玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)189-0.53-0.530.54-74.77-69.661.506.3851.524.1614.92-44.8335.99-9.231.5818.993.3211.058.54-8.573.262.83-72.39-70.373.07-17.034.781.02-75.0-69.823.48-73.0-72.272.83-72.39-70.3719.95-15.09143.73
24Q2 (19)1900.00.02.1444.59-34.561.41281.08-24.63.62144.59-37.1539.6549.12-14.118.381.66-2.139.3466.79-17.5610.25-3.39-23.793.7148.32-29.254.0844.68-34.312.89-5.08-24.6610.25-3.39-23.7910.68196.54108.67
24Q1 (18)1900.00.01.48348.48-40.80.37-63.73-86.741.48-81.19-40.826.59-27.76-47.3918.081.86-14.475.60-34.58-58.0510.61520.4712.991.49-52.7-77.932.82347.62-40.5113.58169.4410.5910.61520.4712.99-11.93133.51-30.35
23Q4 (17)1900.01.060.33-81.46-89.751.023.03-75.427.874.38-56.5236.813.9-40.7817.753.8-24.118.563.51-46.631.71-82.09-82.393.157.51-68.410.63-81.36-89.575.04-59.84-61.641.71-82.09-82.39-9.68-63.52-22.02
23Q3 (16)1900.00.531.78-45.57-74.090.99-47.06-79.167.5430.9-49.535.43-23.25-51.0517.10-8.95-29.468.27-27.01-51.619.55-29.0-46.82.93-43.98-76.313.38-45.57-73.9812.55-26.65-44.549.55-29.0-46.8-15.96-7.38-40.02
23Q2 (15)1900.02.153.2730.8-36.261.87-32.97-49.735.76130.4-28.2746.16-8.67-25.5518.78-11.16-16.6811.33-15.13-28.2913.4543.24-12.835.23-22.52-46.586.2131.01-35.1117.1139.33-13.8913.4543.24-12.83-13.684.22-32.87
23Q1 (14)1901.062.152.50-22.36-13.492.79-32.779.842.50-86.19-13.4950.54-18.6911.6421.14-9.62-2.413.35-16.77-4.919.39-3.3-20.696.75-32.36.134.74-21.52-11.5712.28-6.54-19.589.39-3.3-20.69-16.41-37.75-22.70
22Q4 (13)188-0.531.083.22-53.1354.074.15-12.6381.2218.1021.23183.2662.16-14.1238.1923.39-3.5122.1416.04-6.1439.489.71-45.9112.519.97-19.492.846.04-53.555.6713.14-41.9425.149.71-45.9112.511.31-9.617.53
22Q3 (12)1891.611.616.8733.92273.374.7527.69160.9914.9385.93248.0272.3816.7474.4124.247.5436.3317.098.1675.6417.9516.33118.112.3726.35206.1912.9935.74279.8222.6313.89133.5417.9516.33118.126.8555.7237.08
22Q2 (11)1860.00.05.1377.51632.863.7246.46313.338.03177.85227.7662.036.9678.2122.544.0656.6415.8012.54229.8515.4330.32314.789.7953.93486.239.5778.54636.1519.8730.12444.3815.4330.32314.7818.8057.9028.69
22Q1 (10)1860.00.02.8938.2865.142.5410.9250.32.89-54.7765.1445.270.6432.4821.6613.115.214.0422.0925.5811.8437.224.376.3623.0266.495.3638.1464.9215.2745.4334.4211.8437.224.374.5225.9418.37
21Q4 (9)1860.05.082.0913.5999.052.2925.8236.316.3948.9526.2844.988.3950.9919.157.71-5.2411.5018.19-2.798.634.8638.085.1727.9746.463.8813.45107.4910.508.3641.328.634.8638.0813.8488.2364.02
21Q3 (8)1860.06.291.84162.8675.241.82102.2214.474.2975.15.6741.519.2929.017.7823.56-11.59.73103.13-5.638.23121.2443.634.04141.9221.693.42163.0884.869.69165.4843.988.23121.2443.6310.5551.4327.73
21Q2 (7)1860.06.290.70-60.0-28.570.90-46.75-14.292.4540.0-18.634.791.8146.4214.39-30.11-27.724.79-57.16-51.023.72-60.92-48.41.67-56.28-28.021.3-60.0-24.423.65-67.87-58.03.72-60.92-48.48.253.34-23.07
