玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q1 (20)631.611.611.6653.73.751.21-22.44-34.241.66-73.983.755.56-4.14-17.0141.6214.6619.2919.0012.03-10.517.5990.5718.051.068.16-25.351.0556.726.0624.15108.1929.3517.5990.5718.05-5.450.75-16.65
23Q4 (19)620.01.641.08-52.21-48.081.56-10.86-36.596.3820.38-32.275.8-6.75-32.4836.30-12.0-4.316.96-29.57-24.019.23-57.17-36.120.98-34.67-48.960.67-52.48-46.8311.60-60.14-38.959.23-57.17-36.12-0.032.3659.70
23Q3 (18)620.01.642.2656.94-30.251.75130.26-9.795.3074.34-28.386.226.69-32.6841.2529.6425.0824.0858.2112.1621.5542.62-1.461.568.54-24.241.4158.43-29.1529.1030.55-2.4521.5542.62-1.46-3.1523.4735.78
23Q2 (17)620.01.641.44-10.0-46.470.76-58.7-62.563.0490.0-26.395.83-12.99-36.031.82-8.8-7.7915.22-28.31-34.3415.111.41-19.330.89-37.32-57.820.89-10.1-45.422.2919.39-17.5715.111.41-19.33-17.50-16.54-41.95
23Q1 (16)621.646.91.60-23.0812.681.84-25.267.271.60-83.0112.686.7-22.0-0.7434.89-8.0121.9921.23-4.8845.4114.903.1115.061.42-26.0443.430.99-21.4319.2818.67-1.7412.4714.903.1115.06-14.52-29.440.80
22Q4 (15)610.07.022.08-35.8139.082.4626.8211.399.4227.3208.858.59-7.0326.8837.9315.0137.3322.323.96137.1914.45-33.9399.041.92-3.03200.01.26-36.68157.1419.00-36.31104.0814.45-33.9399.04-2.80-7.6711.19
22Q3 (14)610.07.023.2420.45205.661.94-4.43117.987.4079.18237.99.241.4324.0332.98-4.4336.2821.47-7.38113.6321.8716.76161.921.98-6.16164.01.9922.09231.6729.8310.32180.6221.8716.76161.9218.2054.9540.06
22Q2 (13)615.177.022.6989.441020.832.0384.55372.094.13190.85265.499.1134.9685.9234.5120.6640.6823.1858.77201.8218.7344.63362.472.11113.13455.261.6396.391064.2927.0462.89435.4518.7344.63362.4717.3376.3361.89
22Q1 (12)581.751.751.4263.2259.551.1039.2441.031.42-53.4459.556.75-0.320.3228.603.553.4414.6055.1526.4112.9578.3734.760.9954.6952.310.8369.3962.7516.6078.339.1512.9578.3734.76-4.7222.6514.00
21Q4 (11)570.00.00.87-17.92-34.090.79-11.24-50.623.0539.27-36.066.77-9.13-8.1427.6214.13-6.829.41-6.37-38.097.26-13.05-32.150.64-14.67-42.860.49-18.33-34.679.31-12.42-20.437.26-13.05-32.1521.45161.8847.87
21Q3 (10)570.00.01.06341.67103.850.89106.98-1.112.1993.81-36.527.4552.0444.124.20-1.35-16.9510.0530.86-26.058.35106.1750.990.7597.377.140.6328.57100.010.63110.527.928.35106.1750.9919.69134.3231.06
21Q2 (9)570.00.00.24-73.03-87.880.43-44.87-77.251.1326.97-61.434.9-12.66-34.6724.53-11.28-25.517.68-33.51-64.924.05-57.86-74.20.38-41.54-76.830.14-72.55-87.615.05-57.67-76.14.05-57.86-74.2-18.27-52.80-48.06
21Q1 (8)570.00.00.89-32.58-6.320.78-51.2523.810.89-81.34-6.325.61-23.8839.927.65-6.71-3.3911.55-24.01-18.039.61-10.19-29.180.65-41.9616.070.51-32.0-5.5611.931.97-31.879.61-10.19-29.189.3360.6313.27
20Q4 (7)570.011.761.32153.8576.01.6077.7856.864.7738.2656.917.3742.5527.9529.641.72-6.215.2011.85-4.410.7093.4960.91.1260.021.740.75150.097.3711.7040.793.0810.7093.4960.95.7440.0512.70
20Q3 (6)570.011.760.52-73.74-46.390.90-52.3823.293.4517.7549.355.17-31.076.8229.14-11.513.4813.59-37.92-12.215.53-64.78-46.050.7-57.32-6.670.3-73.45-40.08.31-60.67-48.775.53-64.78-46.0527.9817.3473.81
20Q2 (5)570.011.761.98108.42200.01.89200.0310.872.93208.42118.667.587.0318.6732.9315.0676.3821.8955.36191.8715.7015.7195.671.64192.86248.941.13109.26232.3521.1320.67156.4315.7015.7195.67--0.00
20Q1 (4)5711.760.00.9526.670.00.63-38.240.00.95-68.750.04.01-30.380.028.62-9.430.014.09-11.380.013.57104.060.00.56-39.130.00.5442.110.017.5154.270.013.57104.060.0--0.00
19Q4 (3)510.00.00.75-22.680.01.0239.730.03.0431.60.05.7619.010.031.6012.220.015.902.710.06.65-35.120.00.9222.670.00.38-24.00.011.35-30.020.06.65-35.120.0--0.00
19Q3 (2)510.00.00.9746.970.00.7358.70.02.3172.390.04.84-23.420.028.1650.830.015.48106.40.010.2593.030.00.7559.570.00.547.060.016.2296.840.010.2593.030.0--0.00
