玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.8253.71-60.175.46-34.341.84N/A因中國經濟不如預期,總體需求降溫相關產品收入減少
2024/100.5411.3726.674.63-25.771.46N/A-
2024/90.489.27-26.844.1-29.591.310.77-
2024/80.4414.56-23.883.62-29.941.160.87-
2024/70.3814.1217.263.17-30.711.10.92-
2024/60.34-10.7310.742.79-34.411.260.82-
2024/50.38-30.256.942.45-37.891.240.83-
2024/40.5469.86-26.242.07-42.31.340.77-
2024/30.32-32.85-67.831.53-46.421.530.86本月記憶體相關產品收入減少
2024/20.47-35.72-44.421.21-35.061.780.74-
2024/10.7430.34-27.190.74-27.193.380.39-
2023/120.57-72.63-68.549.47-18.33.650.22本月記憶體相關產品收入減少
2023/112.07104.7532.88.9-9.053.740.21-
2023/101.0153.62-5.726.83-16.992.250.36-
2023/90.6613.69-32.095.82-18.681.571.83-
2023/80.5876.5-39.135.16-16.581.212.36-
2023/70.337.78-52.914.58-12.480.992.9生技醫療及記憶體出貨減少
2023/60.3-13.8-59.344.25-6.271.391.58生技醫療及記憶體出貨減少
2023/50.35-51.9-38.923.954.212.081.06-
2023/40.73-25.922.583.611.992.580.85-
2023/30.9916.0210.982.8614.692.860.86-
2023/20.85-15.8-0.251.8716.753.670.67-
2023/11.02-43.6936.331.0236.334.380.56-
2022/121.815.5535.9611.5936.14.440.5-
2022/111.5645.3578.339.7936.123.60.61本月記憶體相關產品收入增加6千萬及餐飲收入增加9百萬。
2022/101.0710.6471.138.2330.282.990.73本月醫療器材助聽器商品收入增加3千萬及餐飲收入增加9百萬。
2022/90.971.9145.167.1625.782.621.47-
2022/80.9536.5282.016.1923.22.41.61本月醫療器材助聽器商品收入增加1千9百萬及餐飲收入增加1千8百萬。
2022/70.7-6.9244.795.2416.362.021.9-
2022/60.7529.4719.374.5412.952.041.64-
2022/50.58-19.21-14.443.7911.772.191.54-
2022/40.72-19.859.123.2118.32.471.36-
2022/30.894.2716.532.4921.232.491.17-
2022/20.8615.0836.211.624.022.930.99-
2022/10.74-43.8312.440.7412.442.950.99-
2021/121.3351.5517.478.52-16.662.830.91-
2021/110.8739.49-12.377.19-20.922.171.18-
2021/100.63-6.14-11.066.32-21.981.821.41-
2021/90.6727.78-31.495.69-23.021.671.97-
2021/80.528.61-44.955.02-21.731.632.02-
2021/70.48-23.26-48.584.5-17.691.791.84-
2021/60.63-7.2-34.374.02-11.31.961.64-
2021/50.683.04-25.943.39-5.142.11.53-
2021/40.66-14.416.022.711.982.051.57-
2021/30.7721.8775.342.060.762.061.45疫情趨緩客戶提貨增加及新增醫療用IC 銷售等
2021/20.63-4.9938.851.29-19.552.421.23-
2021/10.66-41.32-42.510.66-42.512.791.07-
2020/121.1313.04-39.2510.22-50.122.830.79新冠肺炎疫情影響,使記憶體及IC通訊方面營收減少。
2020/111.041.57-38.859.1-51.192.680.84新冠肺炎疫情影響,使記憶體及IC通訊方面營收減少。
2020/100.71-27.7-57.548.1-52.372.630.86因新冠肺炎疫情影響,使營收減少
2020/90.982.67-44.487.39-51.812.861.03在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎影響,客戶出貨時間往後遞延
2020/80.951.45-49.126.42-52.762.841.03在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶出貨時間往後遞延
2020/70.94-2.05-35.435.47-53.342.811.05在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶出貨時間往後遞延
2020/60.964.7-46.894.53-55.872.491.66在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶出貨時間往後遞延。
2020/50.9147.53-46.853.57-57.781.972.09在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶出貨時間往後遞延。
2020/40.6241.54-69.942.66-60.561.512.73在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶復工延期,至出貨時間往後遞延。在餐飲方面,因疫情影響大眾減少外出及聚餐。
2020/30.44-3.48-73.932.04-56.352.042.13在記憶體及IC通訊方面,因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶復工延期,至出貨時間往後遞延。在餐飲方面,因疫情影響大眾減少外出及聚餐。
2020/20.45-60.67-56.941.6-46.513.461.26因新冠肺炎,客戶延後開工
2020/11.15-37.99-40.881.15-40.880.0N/A-
2019/121.8613.79-37.2520.49-23.620.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.742023/11.022022/10.742021/10.662020/11.15
2024/20.472023/20.852022/20.862021/20.632020/20.45
2024/30.322023/30.992022/30.892021/30.772020/30.44
2024/40.542023/40.732022/40.722021/40.662020/40.62
2024/50.382023/50.352022/50.582021/50.682020/50.91
2024/60.342023/60.32022/60.752021/60.632020/60.96
2024/70.382023/70.332022/70.72021/70.482020/70.94
2024/80.442023/80.582022/80.952021/80.522020/80.95
2024/90.482023/90.662022/90.972021/90.672020/90.98
2024/100.542023/101.012022/101.072021/100.632020/100.71
2024/110.822023/112.072022/111.562021/110.872020/111.0
N/AN/A2023/120.572022/121.82021/121.332020/121.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.4471.43471.43
24Q2 (19)0.07-12.5-12.5
24Q1 (18)0.08-11.110.0
23Q4 (17)0.0928.570.0
23Q3 (16)0.07-12.50.0
23Q2 (15)0.080.033.33
23Q1 (14)0.08-11.1114.29
22Q4 (13)0.0928.57-10.0
22Q3 (12)0.0716.670.0
22Q2 (11)0.06-14.29-25.0
22Q1 (10)0.07-30.016.67
21Q4 (9)0.142.8642.86
21Q3 (8)0.07-12.575.0
21Q2 (7)0.0833.3360.0
21Q1 (6)0.06-14.2920.0
20Q4 (5)0.0775.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.04-20.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.050.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.05-28.570.0
19Q4 (1)0.070.00.0

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