21Q1 (6)1865.086.291.7566.67-13.371.690.64.321.75-65.42-13.3734.1714.723.2220.591.88-13.5611.18-5.49-13.09.5252.32-25.333.828.227.33.2573.8-8.1911.3652.89-22.149.5252.32-25.333.6533.343.13
20Q4 (5)1771.147.931.050.0-53.741.685.66-29.415.0624.63-35.2129.79-7.4-13.9320.210.6-14.1811.8314.74-22.886.259.08-41.73.536.33-33.521.871.08-49.67.4310.4-43.076.259.08-41.7--0.00
20Q3 (4)1750.00.01.057.140.01.5951.430.04.0634.880.032.1735.40.020.090.90.010.315.420.05.73-20.530.03.3243.10.01.857.560.06.73-22.550.05.73-20.530.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1750.00.00.98-51.490.01.05-35.190.03.0149.010.023.76-14.320.019.91-16.410.09.78-23.890.07.21-43.450.02.32-34.830.01.72-51.410.08.69-40.440.07.21-43.450.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1756.710.02.02-11.010.01.62-31.930.02.02-74.140.027.73-19.880.023.821.150.012.85-16.230.012.7518.940.03.56-32.960.03.54-4.580.014.5911.80.012.7518.940.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1640.00.02.270.00.02.380.00.07.810.00.034.610.00.023.550.00.015.340.00.010.720.00.05.310.00.03.710.00.013.050.00.010.720.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1113.253.5-3.72128.28-18.635.47N/A-
2024/1012.835.99.32115.03-20.0233.21N/A-
2024/99.42-14.3410.59102.23-22.6235.990.67-
2024/811.0-29.412.5692.81-24.9140.790.59-
2024/715.579.5-9.1581.82-28.1244.510.54-
2024/614.22-3.38.6766.24-31.4939.650.56-
2024/514.7137.23-11.5752.02-37.7832.170.69-
2024/410.7258.98-34.7937.31-44.2924.020.92-
2024/36.742.79-60.3426.59-47.3726.590.98終端實質購買力不振,波及品牌客戶下單力道與拉貨節奏,進而影響產銷數據。
2024/26.56-50.65-64.219.85-40.831.190.83終端實質購買力不振,波及品牌客戶下單力道與拉貨節奏,再加上適逢年節,實際工作天數較少,進而影響產銷數據。
2024/113.2917.24-12.6313.29-12.6338.390.68-
2023/1211.34-17.61-48.69168.93-30.1336.810.58-
2023/1113.7617.52-32.95157.6-28.2733.980.63-
2023/1011.7137.48-40.07143.83-27.7829.990.71-
2023/98.52-12.82-65.7132.13-26.4535.430.84連續暴力升息及俄烏戰事延長,已造成全球產經情勢更多不確定性,不僅影響終端實質購買力,更波及品牌客戶之下單力道與拉貨節奏。
2023/89.77-43.02-63.33123.61-20.1540.00.74連續暴力升息及俄烏戰事延長,已造成全球產經情勢更多不確定性,不僅影響終端實質購買力,更波及品牌客戶之下單力道與拉貨節奏。
2023/717.1430.98-18.01113.84-11.1846.870.64-
2023/613.09-21.32-51.9296.7-9.8546.160.68連續暴力升息及俄烏戰事延長,已造成全球產經情勢更多不確定性,不僅影響終端實質購買力,更波及品牌客戶之下單力道與拉貨節奏。
2023/516.641.19-15.0183.614.4550.080.63-
2023/416.44-3.318.1366.9710.7551.760.61-
2023/317.0-7.190.8350.5411.6250.540.84-
2023/218.3220.4233.5233.5318.0355.630.77-
2023/115.21-31.153.5615.213.5657.840.74-
2022/1222.17.6634.26241.8155.5662.160.8訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/1120.535.0548.58219.7158.0864.890.77訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/1019.54-21.3132.81199.1959.1371.010.7訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/924.83-6.867.7179.6562.6372.380.71訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/826.6427.477.19154.8261.8574.780.69訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/720.91-23.1879.37128.1858.9967.710.76訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/627.2239.06108.83107.2755.5462.00.84訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,再加上品牌客戶拉貨力道強勁,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/519.5728.7661.9180.0543.1251.641.01訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/415.2-9.8457.2260.4737.9445.781.14訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/316.8622.8947.2445.2732.4945.271.09-
