.212.17-
2022/31.06147.2422.692.1312.372.132.13-
2022/20.43-32.8749.581.073.71.642.78-
2022/10.6412.91-13.990.64-13.992.032.24-
2021/120.57-31.17-29.878.7423.432.082.04-
2021/110.8219.6741.298.1730.32.271.87-
2021/100.69-8.96-3.887.3529.182.131.99-
2021/90.769.8415.086.6633.942.231.69-
2021/80.69-12.0142.845.9136.812.391.57-
2021/70.78-15.0915.585.2236.052.521.49-
2021/60.9212.4418.234.4440.432.541.39-
2021/50.822.4429.283.5247.72.481.42-
2021/40.8-7.6424.822.754.371.951.8主要係中國地區訂單回升
2021/30.87201.4384.151.971.481.90.0主要係中國地區訂單回升
2021/20.29-61.4181.591.0362.131.840.0主要係中國地區訂單回升
2021/10.74-7.9355.690.7455.692.140.0主要係中國市場訂單回升
2020/120.8138.6856.927.08-3.382.111.68主要係中國市場訂單回升
2020/110.58-18.58-4.36.27-7.941.961.82-
2020/100.729.012.445.69-8.31.851.91-
2020/90.6636.3311.984.97-10.671.810.0-
2020/80.48-28.823.264.32-13.341.940.0-
2020/70.68-13.149.173.84-16.462.090.0-
2020/60.7822.959.133.16-20.462.051.69-
2020/50.63-1.08-12.742.38-26.941.741.98-
2020/40.6436.2531.041.75-31.011.272.73-
2020/30.47197.24-52.221.11-45.861.110.0受到新冠狀病毒疫情影響,致營收衰退。
2020/20.16-66.91-53.460.64-39.951.150.0受到新冠狀病毒疫情影響,致營收衰退。
2020/10.48-7.2-33.570.48-33.571.60.0-
2019/120.52-15.42-51.047.33-38.560.0N/A受中美貿易衝突影響,致營業收入衰退。
2019/110.61-4.33-28.686.81-37.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.732023/10.442022/10.642021/10.742020/10.48
2024/20.292023/20.622022/20.432021/20.292020/20.16
2024/30.722023/30.692022/31.062021/30.872020/30.47
2024/40.592023/40.712022/40.712021/40.82020/40.64
2024/50.742023/50.712022/50.842021/50.822020/50.63
2024/60.722023/60.732022/60.912021/60.922020/60.78
2024/70.632023/70.662022/70.832021/70.782020/70.68
2024/80.522023/80.922022/80.912021/80.692020/80.48
2024/90.582023/90.682022/90.62021/90.762020/90.66
2024/100.492023/100.532022/100.712021/100.692020/100.72
N/AN/A2023/110.522022/110.652021/110.822020/110.58
N/AN/A2023/120.362022/120.712021/120.572020/120.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.26%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.365.880.0
24Q2 (19)0.3421.43-42.37
24Q1 (18)0.28-17.65-48.15
23Q4 (17)0.34-5.56-22.73
23Q3 (16)0.36-38.98-23.4
23Q2 (15)0.599.26-14.49
23Q1 (14)0.5422.73-23.94
22Q4 (13)0.44-6.38-22.81
22Q3 (12)0.47-31.88-4.08
22Q2 (11)0.69-2.8223.21
22Q1 (10)0.7124.560
21Q4 (9)0.5716.3326.67
21Q3 (8)0.49-12.50
21Q2 (7)0.56024.44

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