玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.4210.460.04.25-0.371.29N/A-
2024/90.38-20.15-24.93.83-0.411.332.08-
2024/80.483.021.353.443.331.372.01-
2024/70.479.5829.382.963.661.232.24-
2024/60.4323.656.682.5-0.041.292.06-
2024/50.34-33.53-28.332.07-1.311.212.19-
2024/40.5247.8740.751.736.681.322.0-
2024/30.35-23.41-17.151.21-3.311.211.94-
2024/20.4612.9922.770.863.721.251.88-
2024/10.46.47-11.750.4-11.751.251.88-
2023/120.39-16.26-28.465.11-13.971.271.66-
2023/110.469.189.614.73-12.521.41.51-
2023/100.42-17.050.834.26-14.41.411.5-
2023/90.517.76-14.953.84-15.81.341.56-
2023/80.4731.51-2.663.33-15.931.231.7-
2023/70.36-9.64-5.352.86-17.791.241.69-
2023/60.4-16.92-40.272.5-19.321.251.73-
2023/50.4830.536.962.1-13.561.271.7-
2023/40.37-12.95-28.531.62-18.211.161.86-
2023/30.4213.49-29.31.25-14.591.251.92-
2023/20.37-18.78-5.190.83-4.481.371.76-
2023/10.46-15.33-3.890.46-3.891.421.7-
2022/120.5428.31.325.94-5.981.381.66-
2022/110.420.44-43.485.4-6.651.441.59-
2022/100.42-30.04-29.244.98-1.211.511.52-
2022/90.623.3439.294.562.521.471.85-
2022/80.4927.87-8.793.96-1.411.531.77-
2022/70.38-42.97-13.333.48-0.281.51.82-
2022/60.6748.773.723.11.591.631.82-
2022/50.45-12.78-11.082.431.021.561.9-
2022/40.51-13.89-12.611.984.231.51.97-
2022/30.652.1931.11.4711.791.471.77-
2022/20.39-17.67-15.120.871.521.41.85-
2022/10.48-10.7321.080.4821.081.761.47-
2021/120.53-28.42-0.286.3217.31.871.33-
2021/110.7525.7425.445.7919.241.771.41-
2021/100.5937.716.915.0418.371.561.6-
2021/90.43-19.23-8.714.4520.091.41.83-
2021/80.5321.59.574.0224.291.621.59-
2021/70.44-31.75-8.763.4926.91.591.62-
2021/60.6427.5363.713.0534.481.740.97去年6月受疫情影響,需求趨減,今年因疫情好轉,市場需求回升,故今年6月合併營收較去年同期增加 63.71%
2021/50.5-14.2837.852.428.351.551.09-
2021/40.5929.17115.61.926.041.511.12去年4月受疫情影響,需求趨減,今年因疫情好轉,市場需求回升,故今年4月合併營收較去年同期增加115.60%。
2021/30.46-1.461.541.316.241.311.33-
2021/20.4617.451.750.868.921.391.26-
2021/10.39-26.4918.740.3918.741.521.15-
2020/120.54-9.953.725.39-9.81.681.02-
2020/110.597.177.444.85-11.081.621.06-
2020/100.5517.57-0.874.26-13.171.511.14-
2020/90.47-3.04-11.523.71-14.751.441.51-
2020/80.491.1715.293.23-15.21.361.6-
2020/70.4822.450.442.75-19.01.241.76-
2020/60.397.39-32.122.27-22.191.032.38-
2020/50.3734.04-15.071.87-19.731.092.25-
2020/40.27-39.15-43.731.51-20.791.182.08-
2020/30.45-1.26-9.471.23-12.941.231.94-
2020/20.4537.07-10.720.79-14.811.31.84-
2020/10.33-35.79-19.840.33-19.841.41.71-
2019/120.52-6.72-27.525.98-19.960.0N/A-
2019/110.55-1.13-14.645.46-19.160.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.42023/10.462022/10.482021/10.392020/10.33
2024/20.462023/20.372022/20.392021/20.462020/20.45
2024/30.352023/30.422022/30.62021/30.462020/30.45
2024/40.522023/40.372022/40.512021/40.592020/40.27
2024/50.342023/50.482022/50.452021/50.52020/50.37
2024/60.432023/60.42022/60.672021/60.642020/60.39
2024/70.472023/70.362022/70.382021/70.442020/70.48
2024/80.482023/80.472022/80.492021/80.532020/80.49
2024/90.382023/90.512022/90.62021/90.432020/90.47
2024/100.422023/100.422022/100.422021/100.592020/100.55
N/AN/A2023/110.462022/110.422021/110.752020/110.59
N/AN/A2023/120.392022/120.542021/120.532020/120.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.91%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0525.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.04-33.330.0
24Q1 (18)0.0650.020.0
23Q4 (17)0.04-20.033.33
23Q3 (16)0.0525.025.0
23Q2 (15)0.04-20.0300.0
23Q1 (14)0.0566.67400.0
22Q4 (13)0.03-25.00
22Q3 (12)0.04300.00
22Q2 (11)0.010.00
22Q1 (10)0.0100

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