2022/213.72-6.652.9828.4125.0544.871.09訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2022/114.69-10.746.8414.696.8444.961.09-
2021/1216.4619.1311.93155.4437.044.980.87-
2021/1113.81-6.0954.66138.9840.7343.330.9訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/1014.71-0.63138.91125.1739.3544.550.87訂單充沛以及產能持穩擴增,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/914.8-1.5363.34110.4632.0241.50.82今年訂單充足且產能持穩擴增,受缺船及缺櫃影響,客戶交期遞延,以致營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/815.0428.9728.8595.6628.2239.730.85-
2021/711.66-10.561.8980.6228.136.780.92-
2021/613.047.8236.7868.9633.9234.791.05-
2021/512.0925.0313.555.9333.2733.211.1-
2021/49.67-15.56169.8943.8440.030.091.22去年受疫情影響,客戶交期遞延,今年訂單充足且產能擴增,故營收大幅成長。
2021/311.4527.6845.4734.1723.2234.170.96-
2021/28.97-34.77-2.7522.7214.437.420.88-
2021/113.75-6.4829.2813.7529.2837.380.88-
2020/1214.764.620.98113.46-11.6529.790.92-
2020/118.9345.06-15.1698.75-13.2724.151.13-
2020/106.16-32.06-35.3289.82-13.0726.891.02-
2020/99.06-22.320.3983.66-10.8232.170.66-
2020/811.671.980.4374.6-12.0132.640.65-
2020/711.4420.04-17.462.93-13.9931.620.68-
2020/69.53-10.51-31.1251.49-13.1923.761.01-
2020/510.65197.28-9.7341.96-7.7422.11.09-
2020/43.58-54.48-54.6931.31-7.0420.681.16客戶交期遞延
2020/37.87-14.640.3227.737.5727.730.88-
2020/29.22-13.2864.7819.8610.7434.420.71去年同期遇春節假期,故營收較低。
2020/110.64-26.95-13.7710.64-13.770.0N/A-
2019/1214.5638.2913.99128.4327.530.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1901.067.86-55.976.68-55.97168.93-30.1418.91-18.1410.69-32.858.86-36.8918.06-53.0820.41-53.3814.97-55.92
2022 (9)1881.0817.85185.1415.17126.76241.8155.5623.1028.0515.9268.2914.0484.2538.49161.8443.78214.9633.96186.58
2021 (8)1865.086.2625.26.6912.63155.4437.018.04-14.059.46-15.697.62-3.4214.715.4813.932.5111.8531.96
2020 (7)1777.935.00-31.65.94-8.33113.46-11.6620.996.611.22-1.067.89-20.6212.73-12.6310.49-30.628.98-29.79
2019 (6)16412.337.3151.666.4888.92128.4327.5419.699.3911.3436.799.9435.7914.5774.715.1262.5812.7972.14
2018 (5)1462.824.82-12.523.43-29.13100.7-3.0618.00-9.08.29-23.887.32-4.448.34-26.269.3-8.827.43-7.47
2017 (4)1425.975.5114.324.8482.64103.8814.4119.789.9510.8941.617.660.2611.3162.0310.213.338.0314.39
2016 (3)1342.294.82447.732.651792.8690.80.3817.9938.497.69237.287.64536.676.98238.839.0206.127.02510.43
2015 (2)1317.380.88-71.70.14-92.4790.466.1112.99-18.812.28-59.141.20-73.682.06-56.722.94-42.581.15-70.28
2014 (1)1222.523.1140.721.8644.1985.2522.8616.0005.5804.5604.7685.945.1284.173.8745.49

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