玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)5210.5816.821.00-33.33-34.642.20-13.7325.03.4241.3211.4604.67-13.6848.823.27-3.82-28.62.30-11.88-26.520.99-22.66-49.2313.89-24.069.375.24-32.65-23.391.27-30.22-50.20.99-22.66-49.235.9015.7610.60
24Q2 (19)5180.7821.881.5064.8429.312.5534.9286.132.42165.9360.26700.5325.4986.323.405.26-15.02.6113.482.761.2823.08-7.9118.2942.5691.527.7846.5257.491.8222.97-6.671.2823.08-7.9119.508.576.51
24Q1 (18)51414.4820.940.91-47.7160.01.89-21.9101.060.91-80.64160.0558.2213.52125.623.23-31.42-2.422.30-33.914.551.04-43.7820.9312.83-24.97135.415.31-32.27165.51.48-40.843.691.04-43.7820.9317.27-16.987.80
23Q4 (17)4490.675.151.7413.73335.02.4237.592.064.7053.09-8.91491.7421.0337.674.712.8462.983.4811.18163.641.85-5.13780.9517.134.65263.837.8414.62361.182.50-1.966350.01.85-5.13780.9514.5522.8132.98
23Q3 (16)4464.944.451.5331.950.01.7628.4769.233.07103.31-35.5406.38.067.544.5814.539.633.1323.2373.891.9540.2966.6712.732.9886.496.8438.4657.242.5530.7767.761.9540.2966.6730.01131.6637.11
23Q2 (15)4250.0-0.71.16231.43-29.71.3745.74-20.811.51331.43-59.63375.9951.96-16.214.0020.854.442.5415.45-5.931.3961.63-13.139.5575.23-21.144.94147.0-30.131.9589.32-13.721.3961.63-13.1310.62109.4710.17
23Q1 (14)425-0.47-0.70.35-12.5-83.250.94-25.4-54.150.35-93.22-83.25247.42-30.73-55.583.3114.53-4.342.2066.67-13.730.86309.52-48.195.4515.96-61.72.017.65-77.681.032675.0-54.020.86309.52-48.19-18.09-36.64-2.12
22Q4 (13)4270.04.150.40-60.78-76.051.2621.15-13.75.168.4-26.5357.19-5.46-31.382.89-11.89-1.371.32-26.67-36.840.21-82.05-85.214.7-30.98-56.721.7-60.92-75.18-0.04-102.63-102.060.21-82.05-85.21-10.63-49.48-9.37
22Q3 (12)427-0.23-0.231.02-38.18-43.331.04-39.88-36.974.7627.27-12.34377.83-15.8-29.913.28-14.36-1.51.80-33.33-18.551.17-26.88-23.036.81-43.77-42.824.35-38.47-43.651.52-32.74-25.851.17-26.88-23.03-17.62-29.62-27.75
22Q2 (11)4280.05.681.65-21.05-17.51.73-15.61-6.493.7478.953.03448.72-19.44-14.383.8310.694.642.705.888.01.60-3.61-6.9812.11-14.9-7.637.07-21.09-12.822.260.892.261.60-3.61-6.98-6.222.0512.40
22Q1 (10)4284.3913.232.0925.1529.012.0540.4172.272.09-70.2329.01557.07.0110.593.4618.0924.462.5522.0142.461.6616.922.0614.2331.0357.598.9630.846.172.2415.4625.841.6616.922.061.788.9614.44
21Q4 (9)410-4.218.471.67-7.2221.91.46-11.5262.227.0229.2866.35520.53-3.4428.962.93-12.019.742.09-5.4317.421.42-6.58-5.3310.86-8.8251.256.85-11.2731.981.94-5.372.111.42-6.58-5.33-0.29-8.61-11.16
21Q3 (8)4285.6813.231.80-10.050.01.65-10.8189.665.4349.5990.53539.082.8652.433.33-9.0216.842.21-11.618.821.52-11.633.411.91-9.1581.557.72-4.8169.32.05-7.2410.221.52-11.633.43.466.7322.32
21Q2 (7)4057.148.02.0023.46127.271.8555.46213.563.63124.07120.0524.094.0577.483.6631.6537.082.5039.6656.251.7226.4730.313.1145.18177.178.1132.3145.762.2124.1631.551.7226.4730.314.4220.8643.84
21Q1 (6)3780.00.271.6218.25110.391.1932.2275.01.62-61.61110.39503.6824.7956.172.784.1219.311.790.5621.771.36-9.3337.379.0325.7790.516.1318.11110.651.78-6.3240.161.36-9.3337.3719.4616.2117.84
20Q4 (5)3780.00.271.3714.1752.220.903.4518.424.2248.0723.75403.6314.1325.492.67-6.32-3.961.78-4.30.01.502.0417.197.189.4525.525.1913.8253.11.902.1518.011.502.0417.19--0.00
