玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.191.37-7.8612.642.453.75N/A-
2024/91.17-15.65-6.3511.453.663.830.75-
2024/81.399.91-0.6410.284.943.860.74-
2024/71.264.8-0.828.895.873.740.77-
2024/61.21-5.3-3.787.637.073.850.74-
2024/51.27-7.2110.746.429.394.020.71-
2024/41.370.347.05.159.063.670.78-
2024/31.3747.51-4.373.779.823.770.73-
2024/20.93-37.21-25.62.4119.963.880.71-
2024/11.480.4594.941.4894.944.410.62較去年同期營業天數長
2023/121.470.5921.0615.2716.444.220.59-
2023/111.4613.3525.3713.815.974.00.62-
2023/101.293.0411.8312.3414.943.940.63-
2023/91.25-10.5119.5511.0515.323.930.71-
2023/81.49.7143.969.814.83.930.71-
2023/71.271.6637.798.411.053.680.75-
2023/61.259.016.987.127.333.690.74-
2023/51.15-10.3411.015.875.473.860.71-
2023/41.28-10.320.654.724.23.960.69-
2023/31.4314.76-5.583.445.593.440.79-
2023/21.2564.5252.02.015.333.220.84去年同期因春節營業日數較短,且今年訂單需求增加。
2023/10.76-37.61-17.430.76-17.433.140.86-
2022/121.214.1710.313.116.373.530.72-
2022/111.171.12-6.4211.95.983.370.76-
2022/101.1510.1515.6310.737.533.170.81-
2022/91.057.75-0.319.586.632.940.95-
2022/80.975.01-2.58.537.552.970.94-
2022/70.93-13.68-18.177.569.03.030.92-
2022/61.073.43-1.346.6414.293.380.93-
2022/51.04-18.71-0.635.5617.893.830.83-
2022/41.27-15.8826.554.5323.153.610.88-
2022/31.5284.7534.33.2521.873.250.9-
2022/20.82-10.6322.311.7412.772.841.04-
2022/10.92-16.655.420.925.423.270.9-
2021/121.1-11.6215.1412.3329.393.340.91-
2021/111.2524.9645.4911.2330.983.290.92-
2021/101.0-5.039.999.9829.373.041.0-
2021/91.055.3817.728.9831.953.181.11-
2021/81.0-11.8625.617.9334.13.211.1-
2021/71.134.0727.456.9435.423.261.08-
2021/61.094.1746.735.8137.083.140.88-
2021/51.043.5359.254.7235.043.180.87訂單需求增加
2021/41.01-10.7344.113.6829.462.810.98-
2021/31.1368.2638.412.6724.682.670.66-
2021/20.67-22.97-11.421.5416.232.50.71-
2021/10.87-8.9653.050.8753.052.680.66訂單需求增加
2020/120.9611.658.259.53-10.142.720.6-
2020/110.86-5.522.628.57-11.812.660.62-
2020/100.911.64-2.947.71-13.172.590.63-
2020/90.8912.459.646.81-14.372.570.79-
2020/80.79-10.57-20.515.92-17.112.420.83-
2020/70.8919.81-4.145.12-16.562.280.89-
2020/60.7413.07-5.94.24-18.762.090.94-
2020/50.65-6.3-28.973.5-21.052.170.9-
2020/40.7-14.27-31.642.84-18.972.270.86-
2020/30.827.67-16.382.14-13.752.140.84-
2020/20.7633.126.871.33-12.052.210.81-
2020/10.57-35.61-37.550.57-37.552.290.78-
2019/120.885.85-14.4910.6-6.910.0N/A-
2019/110.83-10.65-19.09.72-6.150.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.482023/10.762022/10.922021/10.872020/10.57
2024/20.932023/21.252022/20.822021/20.672020/20.76
2024/31.372023/31.432022/31.522021/31.132020/30.82
2024/41.372023/41.282022/41.272021/41.012020/40.7
2024/51.272023/51.152022/51.042021/51.042020/50.65
2024/61.212023/61.252022/61.072021/61.092020/60.74
2024/71.262023/71.272022/70.932021/71.132020/70.89
2024/81.392023/81.42022/80.972021/81.02020/80.79
2024/91.172023/91.252022/91.052021/91.052020/90.89
2024/101.192023/101.292022/101.152021/101.02020/100.91
N/AN/A2023/111.462022/111.172021/111.252020/110.86
N/AN/A2023/121.472022/121.212021/121.12020/120.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0350.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.02-66.67-33.33
24Q1 (18)0.0650.0-25.0
23Q4 (17)0.0433.3333.33
23Q3 (16)0.030.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.03-62.5-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.08166.670.0
22Q4 (13)0.03-50.0-50.0
22Q3 (12)0.060.0100.0
22Q2 (11)0.06-25.050.0
22Q1 (10)0.0833.33100.0
21Q4 (9)0.06100.050.0
21Q3 (8)0.03-25.0-25.0
21Q2 (7)0.040.00
21Q1 (6)0.040.0300.0
20Q4 (5)0.040.033.33
20Q3 (4)0.0400.0

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