玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1940.522.11-0.32-28.0-1500.0-0.48-20.0-166.67-0.59-118.52-326.920.85-15.026.87-43.54-131.6-228.89-110.74-40.55-121.61-73.04-50.47-1262.69-0.94-20.51-184.85-0.62-29.17-1450.0-73.04-50.47-1262.69-73.04-50.47-1262.6925.84-589.00-71.11
24Q2 (19)1930.522.12-0.25-1150.00-0.40-122.22-900.0-0.27-1250.0-196.431.066.67-15.97-18.80-290.28-149.7-78.79-34.94-1117.77-48.54-745.64-48440.0-0.78-122.86-875.0-0.48-1500.00-48.54-745.64-48440.0-48.54-745.64-48440.025.00-529.54-34.80
24Q1 (18)1921.051.59-0.0290.91-107.14-0.1852.63-357.14-0.02-150.0-107.140.6-16.67-79.939.88136.06-53.29-58.3943.03-1363.85-5.7490.16-132.82-0.3552.7-350.0-0.0392.86-105.77-5.7490.16-132.82-5.7490.16-132.82-4.61-454.55-29.24
23Q4 (17)1900.00.53-0.22-1000.0-283.33-0.38-111.11-442.860.04-84.62-55.560.727.46-55.56-27.40-181.11-209.38-102.50-105.12-1054.28-58.33-988.25-519.94-0.74-124.24-428.57-0.42-950.0-282.61-58.33-988.25-519.94-58.33-988.25-519.94-18.12-500.00-230.56
23Q3 (16)1900.530.53-0.020-116.67-0.18-350.0-250.00.26-7.14966.670.67-43.7-80.2933.78-10.7158.15-49.97-672.33-835.94-5.36-5260.0-180.24-0.33-312.5-243.48-0.040-117.39-5.36-5260.0-180.24-5.36-5260.0-180.24-51.95-50.00-253.57
23Q2 (15)1890.00.00.00-100.0100.0-0.04-157.1433.330.280.0286.671.19-60.2-64.5837.8378.87252.89-6.47-240.04-84.86-0.10-100.5795.48-0.08-157.1433.330-100.0100.0-0.10-100.5795.48-0.10-100.5795.4812.1816.6721.43
23Q1 (14)1890.00.00.28133.33354.550.07200.0163.640.28211.11354.552.9984.57-2.6121.15-15.57185.814.62152.03169.2717.4925.92349.150.14200.0170.00.52126.09336.3617.4925.92349.1517.4925.92349.1516.1166.6720.83
22Q4 (13)1890.00.00.120.0340.0-0.07-158.3322.220.09400.0111.251.62-52.35-69.4325.0517.28435.26-8.88-230.78-166.6713.89107.93815.98-0.14-160.8722.220.230.0330.013.89107.93815.9813.89107.93815.98-25.58200.0070.83
22Q3 (12)1890.00.00.12400.0150.00.12300.0140.0-0.0380.095.953.41.19-45.6921.3699.253983.646.79294.0174.376.68402.26193.820.23291.67140.350.23428.57151.116.68402.26193.826.68402.26193.825.32231.82172.72
22Q2 (11)1890.00.0-0.0463.6488.24-0.0645.4578.57-0.15-36.3670.593.369.4537.710.7244.86349.88-3.5047.5384.27-2.2168.5291.55-0.1240.077.78-0.0768.1889.06-2.2168.5291.55-2.2168.5291.55-16.31-28.1811.62
22Q1 (10)1890.00.0-0.11-120.035.29-0.11-22.2221.43-0.1186.2535.293.07-42.085.147.4058.12130.53-6.67-100.326.54-7.02-261.8635.83-0.2-11.1123.08-0.22-120.031.25-7.02-261.8635.83-7.02-261.8635.83-28.71-20.4123.89
21Q4 (9)1890.00.0-0.0579.170.0-0.0970.040.0-0.80-8.11-1900.05.3-15.3462.084.68950.9182.1-3.3363.5365.95-1.9472.7534.01-0.1868.4243.75-0.177.780.0-1.9472.7550.38-1.9472.7534.0170.6154.2931.43
21Q3 (8)1890.00.0-0.2429.41-700.0-0.30-7.14-328.57-0.74-45.1-7500.06.26156.5696.24-0.5587.18-105.53-9.1358.97-198.37-7.1272.76-326.35-0.57-5.56-470.0-0.4529.69-800.0-7.1272.76-978.79-7.1272.76-326.3570.06-35.30-53.57
21Q2 (7)1890.00.0-0.34-100.0-325.0-0.28-100.0-1500.0-0.51-200.0-1375.02.44-16.44-20.52-4.29-233.64-145.44-22.25-145.04-782.94-26.14-138.94-429.15-0.54-107.69-575.0-0.64-100.0-326.67-26.14-138.94-197.38-26.14-138.94-429.15-13.57-170.00-46.66
