- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/11 | 1.7 | -18.27 | -4.2 | 20.72 | -6.42 | 5.67 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/10 | 2.08 | 9.48 | 27.9 | 19.03 | -6.62 | 5.87 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 1.9 | -0.44 | -7.44 | 16.95 | -9.6 | 5.81 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 1.9 | -5.11 | -12.1 | 15.06 | -9.87 | 5.9 | 0.58 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 2.01 | 0.76 | -0.17 | 13.15 | -9.54 | 5.89 | 0.58 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 1.99 | 5.27 | 9.83 | 11.15 | -11.04 | 5.58 | 0.64 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 1.89 | 11.11 | 10.62 | 9.15 | -14.57 | 5.34 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 1.7 | -2.7 | -26.29 | 7.26 | -19.36 | 4.84 | 0.74 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 1.75 | 26.37 | -31.59 | 5.56 | -16.97 | 5.56 | 0.68 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 1.38 | -42.96 | -42.36 | 3.81 | -7.93 | 6.26 | 0.61 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 2.43 | -0.74 | 39.65 | 2.43 | 39.65 | 6.64 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 2.45 | 38.12 | -9.26 | 24.59 | -27.0 | 5.84 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 1.77 | 9.12 | -40.58 | 22.15 | -28.55 | 5.44 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 1.62 | -20.77 | -44.35 | 20.38 | -27.27 | 5.84 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 2.05 | -5.45 | -28.07 | 18.75 | -25.28 | 6.22 | 0.7 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 2.17 | 7.75 | -37.33 | 16.71 | -24.92 | 5.99 | 0.73 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 2.01 | 10.87 | -31.66 | 14.54 | -22.64 | 5.53 | 0.79 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 1.81 | 6.03 | -44.98 | 12.53 | -20.97 | 5.83 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 1.71 | -25.97 | -41.29 | 10.72 | -14.67 | 6.58 | 0.72 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 2.31 | -9.69 | -20.31 | 9.01 | -6.64 | 7.27 | 0.65 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 2.56 | 6.47 | -12.28 | 6.7 | -0.77 | 6.7 | 0.97 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 2.4 | 38.21 | 53.45 | 4.14 | 7.98 | 6.84 | 0.95 | 主係去年同期適逢農曆春節，影響廠商拉貨所致 | ||
| 2023/1 | 1.74 | -35.51 | -23.38 | 1.74 | -23.38 | 7.41 | 0.87 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 2.7 | -9.55 | 7.84 | 33.69 | 36.06 | 8.59 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 2.98 | 2.2 | 56.62 | 31.0 | 39.22 | 8.74 | 0.86 | 主係去年同期廠商尚在消化庫存，減少拉貨所致 | ||
| 2022/10 | 2.92 | 2.4 | 23.21 | 28.02 | 37.6 | 9.22 | 0.82 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 2.85 | -17.62 | 8.79 | 25.1 | 39.49 | 9.24 | 0.75 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 3.46 | 17.5 | 26.85 | 22.25 | 44.72 | 9.69 | 0.72 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 2.94 | -10.74 | 39.32 | 18.8 | 48.56 | 9.15 | 0.76 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 3.3 | 13.15 | 96.78 | 15.86 | 50.42 | 9.11 | 0.76 | 主係本期新舊產品併同出貨外，且去年同期因客戶缺料，影響該期公司銷貨等因素所致 | ||
| 2022/5 | 2.91 | 0.48 | 173.93 | 12.56 | 41.66 | 8.73 | 0.8 | 主係去年同期受到客戶缺料問題嚴重，導致大幅度減少對嘉基產品之進貨所致 | ||
| 2022/4 | 2.9 | -0.6 | 33.7 | 9.65 | 23.64 | 7.38 | 0.94 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 2.92 | 86.27 | 85.72 | 6.75 | 19.76 | 6.75 | 0.99 | 主係廠商積極拉貨所致。 | ||
| 2022/2 | 1.57 | -30.99 | -19.94 | 3.83 | -5.69 | 6.33 | 1.05 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 2.27 | -9.23 | 7.49 | 2.27 | 7.49 | 6.67 | 1.0 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 2.5 | 31.35 | -11.01 | 24.76 | 2.97 | 6.77 | 0.98 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 1.9 | -19.59 | -24.82 | 22.26 | 4.82 | 6.89 | 0.96 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 2.37 | -9.58 | 16.21 | 20.36 | 8.83 | 7.71 | 0.86 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 2.62 | -3.94 | 22.02 | 17.99 | 7.93 | 7.45 | 0.97 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 2.72 | 29.05 | 43.31 | 15.38 | 5.84 | 6.51 | 1.11 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 2.11 | 26.06 | 90.0 | 12.65 | 0.2 | 4.85 | 1.49 | 因受疫情影響，客戶於109上半年間急拉之存貨尚未去化完畢，故去年同期減少拉貨所致。 | ||
