玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/108.32-2.4115.6480.0919.7524.91N/A-
2024/98.525.5913.5971.7720.2424.630.62-
2024/88.070.414.2963.2521.223.730.65-
2024/78.045.518.6655.1722.2823.270.66-
2024/67.620.1720.8747.1322.9222.980.59-
2024/57.61-1.859.2339.5123.3323.510.58-
2024/47.75-4.9337.2831.9127.2422.60.6-
2024/38.1521.7620.4924.1624.3324.160.51-
2024/26.7-28.0818.9916.026.3824.220.51-
2024/19.3113.3832.299.3132.2925.160.49-
2023/128.217.51.6182.720.7223.040.56-
2023/117.646.194.1474.510.6222.330.58-
2023/107.19-4.1415.7966.880.2321.760.6-
2023/97.56.2415.9559.68-1.3521.340.53-
2023/87.064.249.0552.18-3.4320.140.56-
2023/76.777.471.4745.12-5.1320.040.56-
2023/66.3-9.47-7.538.34-6.2118.910.54-
2023/56.9623.346.7232.04-5.9519.370.53-
2023/45.65-16.56-14.6325.08-8.9518.040.57-
2023/36.7720.24-4.9919.43-7.1619.430.53-
2023/25.63-20.047.0212.66-8.2720.740.49-
2023/17.04-12.9-17.687.04-17.6822.450.46-
2022/128.0810.18-11.1582.138.4921.620.54-
2022/117.3318.06-3.7974.0511.1820.020.58-
2022/106.21-4.020.6466.7213.1119.160.61-
2022/96.47-0.0711.6360.5114.5719.620.61-
2022/86.48-3.023.7654.0314.9419.970.6-
2022/76.68-2.0318.7147.5613.8320.020.6-
2022/66.814.4430.2640.8813.0719.950.55-
2022/56.52-1.348.8634.0710.1620.260.54-
2022/46.61-7.1315.7127.5410.4818.990.58-
2022/37.1235.464.8620.938.9220.930.47-
2022/25.26-38.515.4913.8111.1422.90.43-
2022/18.55-5.998.638.558.6325.270.39-
2021/129.0919.319.4775.714.222.890.42-
2021/117.6223.5220.766.614.8819.590.49-
2021/106.176.453.5958.9814.1617.20.55-
2021/95.810.782.9352.8115.5416.650.58-
2021/85.23-6.96-4.0647.0117.3116.090.6-
2021/75.627.519.0241.7820.6816.850.57-
2021/65.23-12.74.2136.1520.9416.940.47-
2021/55.994.8728.5230.9224.3218.50.43-
2021/45.72-15.8534.7724.9323.3517.060.47-
2021/36.7949.230.3319.2120.3219.210.36-
2021/24.55-42.15-6.6212.4215.4820.730.33-
2021/17.87-5.2633.797.8733.7922.490.31-
2020/128.3131.54-7.7266.285.2220.580.33-
2020/116.316.03.5257.977.3817.90.37-
2020/105.965.7814.4651.667.8717.040.39-
2020/95.633.238.5445.77.0715.810.48-
2020/85.4515.4314.9840.076.8715.20.5-
2020/74.73-5.871.8534.625.6914.410.52-
2020/65.027.653.8429.896.3313.920.4-
2020/54.669.97-5.5824.876.8414.110.39-
2020/44.24-18.62-6.3220.2110.1914.330.39-
2020/35.216.922.1415.9715.615.970.36-
2020/24.87-17.1240.7610.7612.6819.760.29-
2020/15.88-34.66-3.35.88-3.320.980.27-
2019/129.047.5913.9362.995.220.0N/A-
2019/116.117.25.353.993.90.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.312023/17.042022/18.552021/17.872020/15.88
2024/26.72023/25.632022/25.262021/24.552020/24.87
2024/38.152023/36.772022/37.122021/36.792020/35.21
2024/47.752023/45.652022/46.612021/45.722020/44.24
2024/57.612023/56.962022/56.522021/55.992020/54.66
2024/67.622023/66.32022/66.812021/65.232020/65.02
2024/78.042023/76.772022/76.682021/75.622020/74.73
2024/88.072023/87.062022/86.482021/85.232020/85.45
2024/98.522023/97.52022/96.472021/95.82020/95.63
2024/108.322023/107.192022/106.212021/106.172020/105.96
N/AN/A2023/117.642022/117.332021/117.622020/116.31
N/AN/A2023/128.212022/128.082021/129.092020/128.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.731.8736.5
24Q2 (19)2.686.7727.01
24Q1 (18)2.5114.61105.74
23Q4 (17)2.199.576.61
23Q3 (16)2.0-5.2147.06
23Q2 (15)2.1172.9549.65
23Q1 (14)1.22-1.61-7.58
22Q4 (13)1.24-8.822.48
22Q3 (12)1.36-3.5538.78
22Q2 (11)1.416.8250.0
22Q1 (10)1.329.0965.0
21Q4 (9)1.2123.4730.11
21Q3 (8)0.984.2622.5
21Q2 (7)0.9417.58.05
21Q1 (6)0.8-13.9833.33
20Q4 (5)0.9316.2543.08
20Q3 (4)0.8-8.050.0
20Q2 (3)0.8745.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.6-7.690.0
19Q4 (1)0.650.00.0

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