21Q1 (6)1890.00.0-0.17-240.0-241.67-0.146.670.0-0.17-325.0-241.672.92-10.7-14.873.2124.9-58.74-9.087.16-94.02-10.94-272.11-266.26-0.2618.75-62.5-0.32-220.0-239.13-10.94-179.8-209.18-10.94-272.11-266.26-4.09-153.34-53.81
20Q4 (5)1890.096.88-0.05-66.6737.5-0.15-114.29-650.0-0.04-500.0-117.393.272.51-57.092.57-74.17-46.57-9.78-219.61-1745.28-2.94-76.05-203.09-0.32-220.0-700.0-0.1-100.0-42.86-3.91-492.42-303.09-2.94-76.05-203.09--0.00
20Q3 (4)1890.00.0-0.0362.50.0-0.07-450.00.00.01-75.00.03.193.910.09.955.40.0-3.06-21.430.0-1.6766.190.0-0.1-25.00.0-0.0566.670.0-0.6692.490.0-1.6766.190.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1890.00.0-0.08-166.670.00.02114.290.00.04-66.670.03.07-10.50.09.4421.340.0-2.5246.150.0-4.94-175.080.0-0.0850.00.0-0.15-165.220.0-8.79-187.720.0-4.94-175.080.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)18996.880.00.12250.00.0-0.14-600.00.00.12-47.830.03.43-54.990.07.7861.750.0-4.68-783.020.06.58778.350.0-0.16-300.00.00.23428.570.010.021132.990.06.58778.350.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)960.00.0-0.080.00.0-0.020.00.00.230.00.07.620.00.04.810.00.0-0.530.00.0-0.970.00.0-0.040.00.0-0.070.00.0-0.970.00.0-0.970.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.19-43.5399.422.63-46.740.58N/A主受客戶訂單需求變化影響所致
2024/90.33477.78127.762.44-49.570.859.92主受客戶訂單需求變化影響所致
2024/80.06-87.49-81.662.11-55.070.869.83主因受客戶訂單需求變化影響所致
2024/70.4634.99121.392.05-53.171.236.83本期累計差異主受新舊產品交替需求變化影響
2024/60.34-21.5310.621.59-61.841.08.39本期累計差異主受新舊產品交替需求變化影響
2024/50.4394.95133.581.25-67.590.859.78前期客戶延遲至本月開始出貨及本期新舊產品交替需求變化所致
2024/40.2212.04-68.020.82-77.720.7211.69前期客戶急單需求提前出貨及本期新舊產品交替需求變化所至
2024/30.2-32.56-81.990.6-79.980.613.3前期客戶急單需求提前出貨及本期新舊產品交替需求變化致
2024/20.29178.15-67.150.4-78.810.839.65前期因客戶急單需求提前出貨及本期因新舊產品交替之需求變化所致
2024/10.11-75.1-89.330.11-89.330.7310.9客戶訂單需求變化,影響預期出貨時間
2023/120.42113.09-63.535.56-51.430.729.87客戶去化庫存慢,Hold出貨,影響至第四季.
2023/110.2112.19-23.95.14-50.060.4416.14新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第4季.
2023/100.09-35.5-52.274.94-50.740.5512.82新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第4季.
2023/90.15-53.48-75.264.85-50.710.6710.14新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第4季.
2023/80.3151.05-78.684.7-49.140.838.16新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第4季.
2023/70.21-32.54-84.574.39-43.560.79.65因低毛利量大機種於去年6月交貨完畢,及新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第3季.
2023/60.3165.66-66.914.18-34.981.195.97因低毛利量大機種於去年6月交貨完畢,及新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第3季.
2023/50.19-73.3-87.73.87-29.581.983.57因低毛利量大機種於去年6月交貨完畢結案,及新客戶為去化庫存Hold出貨,料將影響至第3季
2023/40.7-36.91-24.253.69-7.582.692.63-
2023/31.122.9911.12.99-2.62.991.85-
2023/20.9-9.68-18.771.89-9.153.051.81-
2023/10.99-14.841.740.991.742.422.29-
2022/121.17344.64-43.1411.46-32.31.623.42-
2022/110.2633.07-86.210.29-30.81.055.29同上期主係2021海外標案及低毛利專案機種交貨完畢之比較差異,次因年關將至之客戶調降出貨量。
2022/100.2-66.57-85.4410.03-22.692.262.46如上期差異說明,係因2021較大量低毛利機種銷售專案及海外標案出貨相繼於2022上半年結案致兩期營收落差
2022/90.59-59.9-71.949.83-15.383.41.06因2021較大量低毛利機種銷售專案及海外標案出貨相繼於2022上半年結案致兩期營收落差,該兩期差異影響預計將持續至下月.
