玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.88-48.33-55.2216.85-40.84.35N/A市場需求減少;去年基期較高。
2024/91.71-2.92-27.2115.96-39.735.670.43-
2024/81.76-20.13-40.0814.26-40.955.980.41-
2024/72.28.73-20.3212.5-41.076.290.39-
2024/62.02-1.88-44.0710.3-44.175.860.59-
2024/52.0616.28-27.648.27-44.25.370.64-
2024/41.7716.21-43.436.21-48.144.990.69-
2024/31.53-9.57-51.454.43-49.824.431.21市場庫存調整及去年基期較高
2024/21.6938.5-42.342.91-48.915.670.95-
2024/11.22-55.88-55.881.22-55.886.390.84市場庫存調整及去年基期較高
2023/122.7614.77-9.1933.631.227.140.58-
2023/112.4122.26-34.8830.872.276.720.62-
2023/101.97-16.01-57.8528.467.467.250.58主係去年基期較高所致。
2023/92.35-20.08-32.1426.4921.468.040.71-
2023/82.936.236.4324.1531.559.320.61-
2023/72.76-23.6726.821.2130.99.240.62-
2023/63.6226.9456.0918.4531.549.610.64因自行車新年度車種轉換時期,客戶庫存調整出貨。
2023/52.85-9.0917.0314.8326.689.140.68-
2023/43.14-0.2624.0911.9829.219.210.67-
2023/33.157.429.128.8431.138.840.8-
2023/22.935.9730.05.6932.278.740.81-
2023/12.76-9.234.762.7634.769.510.74-
2022/123.04-17.716.6833.2384.7211.420.61本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/113.7-20.8687.2730.1896.2611.830.59本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/104.6735.21203.7726.4897.5810.280.68本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/93.4660.68218.7521.8183.817.791.35本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/82.15-1.29206.3918.3570.246.651.59本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/72.18-6.0488.8216.260.766.941.52本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/62.32-4.8272.7514.0257.137.281.12本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/52.44-3.6174.8711.754.377.41.11本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/42.533.7861.739.2749.757.221.13本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/32.448.1456.496.7445.76.741.1本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/22.259.85112.694.340.236.911.07本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2022/12.05-21.382.042.052.046.631.11-
2021/122.6132.08200.1317.9932.66.121.35本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2021/111.9728.3792.9315.3821.134.61.8本月營收相較於去年同期有所成長,主要係因市場需求較去年同期成長所致
2021/101.5441.88-3.7613.414.833.322.49-
2021/91.0854.45-30.9911.8717.782.942.16-
2021/80.7-39.16-59.4910.7826.83.21.98因航運貨櫃供不應求產生銷貨遞延,致本期營收較去年同期減少
2021/71.15-14.04-24.7510.0848.93.891.63-
2021/61.34-3.65-4.118.9270.474.30.88109年6月累積營收因受疫情影響故營收較110年6月累積營收少
2021/51.39-10.8595.57.5897.714.510.84109年5月累積營收因受疫情影響故營收較110年5月累積營收少
2021/41.560.41137.846.1998.224.180.91109年4月累積營收因受疫情影響故營收較110年4月累積營收少
2021/31.5646.9641.614.6387.654.630.87109年3月累積營收因受疫情影響故營收較110年3月累積營收少
2021/21.06-47.2944.823.07124.713.941.02109年2月因受疫情影響故營收較110年2月少
2021/12.01131.23216.842.01216.843.91.03因疫情影響造成12月貨櫃供不應求,產生部分銷貨遞延至1月。
2020/120.87-15.09-71.5913.56-34.93.491.18因疫情影響造成貨櫃供不應求,產生銷貨遞延。
2020/111.02-35.96-41.1812.7-28.594.190.98-
2020/101.61.7315.3511.67-27.220.0N/A-
2020/91.570.0-48.6510.07-31.250.0N/A-
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.222023/12.762022/12.052021/12.012020/91.57
2024/21.692023/22.932022/22.252021/21.062020/101.6
2024/31.532023/33.152022/32.442021/31.562020/111.02
2024/41.772023/43.142022/42.532021/41.562020/120.87
2024/52.062023/52.852022/52.442021/51.39N/AN/A
2024/62.022023/63.622022/62.322021/61.34N/AN/A
2024/72.22023/72.762022/72.182021/71.15N/AN/A
2024/81.762023/82.932022/82.152021/80.7N/AN/A
2024/91.712023/92.352022/93.462021/91.08N/AN/A
2024/100.882023/101.972022/104.672021/101.54N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/112.412022/113.72021/111.97N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/122.762022/123.042021/122.61N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.15-16.67-55.88
24Q2 (19)0.18-59.09-78.82
24Q1 (18)0.4433.33-50.56
23Q4 (17)0.33-2.94-17.5
23Q3 (16)0.34-60.09.68
23Q2 (15)0.85-4.49102.38
23Q1 (14)0.89122.574.51
22Q4 (13)0.429.0333.33
22Q3 (12)0.31-26.19-31.11
22Q2 (11)0.42-17.65425.0
22Q1 (10)0.5170.0537.5
21Q4 (9)0.3-33.3350.0
21Q3 (8)0.45462.5114.29
21Q2 (7)0.080.0-57.89
21Q1 (6)0.08-60.00
20Q4 (5)0.2-4.760
20Q3 (4)0.2110.530.0
20Q2 (3)0.1900.0

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。