玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1037.17-16.11-27.94500.833.07129.53N/A-
2024/944.31-7.79-11.45463.6342.77139.432.04-
2024/848.062.1120.42419.3252.64148.731.92係模組產品銷售額增加
2024/747.06-12.2138.64371.2758.12154.451.85係模組產品銷售額增加
2024/653.61-0.355.93324.2161.41158.951.91係模組產品銷售額增加
2024/553.784.2967.96270.662.54173.091.76係模組產品銷售額增加
2024/451.56-23.8953.14216.8261.26165.961.83模組產品銷售額增加30%
2024/367.7545.2372.59165.2663.97165.261.82模組產品銷售額約增加60%
2024/246.65-8.2742.4497.5158.47149.332.02模組產品銷售額約增加60%
2024/150.86-1.8476.750.8676.7156.751.92模組產品銷售額約增加67%
2023/1251.82-4.1629.47482.22-19.97157.481.55-
2023/1154.074.8132.45430.4-23.49155.71.57-
2023/1051.593.0922.65376.33-27.86141.531.72-
2023/950.0425.394.05324.74-32.29123.891.72-
2023/839.917.56-9.78274.7-36.34108.231.97-
2023/733.94-1.27-36.46234.79-39.38100.342.13-
2023/634.387.38-34.93200.85-39.84100.072.06-
2023/532.02-4.9-37.21166.47-40.77104.941.96-
2023/433.67-14.22-42.94134.45-41.56105.671.95-
2023/339.2519.86-38.47100.78-41.08100.782.09-
2023/232.7513.78-38.2961.53-42.63101.552.08-
2023/128.78-28.08-46.8828.78-46.88109.631.92-
2022/1240.02-1.96-19.84602.56-3.67122.91.66-
2022/1140.82-2.93-29.65562.54-2.27130.971.56-
2022/1042.06-12.53-30.32521.720.79134.381.52-
2022/948.098.71-16.18479.664.9145.751.45-
2022/844.23-17.2-22.48431.577.92150.51.4-
2022/753.421.09-2.55387.3412.99157.261.34-
2022/652.843.623.14333.9115.95162.851.43-
2022/550.99-13.59-10.47281.0718.72173.811.34-
2022/459.02-7.4915.93230.0827.97175.891.32-
2022/363.820.223.33171.0632.72171.061.39-
2022/253.07-2.0545.22107.2639.02157.191.51-
2022/154.198.5233.4454.1933.44162.151.47-
2021/1249.93-13.9519.59625.5728.99168.331.16-
2021/1158.03-3.8737.56575.6429.87175.781.11-
2021/1060.375.2135.72517.6129.06174.811.12-
2021/957.380.5432.17457.2428.23169.271.03-
2021/857.074.0952.42399.8727.69163.121.07主要係模組產品營收增加51.17%
2021/754.827.042.42342.824.33163.021.07-
2021/651.23-10.0552.0287.9821.39159.10.98營收成長主要係模組產品營收較去年同期成長68.41%;綜效使6月整體營收較去年同期成長52%。
2021/556.9611.8945.86236.7516.33159.590.98-
2021/450.91-1.5842.22179.799.31139.181.12-
2021/351.7341.53-6.61128.880.16128.881.02-
2021/236.55-10.0-8.6777.155.28118.91.11-
2021/140.61-2.7322.0940.6122.09124.541.06-
2020/1241.75-1.031.94484.978.5128.410.79-
2020/1142.18-5.16-3.71443.229.17130.070.78-
2020/1044.482.45-5.31401.0310.72125.330.81-
2020/943.4115.956.96356.5613.12119.340.94-
2020/837.44-2.73-12.37313.1414.02109.631.03-
2020/738.4914.19-5.26275.7118.89111.251.01-
2020/633.71-13.680.8237.2224.02108.551.2-
2020/539.059.116.38203.5128.94130.231.0-
2020/435.79-35.3716.04164.4632.33131.21.0-
2020/355.3938.469.16128.6737.71128.671.02產品組合改變
2020/240.0220.3247.6573.2820.74114.231.15-
2020/133.26-18.78-0.9633.26-0.96118.021.12-
2019/1240.95-6.5238.26446.939.570.0N/A-
2019/1143.81-6.7323.26405.987.320.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/150.862023/128.782022/154.192021/140.612020/133.26
2024/246.652023/232.752022/253.072021/236.552020/240.02
2024/367.752023/339.252022/363.82021/351.732020/355.39
2024/451.562023/433.672022/459.022021/450.912020/435.79
2024/553.782023/532.022022/550.992021/556.962020/539.05
2024/653.612023/634.382022/652.842021/651.232020/633.71
2024/747.062023/733.942022/753.422021/754.822020/738.49
2024/848.062023/839.92022/844.232021/857.072020/837.44
2024/944.312023/950.042022/948.092021/957.382020/943.41
2024/1037.172023/1051.592022/1042.062021/1060.372020/1044.48
N/AN/A2023/1154.072022/1140.822021/1158.032020/1142.18
N/AN/A2023/1251.822022/1240.022021/1249.932020/1241.75
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.442.86-17.16
24Q2 (19)0.98-44.325.38
24Q1 (18)1.7632.3387.23
23Q4 (17)1.33-21.3-8.9
23Q3 (16)1.6981.7214.97
23Q2 (15)0.93-1.06-61.73
23Q1 (14)0.94-35.62-66.78
22Q4 (13)1.46-0.68-28.08
22Q3 (12)1.47-39.51-19.67
22Q2 (11)2.43-14.13113.16
22Q1 (10)2.8339.41277.33
21Q4 (9)2.0310.93463.89
21Q3 (8)1.8360.53281.25
21Q2 (7)1.1452.0216.67
21Q1 (6)0.75108.3331.58
20Q4 (5)0.36-25.0-72.52
20Q3 (4)0.4833.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.36-36.840.0
20Q1 (2)0.57-56.490.0
19Q4 (1)1.310.00.0

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