20Q3 (4)3780.80.01.2036.360.00.8747.460.02.8572.730.0353.6519.760.02.856.740.01.8616.250.01.4711.360.06.5638.690.04.5638.180.01.8610.710.01.4711.360.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)375-0.530.00.8814.290.00.59-13.240.01.65114.290.0295.3-8.440.02.6714.590.01.608.840.01.3233.330.04.73-0.210.03.313.40.01.6832.280.01.3233.330.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)3770.00.00.77-14.440.00.68-10.530.00.77-77.420.0322.520.270.02.33-16.190.01.47-17.420.00.99-22.660.04.74-17.130.02.91-14.160.01.27-21.120.00.99-22.660.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)3770.00.00.900.00.00.760.00.03.410.00.0321.650.00.02.780.00.01.780.00.01.280.00.05.720.00.03.390.00.01.610.00.01.280.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10160.31-34.814.332023.7472.97565.92N/A主要係上半年伺服器客戶需求增長及手機客戶持續拉貨,致使本期累計營收較去年同期成長。
2024/9245.8853.9471.781863.4280.96604.670.59主要係伺服器客戶需求增長、手機客戶新機上市及十一長假提前備貨,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/8159.72-19.769.11617.5482.44609.340.59主要係伺服器市場需求增長及AI手機市場熱絡,使用記憶體容量提升,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/7199.06-20.5570.461457.8296.95685.670.52主要係伺服器市場需求增長及AI手機市場熱絡,使用記憶體容量提升,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/6250.566.1496.821258.76101.91700.530.6主要係伺服器市場需求大幅增長及手機客戶持續拉貨,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/5236.0510.3391.211008.2103.22703.220.6主要係伺服器市場需求大幅增長及手機客戶持續拉貨,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/4213.93-15.5270.81772.15107.19624.970.67主要係去年記憶體價格基期低,本期因原廠減產致使記憶體價格持續成長,下游手機客戶新機上市備貨,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/3253.2460.48168.39558.22125.61558.220.61主要係去年記憶體價格基期低,本期因原廠減產致使記憶體價格持續成長,下游手機客戶新機上市備貨,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/2157.87.2184.39304.9899.24465.630.73主要係去年記憶體價格基期低,本期因原廠減產致使記憶體價格持續成長,本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/1147.18-8.37118.07147.18118.07498.70.68主要係記憶體價格上漲及因應農曆假期客戶提前備貨,且去年一月工作日數較少,致使本月營收較去年同期成長。
2023/12160.64-15.8442.031521.45-12.59491.740.46-
2023/11190.8836.1284.681360.81-16.39474.240.47主要係記憶體價格上漲,客戶提前備貨,致使本月營收較去年同期增加。
2023/10140.22-2.03-0.371169.93-23.24429.750.52-
2023/9143.14-2.2213.981029.71-25.57406.30.48-
2023/8146.3925.3513.14886.57-29.52390.460.5-
2023/7116.78-8.26-4.92740.19-34.41367.520.53-
2023/6127.33.12-6.18623.41-38.01375.990.51-
2023/5123.45-1.43-21.26496.11-42.97343.040.56-
2023/4125.2432.73-19.85372.66-47.75305.170.63-
2023/394.3510.25-51.66247.42-55.57247.420.88本期仍受整體半導體市場景氣持續低迷,消費性電子產品終端需求下滑,致使較去年同期營收減少。
2023/285.5726.78-40.52153.07-57.68266.170.82本期仍受整體半導體市場景氣持續低迷,消費性電子產品終端 需求下滑,致使較去年同期營收減少。
2023/167.49-40.32-69.0267.49-69.02283.940.77受農曆假期影響,工作日數減少,市場需求持續疲弱,致使本月營收減少。
2022/12113.19.43-37.741740.75-16.6357.190.61-
2022/11103.35-26.56-51.881627.65-14.59369.670.59雙十一整體電子產品銷售狀況不佳,且大陸持續進行封控,致手機客戶在終端銷售大幅下降,使本月營收較同期減少。
2022/10140.7412.0713.451524.3-9.85395.710.55-
2022/9125.58-2.94-35.081383.55-11.69377.80.76-
2022/8129.395.33-30.331257.97-8.4387.910.74-
2022/7122.83-9.47-23.181128.59-4.97415.320.69-
2022/6135.69-13.45-29.881005.76-2.14448.760.72-
2022/5156.790.33-6.98870.064.29508.290.64-
2022/4156.27-19.95-3.53713.277.14495.390.65-