| 2021/6 | 1.67 | 57.51 | -18.53 | 10.54 | -8.45 | 4.91 | 1.59 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 1.06 | -50.95 | -64.57 | 8.87 | -6.26 | 4.8 | 1.63 | 主係客戶端之產品缺料狀況嚴重，導致大幅度減少對嘉基產品之進貨 | ||
| 2021/4 | 2.17 | 38.06 | -11.48 | 7.8 | 20.83 | 5.69 | 1.37 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 1.57 | -19.7 | 9.03 | 5.64 | 40.57 | 5.64 | 1.12 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 1.96 | -7.35 | 75.57 | 4.07 | 58.25 | 6.87 | 0.92 | 去年同期因COVID19疫情關係，影響復工，故產能受限所導致 | ||
| 2021/1 | 2.11 | -24.86 | 45.0 | 2.11 | 45.0 | 7.45 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 2.81 | 10.97 | 44.7 | 24.05 | 7.09 | 7.38 | 0.61 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 2.53 | 24.29 | 9.47 | 21.24 | 3.53 | 6.71 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 2.04 | -5.05 | 34.79 | 18.71 | 2.78 | 6.08 | 0.74 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 2.14 | 12.81 | 71.69 | 16.67 | -0.11 | 5.16 | 0.7 | 廠商積極拉貨所致 | ||
| 2020/8 | 1.9 | 71.09 | 0.57 | 14.53 | -5.92 | 5.07 | 0.71 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 1.11 | -45.95 | -35.4 | 12.63 | -6.83 | 6.17 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 2.06 | -31.51 | 19.55 | 11.51 | -2.67 | 7.51 | 0.47 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 3.0 | 22.56 | 40.73 | 9.46 | -6.45 | 6.89 | 0.51 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 2.45 | 70.07 | -0.22 | 6.46 | -19.07 | 5.0 | 0.71 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 1.44 | 29.29 | -5.14 | 4.01 | -27.44 | 4.01 | 0.62 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 1.11 | -23.48 | -12.91 | 2.57 | -35.89 | 4.51 | 0.55 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 1.46 | -25.01 | -46.65 | 1.46 | -46.65 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 1.94 | -16.03 | -20.29 | 22.45 | 5.77 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 2.43 | 2023/1 | 1.74 | 2022/1 | 2.27 | 2021/1 | 2.11 | 2020/1 | 1.46 |
| 2024/2 | 1.38 | 2023/2 | 2.4 | 2022/2 | 1.57 | 2021/2 | 1.96 | 2020/2 | 1.11 |
| 2024/3 | 1.75 | 2023/3 | 2.56 | 2022/3 | 2.92 | 2021/3 | 1.57 | 2020/3 | 1.44 |
| 2024/4 | 1.7 | 2023/4 | 2.31 | 2022/4 | 2.9 | 2021/4 | 2.17 | 2020/4 | 2.45 |
| 2024/5 | 1.89 | 2023/5 | 1.71 | 2022/5 | 2.91 | 2021/5 | 1.06 | 2020/5 | 3.0 |
| 2024/6 | 1.99 | 2023/6 | 1.81 | 2022/6 | 3.3 | 2021/6 | 1.67 | 2020/6 | 2.06 |
| 2024/7 | 2.01 | 2023/7 | 2.01 | 2022/7 | 2.94 | 2021/7 | 2.11 | 2020/7 | 1.11 |
| 2024/8 | 1.9 | 2023/8 | 2.17 | 2022/8 | 3.46 | 2021/8 | 2.72 | 2020/8 | 1.9 |
| 2024/9 | 1.9 | 2023/9 | 2.05 | 2022/9 | 2.85 | 2021/9 | 2.62 | 2020/9 | 2.14 |
| 2024/10 | 2.08 | 2023/10 | 1.62 | 2022/10 | 2.92 | 2021/10 | 2.37 | 2020/10 | 2.04 |
| 2024/11 | 1.7 | 2023/11 | 1.77 | 2022/11 | 2.98 | 2021/11 | 1.9 | 2020/11 | 2.53 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 2.45 | 2022/12 | 2.7 | 2021/12 | 2.5 | 2020/12 | 2.81 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.04 | -73.33 | -71.43 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.15 | 7.14 | 25.0 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.14 | 16.67 | 55.56 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.12 | -14.29 | -25.0 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.14 | 16.67 | -50.0 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.12 | 33.33 | -76.92 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.09 | -43.75 | -89.41 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.16 | -42.86 | -70.91 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.28 | -46.15 | -83.91 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.52 | -38.82 | -62.59 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.85 | 54.55 | 13.33 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.55 | -68.39 | -20.29 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 1.74 | 25.18 | 141.67 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 1.39 | 85.33 | 152.73 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.75 | 8.7 | 0 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.69 | -4.17 | 0 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.72 | 30.91 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.55 | 0 | 0.0 |
