玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1026.16-11.88-27.33270.29-26.0386.83N/A-
2024/929.69-4.15-15.65244.13-25.8991.920.43-
2024/830.98-0.88-8.19214.44-27.1189.680.44-
2024/731.2513.85-6.24183.47-29.5685.70.46-
2024/627.451.69-11.03152.21-32.9881.210.48-
2024/526.990.87-19.14124.76-36.4380.420.49-
2024/426.760.36-27.8597.77-39.9872.150.54-
2024/326.6642.38-38.9271.01-43.5571.010.52-
2024/218.73-26.89-54.4344.34-46.0271.110.52本月營收較去年同期減少達54.43%,因地緣政治影響需求,致營業額減少。
2024/125.62-4.29-37.625.62-37.682.720.45-
2023/1226.77-11.78-53.4422.53-34.6493.110.42因地緣政治影響IC載板需求,致銷售減少。
2023/1130.34-15.72-49.04395.76-32.81101.540.38-
2023/1036.02.28-40.05365.42-30.98104.940.37-
2023/935.24.31-40.41329.42-29.82102.270.47-
2023/833.741.21-41.38294.22-28.397.930.5-
2023/733.348.03-39.73260.48-26.1697.580.5-
2023/630.86-7.57-44.11227.14-23.64101.340.47-
2023/533.39-9.99-36.15196.29-18.97114.130.42-
2023/437.09-15.02-16.35162.9-14.24121.840.39-
2023/343.656.22-16.05125.81-13.6125.810.42-
2023/241.090.09-0.2782.15-12.24139.590.38-
2023/141.06-28.52-21.6541.06-21.65158.040.34-
2022/1257.44-3.5317.02646.4723.77177.040.33-
2022/1159.55-0.8425.01589.0324.47178.670.32-
2022/1060.051.6617.69529.4824.41176.690.33-
2022/959.072.6131.04469.4325.33171.950.35-
2022/857.574.0621.84410.3624.55168.10.36-
2022/755.320.1713.32352.7925.0162.830.37-
2022/655.225.5930.04297.4727.44151.860.37-
2022/552.2917.9127.55242.2626.87148.640.38-
2022/444.35-14.727.13189.9626.68137.560.41-
2022/352.026.1934.51145.6234.13145.620.36-
2022/241.21-21.3534.3293.6133.93142.70.37-
2022/152.46.7633.6152.433.61149.120.35-
2021/1249.083.0431.54522.2835.61147.740.36-
2021/1147.63-6.6530.4473.236.04143.730.37-
2021/1051.0213.1941.64425.5736.71143.350.37-
2021/945.08-4.5829.1374.5436.06141.140.38-
2021/847.25-3.229.92329.4737.07138.520.38-
2021/748.8114.9544.5282.2238.35132.270.4-
2021/642.463.5730.9233.4137.13124.850.43-
2021/540.99-0.9640.25190.9538.59121.050.44-
2021/441.397.0640.91149.9538.14110.730.48-
2021/338.6626.0225.23108.5637.12108.560.49-
2021/230.68-21.7730.6269.944.72107.210.49-
2021/139.225.158.0739.2258.07113.060.47本期電路板產品銷售量較去年同期增加影響
2020/1237.312.1523.81385.1323.85109.860.45-
2020/1136.531.3930.55347.8223.86107.470.46-
2020/1036.023.1621.54311.2923.12107.30.46-
2020/934.92-3.9720.22275.2723.33105.060.47-
2020/836.367.6532.26240.3523.79102.580.48-
2020/733.784.1321.66203.9922.495.440.52-
2020/632.4410.9723.7170.2122.5491.040.51-
2020/529.23-0.4910.39137.7722.2789.480.52-
2020/429.38-4.8425.55108.5425.9283.730.55-
2020/330.8731.4441.3779.1726.0679.170.56-
2020/223.49-5.3343.3548.317.978.430.57-
2020/124.81-17.670.9424.810.9482.920.54-
2019/1230.147.7127.07310.947.840.0N/A-
2019/1127.98-5.597.19280.86.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/125.622023/141.062022/152.42021/139.222020/124.81
2024/218.732023/241.092022/241.212021/230.682020/223.49
2024/326.662023/343.652022/352.02021/338.662020/330.87
2024/426.762023/437.092022/444.352021/441.392020/429.38
2024/526.992023/533.392022/552.292021/540.992020/529.23
2024/627.452023/630.862022/655.222021/642.462020/632.44
2024/731.252023/733.342022/755.322021/748.812020/733.78
2024/830.982023/833.742022/857.572021/847.252020/836.36
2024/929.692023/935.22022/959.072021/945.082020/934.92
2024/1026.162023/1036.02022/1060.052021/1051.022020/1036.02
N/AN/A2023/1130.342022/1159.552021/1147.632020/1136.53
N/AN/A2023/1226.772022/1257.442021/1249.082020/1237.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 34.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)22.180.015.94
24Q2 (19)22.186.7411.79
24Q1 (18)20.784.321.76
23Q4 (17)19.924.1384.1
23Q3 (16)19.13-3.58117.63
23Q2 (15)19.84-2.84535.9
23Q1 (14)20.4288.72776.39
22Q4 (13)10.8223.09866.07
22Q3 (12)8.79181.730
22Q2 (11)3.1233.910
22Q1 (10)2.33108.040
21Q4 (9)1.1200

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