2022/81.479.26-35.849.24-2.913.740.97-
2022/71.3544.72-28.227.777.523.780.96-
2022/60.93-38.4478.866.4320.033.360.87主因前期國際線船班吃緊,致部分營收隨船運日期遞延認列之差異.
2022/51.5164.4446.185.513.713.420.85-
2022/40.92-7.463.523.994.893.010.97-
2022/30.99-10.08-19.433.075.313.070.97-
2022/21.113.1315.082.0823.44.130.72-
2022/10.98-52.4134.380.9834.384.930.6-
2021/122.057.8768.8816.9230.655.30.5係本期新增出貨客戶。
2021/111.940.4593.4914.8726.75.350.491.去年出貨基期較低。 2.本期出貨客戶增加。
2021/101.35-35.5726.1112.9720.65.740.46-
2021/92.1-8.3353.6911.6219.996.260.451.去年受疫情影響,出貨基期較低 2.本期標案出貨數量增加
2021/82.2922.25110.529.5214.454.680.6去年同期疫情影響,客戶需求變動,致營收基期較低.
2021/71.87260.64154.67.230.03.430.82因上月部分營收隨海運日期遞延認列於本月及去年同期營收基期較低所致。
2021/60.52-49.68-59.525.36-17.522.440.78主因國際線船班吃緊,致部分營收隨船運日期遞延認列;另相較去年同期之部分客戶其運營商訂單因受疫情影響亦略有流失.
2021/51.0316.458.574.84-7.173.150.6-
2021/40.89-27.986.823.8-10.693.080.62-
2021/31.2328.4342.682.92-14.932.920.27-
2021/20.9632.09-38.071.68-34.322.90.27-
2021/10.73-40.19-28.610.73-28.612.920.27-
2020/121.2123.59-56.1312.95-51.163.270.12受疫情及客戶需求變動影響。
2020/110.98-8.45-57.5611.74-50.593.420.11受疫情及客戶需求變動影響。
2020/101.07-21.48-57.7310.76-49.833.530.11受疫情及客戶需求變動影響
2020/91.3725.55-62.189.68-48.773.190.18受疫情及客戶需求變動影響
2020/81.0947.85-66.238.32-45.63.110.19受疫情影響,客戶需求變動。
2020/70.74-42.66-74.237.23-40.12.970.2係單月營收波動所致
2020/61.2834.95-21.346.49-29.523.060.29-
2020/50.9514.57-47.555.21-31.282.640.34-
2020/40.83-3.81-47.084.26-26.163.240.27-
2020/30.86-44.25-37.623.43-18.343.430.24-
2020/21.5552.2814.52.57-8.865.330.15-
2020/11.02-63.25-30.471.02-30.476.10.13-
2019/122.7719.57349.6126.5264.860.0N/A主因本期客戶出貨需求增加
2019/112.31-8.8254.8423.7653.540.0N/A主因本期客戶出貨需求增加
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1900.530.03-66.67-0.5205.56-51.4819.9632.89-18.1201.21-14.79-1.0100.07-56.250.07-56.25
2022 (9)1890.00.090-0.12011.46-32.2715.021151.67-2.0501.420-0.2400.1600.160
2021 (8)1890.0-0.800-0.80016.9230.661.20-83.76-9.190-8.900-1.560-1.510-1.510
2020 (7)18996.88-0.040-0.34012.95-51.177.3916.93-5.060-0.580-0.660-0.080-0.080
2019 (6)9611.630.2300.13026.5264.826.32652.380.9900.8200.2600.2300.220
2018 (5)860.0-1.780-0.82016.0958.840.840-9.900-9.530-1.590-1.530-1.530
2017 (4)860.0-1.570-0.90010.13-6.03-0.800-17.090-13.320-1.730-1.340-1.350
2016 (3)86-3.37-0.190-0.31010.78-41.3812.30-24.45-5.560-1.480-0.60-0.160-0.160
2015 (2)89-2.21.12-27.270.37-36.2118.39-17.3916.28-6.864.12-29.335.47-13.990.76-41.541.05-33.961.01-28.37
2014 (1)910.01.5400.58022.2658.8917.4805.8306.3601.301.591490.01.410

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