玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.59-10.114.195.4514.361.84N/A-
2024/90.6611.5418.074.8614.381.830.21-
2024/80.590.9914.594.213.821.780.21-
2024/70.58-4.0813.793.6113.71.620.23-
2024/60.6141.6713.653.0213.681.560.22-
2024/50.43-16.8512.062.4113.691.460.24-
2024/40.521.312.961.9814.051.540.23-
2024/30.51-0.7516.571.4714.441.470.1-
2024/20.5116.6414.560.9613.321.760.09-
2024/10.44-44.9711.910.4411.911.70.09-
2023/120.875.477.36.0212.461.780.1-
2023/110.46-11.8611.685.2213.291.530.12-
2023/100.52-7.0515.724.7613.451.590.11-
2023/90.568.247.934.2513.181.590.04-
2023/80.520.299.613.6914.021.570.04-
2023/70.51-4.216.053.1714.771.430.04-
2023/60.5439.6916.332.6614.531.380.06-
2023/50.38-16.1914.982.1214.081.280.06-
2023/40.464.5510.361.7413.881.350.06-
2023/30.44-2.4616.41.2815.21.280.07-
2023/20.4513.948.350.8414.581.590.06-
2023/10.39-47.2422.620.3922.621.550.06-
2022/120.7582.64-23.485.3613.511.60.15-
2022/110.41-8.673.54.6123.171.370.17-
2022/100.45-13.35.844.225.491.430.17-
2022/90.529.9322.593.7528.341.430.05-
2022/80.476.1824.273.2329.311.370.05-
2022/70.44-3.965.082.7630.21.240.06-
2022/60.4638.0757.92.3236.421.210.09業績成長以致收入增加
2022/50.33-19.5625.41.8631.981.130.1-
2022/40.4210.2845.221.5333.511.210.09-
2022/30.38-9.244.011.1129.611.110.05-
2022/20.4128.9512.350.7423.31.710.04-
2022/10.32-67.0841.010.3241.011.690.04-
2021/120.98147.066.364.723.811.790.01-
2021/110.4-6.673.553.743.171.240.02疫情趨緩 營收重回成長軌道
2021/100.420.411.273.35-1.541.220.02-
2021/90.4211.4430.142.92-3.151.220.11-
2021/80.38-10.2128.182.5-7.161.090.12-
2021/70.4244.334.222.12-11.50.980.13-
2021/60.299.659.991.7-18.380.840.14-
2021/50.27-6.8524.611.41-22.520.810.15-
2021/40.299.367.31.14-28.790.920.13-
2021/30.26-29.16-11.830.86-35.960.860.13-
2021/20.3761.85-47.590.6-42.821.510.07-
2021/10.23-75.17-32.920.23-32.921.370.08-
2020/120.92303.1223.994.544.831.530.1-
2020/110.23-40.12-23.113.630.880.930.16-
2020/100.3817.4326.433.43.041.00.15-
2020/90.329.7627.663.020.690.0N/A-
2020/80.30.081.162.69-1.790.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.442023/10.392022/10.322021/10.232020/80.3
2024/20.512023/20.452022/20.412021/20.372020/90.32
2024/30.512023/30.442022/30.382021/30.262020/100.38
2024/40.522023/40.462022/40.422021/40.292020/110.23
2024/50.432023/50.382022/50.332021/50.272020/120.92
2024/60.612023/60.542022/60.462021/60.29N/AN/A
2024/70.582023/70.512022/70.442021/70.42N/AN/A
2024/80.592023/80.522022/80.472021/80.38N/AN/A
2024/90.662023/90.562022/90.522021/90.42N/AN/A
2024/100.592023/100.522022/100.452021/100.42N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/110.462022/110.412021/110.4N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/120.82022/120.752021/120.98N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.51%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.24-7.694.35
24Q2 (19)0.2644.4413.04
24Q1 (18)0.18-5.26-30.77
23Q4 (17)0.19-17.39-5.0
23Q3 (16)0.230.0-30.3
23Q2 (15)0.23-11.5476.92
23Q1 (14)0.2630.08.33
22Q4 (13)0.2-39.3933.33
22Q3 (12)0.33153.85135.71
22Q2 (11)0.13-45.83-23.53
22Q1 (10)0.2460.00.0
21Q4 (9)0.157.14-21.05
21Q3 (8)0.14-17.650
21Q2 (7)0.17-29.170
21Q1 (6)0.2426.320
20Q4 (5)0.1900

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