玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.6310.93170.1238.8435.3512.56N/A本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求較去年同期增加
2024/104.1710.73164.1834.2126.812.72N/A本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求較去年同期增加
2024/93.77-21.3549.3430.0418.2613.00.25-
2024/84.797.68118.7526.2714.8312.70.26本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求較去年同期增加
2024/74.4528.3369.3821.483.8411.480.29本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因客戶需求較去年同期增加
2024/63.47-2.8521.4817.04-5.6810.250.31-
2024/53.5710.721.5213.57-10.779.240.34-
2024/43.2231.17-1.4210.01-18.497.490.42-
2024/32.4635.7-29.196.78-24.696.780.44-
2024/21.81-28.12-48.934.33-21.866.20.49-
2024/12.5234.5826.232.5226.236.10.49-
2023/121.879.25-44.6130.56-28.25.160.67-
2023/111.718.49-57.728.69-26.795.810.6本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/101.58-37.4-57.9326.98-23.236.290.55本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/92.5215.19-33.0925.4-19.087.340.4-
2023/82.19-16.62-45.5522.88-17.167.670.39-
2023/72.63-7.95-32.5420.69-12.338.410.35-
2023/62.85-2.81-24.0118.06-8.349.060.28-
2023/52.93-10.22.7515.21-4.659.670.26-
2023/43.27-5.78-22.5812.28-6.2610.280.25-
2023/33.47-2.1213.219.011.489.010.38-
2023/23.5477.6826.225.54-4.698.920.38-
2023/11.99-40.95-33.591.99-33.599.420.36-
2022/123.38-16.5661.6542.577.7311.180.33本期營收較去年同期增加,主係因出貨量增加所致。
2022/114.057.8962.839.194.7211.570.32本期營收較去年同期增加,主係因出貨量增加所致。
2022/103.75-0.4336.3635.140.5811.540.32-
2022/93.77-6.2426.1631.39-2.4611.680.35-
2022/84.023.34.627.62-5.3911.670.35-
2022/73.893.69-8.0823.6-6.9110.50.39-
2022/63.7531.410.2519.71-6.6810.830.49-
2022/52.86-32.34-32.6915.95-8.1710.140.52-
2022/44.2237.7812.2913.1-0.2510.090.52-
2022/33.069.11-3.698.88-5.298.880.63-
2022/22.81-6.5212.875.81-6.117.90.7-
2022/13.043.75-18.863.0-18.867.580.73-
2021/122.09-15.97-37.1439.5116.217.330.72-
2021/112.49-9.62-12.737.4222.08.230.64-
2021/102.75-7.88-5.0934.9425.559.580.55-
2021/92.99-22.26-10.0732.1829.1211.070.37-
2021/83.84-9.2317.9329.235.1411.820.34-
2021/74.2313.145.2725.3538.212.220.33-
2021/63.74-11.7715.2821.1236.8711.750.33-
2021/54.2412.8724.5917.3842.6211.180.34-
2021/43.7618.1522.7613.1349.629.430.41-
2021/33.1827.8973.079.3764.029.370.46疫情影響
2021/22.49-32.8153.236.1959.729.520.46疫情影響
2021/13.711.3764.43.764.49.880.44疫情影響
2020/123.3216.6822.5534.0-18.459.070.43-
2020/112.85-1.74-7.330.67-21.319.070.43-
2020/102.9-12.718.127.83-22.519.480.42-
2020/93.321.9319.1224.93-24.989.50.33-
2020/83.2611.81-22.5921.6-29.029.420.33-
2020/72.91-10.24-26.618.34-30.059.570.33-
2020/63.25-4.65-20.715.43-30.679.720.37-
2020/53.4111.21-24.7912.18-32.918.310.43-
2020/43.0666.57-10.598.78-35.616.520.54-
2020/31.8413.23-49.985.71-44.015.710.54-
2020/21.62-27.91-26.243.88-40.656.590.47-
2020/12.25-16.97-47.982.25-47.980.0N/A-
2019/122.71-11.73-24.7441.69-8.890.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.522023/11.992022/13.02021/13.72020/12.25
2024/21.812023/23.542022/22.812021/22.492020/21.62
2024/32.462023/33.472022/33.062021/33.182020/31.84
2024/43.222023/43.272022/44.222021/43.762020/43.06
2024/53.572023/52.932022/52.862021/54.242020/53.41
2024/63.472023/62.852022/63.752021/63.742020/63.25
2024/74.452023/72.632022/73.892021/74.232020/72.91
2024/84.792023/82.192022/84.022021/83.842020/83.26
2024/93.772023/92.522022/93.772021/92.992020/93.32
2024/104.172023/101.582022/103.752021/102.752020/102.9
2024/114.632023/111.712022/114.052021/112.492020/112.85
N/AN/A2023/121.872022/123.382021/122.092020/123.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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