- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/9 | 1.11 | -55.84 | -73.35 | 15.38 | -45.73 | 4.49 | N/A | 本月較去年同期減少，係因客戶需求遞延 | ||
| 2024/8 | 2.5 | 184.44 | -46.25 | 14.28 | -40.99 | 5.49 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 0.88 | -58.21 | -76.61 | 11.77 | -39.73 | 4.54 | N/A | 本月較去年同期減少，主要因客戶需求減少及颱風造成海運塞港，部分營收推遲至8月所致 | ||
| 2024/6 | 2.11 | 35.58 | -49.97 | 10.89 | -30.93 | 5.73 | 1.24 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 1.55 | -24.81 | -31.22 | 8.79 | -23.99 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 2.07 | 5.26 | 4.09 | 7.23 | -22.24 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | |||
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- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q2 (20) | 0.98 | -10.91 | 15.29 |
| 24Q1 (19) | 1.1 | 74.6 | 66.67 |
| 23Q4 (18) | 0.63 | -31.52 | 10.53 |
| 23Q3 (17) | 0.92 | 8.24 | 35.29 |
| 23Q2 (16) | 0.85 | 28.79 | 10.39 |
| 23Q1 (15) | 0.66 | 15.79 | 0 |
| 22Q4 (14) | 0.57 | -16.18 | 0 |
| 22Q3 (13) | 0.68 | -11.69 | 0 |
| 22Q2 (12) | 0.77 | 0 | 0 |
