玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.81-1.75-22.9720.58-26.295.61N/A-
2024/91.84-5.99-34.8518.77-26.65.791.53-
2024/81.96-1.38-43.0516.92-25.576.41.38本期銷貨重量減少且銷貨單價下降
2024/71.99-19.05-9.614.96-22.457.181.23-
2024/62.46-10.35-2.8112.98-24.117.271.29-
2024/52.7432.17-9.5310.52-27.86.951.35-
2024/42.07-3.12-14.397.78-32.595.711.64-
2024/32.1442.83-32.95.71-37.425.711.74-
2024/21.5-27.71-52.043.57-39.857.891.26本期銷貨單價下降且銷貨重量減少所致
2024/12.07-52.08-26.312.07-26.319.151.09-
2023/124.3257.0212.1235.0-0.889.430.91-
2023/112.7517.18-10.7730.67-2.477.931.08-
2023/102.35-16.89-23.5527.92-1.578.621.0-
2023/92.83-17.827.0125.571.098.471.08-
2023/83.4456.538.1922.740.48.171.12-
2023/72.2-12.97-11.4519.3-0.877.751.18-
2023/62.53-16.56-34.7217.10.677.981.17-
2023/53.0325.0732.5714.5711.128.641.08-
2023/42.42-24.06-2.7511.546.68.731.07-
2023/33.192.08-13.19.129.49.120.98-
2023/23.1211.0722.185.9327.089.790.91-
2023/12.81-27.0933.02.8133.09.760.92-
2022/123.8624.9456.8735.3136.2410.020.87本期銷貨重量較去年同期增加
2022/113.090.4-8.4131.4534.078.80.99-
2022/103.0716.3312.9928.3641.28.90.98-
2022/92.64-16.920.3525.2945.628.311.02-
2022/83.1828.0972.5722.6553.729.540.89本期不銹鋼板銷貨重量較去年提升
2022/72.48-35.8428.6419.4751.028.640.98不銹鋼板銷貨重量與價格均較去年提升
2022/63.8769.4624.0516.9854.968.641.01不銹鋼板銷貨重量與價格均較去年提升
2022/52.28-8.256.513.1167.278.441.04本年度不銹鋼板銷貨價格與重量均增加
2022/42.49-32.1456.0810.8390.158.711.0本期銷貨重量與價格均增加
2022/33.6743.53176.438.34103.418.341.05本期不銹鋼板銷貨重量與價格均較去年同期增加
2022/22.5620.983.974.6768.457.131.23本年度不銹鋼板銷貨數量與價格較去年同期提升
2022/12.11-14.052.862.1152.867.941.1本月銷貨重量與價格均較去年同月增加
2021/122.46-27.0545.5525.9227.498.551.34-
2021/113.3723.86121.6623.4625.858.721.31不銹鋼產品銷貨重量增加且價格提升
2021/102.723.31149.920.0917.347.21.59110年10月不銹鋼價格較109年10月上漲,銷貨重量亦增加
2021/92.6342.8760.617.378.346.411.78110年9月不銹鋼價格較109年9月上漲,銷貨重量亦增加.
2021/81.84-4.5143.8414.732.386.891.66-
2021/71.93-38.1335.1512.89-1.667.21.59-
2021/63.1245.4997.6310.96-6.166.860.9110年6月不銹鋼價格較109年6月上漲,銷貨重量亦增加.
2021/52.1434.45-16.657.84-22.385.071.22-
2021/41.5920.17-18.985.69-24.344.311.43-
2021/31.33-4.46-31.094.1-26.244.11.15-
2021/21.390.45-22.912.77-23.684.461.06-
2021/11.38-18.12-24.421.38-24.424.591.03-
2020/121.6911.09-27.3120.33-12.234.31.36-
2020/111.5239.64-23.0518.64-10.554.251.38-
2020/101.09-33.6-46.7217.12-9.244.011.46-
2020/91.6427.9618.3116.03-4.694.351.26-
2020/81.28-10.28-36.5514.39-6.754.291.27-
2020/71.43-9.53-28.7213.11-2.275.580.98-
2020/61.58-38.64-9.0111.682.376.121.1-
2020/52.5730.720.0910.14.416.471.05-
2020/41.972.21-7.777.53-0.045.71.19-
2020/31.936.86-11.075.563.05.561.28-
2020/21.8-1.513.273.6312.445.961.2-
2020/11.83-21.2411.651.8311.656.131.16-
2019/122.3217.61.1423.16-20.310.0N/A-
2019/111.98-3.31-23.8620.84-22.150.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.072023/12.812022/12.112021/11.382020/11.83
2024/21.52023/23.122022/22.562021/21.392020/21.8
2024/32.142023/33.192022/33.672021/31.332020/31.93
2024/42.072023/42.422022/42.492021/41.592020/41.97
2024/52.742023/53.032022/52.282021/52.142020/52.57
2024/62.462023/62.532022/63.872021/63.122020/61.58
2024/71.992023/72.22022/72.482021/71.932020/71.43
2024/81.962023/83.442022/83.182021/81.842020/81.28
2024/91.842023/92.832022/92.642021/92.632020/91.64
2024/101.812023/102.352022/103.072021/102.722020/101.09
N/AN/A2023/112.752022/113.092021/113.372020/111.52
N/AN/A2023/124.322022/123.862021/122.462020/121.69
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.111.11233.33
24Q2 (19)0.09-35.71-18.18
24Q1 (18)0.14250.0366.67
23Q4 (17)0.0433.33-50.0
23Q3 (16)0.03-72.73-81.25
23Q2 (15)0.11266.67-60.71
23Q1 (14)0.03-62.5-86.36
22Q4 (13)0.08-50.0-27.27
22Q3 (12)0.16-42.86-23.81
22Q2 (11)0.2827.27250.0
22Q1 (10)0.22100.01000.0
21Q4 (9)0.11-47.62266.67
21Q3 (8)0.21162.52000.0
21Q2 (7)0.08300.0166.67
21Q1 (6)0.02-33.330.0
20Q4 (5)0.03200.0-72.73
20Q3 (4)0.01-66.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.0350.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.02-81.820.0
19Q4 (1)0.110.00.0

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