19Q2 (1)510.00.00.660.00.00.460.00.01.340.00.06.320.00.018.670.00.07.500.00.05.310.00.00.470.00.00.340.00.08.240.00.05.310.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/61.995.279.8311.15-11.045.58N/A-
2024/51.8911.1110.629.15-14.575.34N/A-
2024/41.7-2.7-26.297.26-19.364.84N/A-
2024/31.7526.37-31.595.56-16.975.560.68-
2024/21.38-42.96-42.363.81-7.936.260.61-
2024/12.43-0.7439.652.4339.656.640.57-
2023/122.4538.12-9.2624.59-27.05.840.62-
2023/111.779.12-40.5822.15-28.555.440.66-
2023/101.62-20.77-44.3520.38-27.275.840.62-
2023/92.05-5.45-28.0718.75-25.286.220.7-
2023/82.177.75-37.3316.71-24.925.990.73-
2023/72.0110.87-31.6614.54-22.645.530.79-
2023/61.816.03-44.9812.53-20.975.830.81-
2023/51.71-25.97-41.2910.72-14.676.580.72-
2023/42.31-9.69-20.319.01-6.647.270.65-
2023/32.566.47-12.286.7-0.776.70.97-
2023/22.438.2153.454.147.986.840.95主係去年同期適逢農曆春節,影響廠商拉貨所致
2023/11.74-35.51-23.381.74-23.387.410.87-
2022/122.7-9.557.8433.6936.068.590.88-
2022/112.982.256.6231.039.228.740.86主係去年同期廠商尚在消化庫存,減少拉貨所致
2022/102.922.423.2128.0237.69.220.82-
2022/92.85-17.628.7925.139.499.240.75-
2022/83.4617.526.8522.2544.729.690.72-
2022/72.94-10.7439.3218.848.569.150.76-
2022/63.313.1596.7815.8650.429.110.76主係本期新舊產品併同出貨外,且去年同期因客戶缺料,影響該期公司銷貨等因素所致
2022/52.910.48173.9312.5641.668.730.8主係去年同期受到客戶缺料問題嚴重,導致大幅度減少對嘉基產品之進貨所致
2022/42.9-0.633.79.6523.647.380.94-
2022/32.9286.2785.726.7519.766.750.99主係廠商積極拉貨所致。
2022/21.57-30.99-19.943.83-5.696.331.05-
2022/12.27-9.237.492.277.496.671.0-
2021/122.531.35-11.0124.762.976.770.98-
2021/111.9-19.59-24.8222.264.826.890.96-
2021/102.37-9.5816.2120.368.837.710.86-
2021/92.62-3.9422.0217.997.937.450.97-
2021/82.7229.0543.3115.385.846.511.11-
2021/72.1126.0690.012.650.24.851.49因受疫情影響,客戶於109上半年間急拉之存貨尚未去化完畢,故去年同期減少拉貨所致。
2021/61.6757.51-18.5310.54-8.454.911.59-
2021/51.06-50.95-64.578.87-6.264.81.63主係客戶端之產品缺料狀況嚴重,導致大幅度減少對嘉基產品之進貨
2021/42.1738.06-11.487.820.835.691.37-
2021/31.57-19.79.035.6440.575.641.12-
2021/21.96-7.3575.574.0758.256.870.92去年同期因COVID19疫情關係,影響復工,故產能受限所導致
2021/12.11-24.8645.02.1145.07.450.85-
2020/122.8110.9744.724.057.097.380.61-
2020/112.5324.299.4721.243.536.710.67-
2020/102.04-5.0534.7918.712.786.080.74-
2020/92.1412.8171.6916.67-0.115.160.7廠商積極拉貨所致
2020/81.971.090.5714.53-5.925.070.71-
2020/71.11-45.95-35.412.63-6.836.170.59-
2020/62.06-31.5119.5511.51-2.677.510.47-
2020/53.022.5640.739.46-6.456.890.51-
2020/42.4570.07-0.226.46-19.075.00.71-
2020/31.4429.29-5.144.01-27.444.010.62-
2020/21.11-23.48-12.912.57-35.894.510.55-
2020/11.46-25.01-46.651.46-46.655.710.43-
2019/121.94-16.03-20.2922.455.775.760.49-
2019/112.3153.03-6.8820.519.155.070.56-
2019/101.5120.9312.3818.211.594.650.61-
2019/91.25-33.91-22.6616.6911.524.860.64-
2019/81.899.88-14.415.4415.660.0N/A-
2019/71.720.03-1.613.5521.610.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)621.646.29-31.265.92-21.1724.55-27.1336.106.8719.52-6.0215.30-11.764.79-31.575.03-36.893.97-30.35
2022 (9)617.029.15200.997.51161.6733.6936.2333.7830.0220.77113.0317.34131.517.0190.467.97240.65.7227.59
2021 (8)570.03.04-36.02.87-42.9424.732.8725.98-14.519.75-41.797.49-35.62.41-40.22.34-34.641.74-36.03
2020 (7)5711.764.7556.775.0380.2924.047.0830.3926.216.7545.2711.6367.344.0355.63.5849.792.7274.36
2019 (6)512.03.03-39.42.79-31.6222.455.7524.082.2911.53-16.026.95-41.052.59-11.02.39-15.851.56-37.6
2018 (5)5016.285.00214.474.08284.9121.23112.9423.544.6213.73103.1111.7970.622.91334.332.84311.592.5262.32
2017 (4)4313.161.5901.0609.97184.0522.50681.256.7606.9100.6700.6900.690
2016 (3)388.57-3.190-1.8103.5134.482.88-87.0-32.370-34.360-1.140-1.210-1.210
2015 (2)3500.000-0.9802.61022.150-23.580-20.640-0.620-0.540-0.540

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