2022/3195.2235.67-2.76557.010.58557.00.44-
2022/2143.89-33.952.76361.7719.43543.450.45-
2022/1217.8819.9333.76217.8833.76614.360.4-
2021/12181.67-15.4228.282087.3951.79520.530.57客戶因應銷售旺季及農曆年備貨之需求,提前備貨,使本期營收成長。
2021/11214.8173.1648.121905.7254.49532.310.56客戶因應耶誕節銷售旺季及農曆年備貨之需求,提前備貨,使本期營收成長。
2021/10124.05-35.876.031690.9155.34503.230.59由於手機及伺服器需求提升,且手機內鍵記憶體容量及價格增加,致使本期累計營收成長55.35%。
2021/9193.454.1546.191566.8661.28539.080.44整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/8185.7316.1477.21373.4163.66539.180.44整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/7159.91-17.3737.231187.6861.73522.010.46整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/6193.5414.8183.41027.7866.35524.090.37整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/5168.564.0569.78834.2362.84531.330.37整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/4161.99-19.3179.01665.6761.17502.80.39整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游品牌手機推出新機帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/3200.7843.3950.86503.6856.17503.680.29整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游品牌手機推出新機帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/2140.02-14.0331.97302.959.9444.520.33半導體需求暢旺且產能吃緊,因大陸疫情發展,要求人員在地過年,使各工廠開工率增加,提前備貨以因應期間需求,使本期營收成長。
2021/1162.8815.0195.45162.8895.45449.520.33半導體需求暢旺且產能吃緊,因大陸疫情發展,要求人員在地過年,使各工廠開工率增加,提前備貨以因應期間需求,使本期營收成長。
2020/12141.62-2.3442.421375.122.13403.630.36-
2020/11145.0223.9642.671233.4820.17394.330.37-
2020/10116.99-11.58-2.961088.4617.7354.120.41-
2020/9132.3226.2510.9971.4720.79353.650.24-
2020/8104.81-10.05-14.69839.1522.52326.860.26-
2020/7116.5210.4111.1734.3430.65321.330.26-
2020/6105.536.2933.25617.8235.14295.30.42-
2020/599.289.7137.84512.2935.53322.860.38-
2020/490.49-32.0-6.61413.0134.99329.680.37-
2020/3133.0925.4475.23322.5254.28322.520.27因下游伺服器等客戶需求強勁,致使本期營收成長。
2020/2106.127.31108.47189.4342.32288.870.31去年同期適逢農曆過年,本期下游伺服器客戶需求暢旺,及部分客戶因應記憶體價格波動提前備貨,致使本期營收成長。
2020/183.33-16.191.3783.331.37284.420.31-
2019/1299.43-2.17-0.581125.86-20.820.0N/A-
2019/11101.65-15.690.581026.42-22.350.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4495.154.47-9.76.506.911521.45-12.64.2725.592.9435.481.6029.0344.818.3932.5615.3421.62-2.04
2022 (9)4274.154.95-29.296.08-1.141740.75-16.613.406.922.170.931.24-17.8837.84-15.7428.23-32.2422.07-23.39
2021 (8)4108.477.0066.276.15102.32087.3951.83.1820.452.1527.221.5113.5344.9193.5841.6678.7228.8180.63
2020 (7)3780.274.2124.193.0413.431375.122.142.64-12.01.69-4.521.333.123.216.1723.3123.8615.9524.32
2019 (6)3770.83.39-11.022.68-25.971125.86-20.83.0011.941.771.721.2917.2719.97-19.4418.82-7.5612.83-11.03
2018 (5)3743.313.810.793.6216.771421.5215.852.68-2.191.74-1.691.10-14.0624.7914.0320.362.5714.421.05
2017 (4)36221.483.7811.833.1031.361227.0110.192.74-1.441.774.731.289.421.7415.6419.8513.3614.2729.49
2016 (3)2984.933.38191.382.36252.241113.5444.192.7842.561.69141.431.17108.9318.8246.2217.51226.0711.02223.17
2015 (2)28421.891.160.00.6759.52772.2550.661.95-26.420.700.00.56-17.655.4351.255.3720.953.4112.91
2014 (1)23340.361.16103.510.4255.56512.5791.672.6500.7000.6803.5986.014.44167.473.02169.64

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