玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.98-4.77-11.8439.53-4.5611.98N/A-
2024/94.189.253.3335.55-3.6711.453.56-
2024/83.8210.81-11.1831.37-4.5310.823.76-
2024/73.45-2.73-21.827.55-3.5311.353.59-
2024/63.55-18.6-19.9324.1-0.1912.173.38-
2024/54.362.1-9.7820.554.2413.123.14-
2024/44.27-5.057.7116.28.7811.633.54-
2024/34.4956.973.0811.939.1711.933.5-
2024/22.86-37.36-20.847.4313.2211.933.5-
2024/14.571.755.014.5755.0114.12.96去年年假期間在一月,本年度在二月,差異係單純時間性問題。
2023/124.49-10.767.550.9522.7814.042.99-
2023/115.0411.6531.2546.4524.513.593.09-
2023/104.5111.6212.4441.4223.7212.863.26-
2023/94.04-6.0916.5936.9125.2612.763.31-
2023/84.3-2.4310.3432.8626.4113.153.22-
2023/74.41-0.4135.0328.5629.2513.673.09-
2023/64.43-8.2832.5724.1528.2513.223.07-
2023/54.8321.945.3519.7227.3213.153.09-
2023/43.96-9.1418.0714.8922.3911.943.4-
2023/34.3620.5326.1610.9324.0310.933.73-
2023/23.6222.6671.746.5722.6610.753.79本月較去年同期營收增加逾50%,主係去年2月適逢年假,營業日數較短所致。
2023/12.95-29.5-9.162.95-9.1610.973.72-
2022/124.189.031.0341.4910.0912.033.38-
2022/113.84-4.3443.1737.318.1511.323.59-
2022/104.0115.7444.9833.475.211.383.57-
2022/93.47-11.1328.429.461.4110.633.58-
2022/83.919.3956.0326.0-1.3410.513.62去年同期本公司石材減產,致本月與去年同期相較增加50%以上。
2022/73.27-2.225.0922.09-7.369.933.83-
2022/63.340.552.5918.83-9.2210.023.69-
2022/53.32-0.97-6.9415.49-11.4310.133.65-
2022/43.36-2.92-2.912.16-12.588.924.15-
2022/33.4664.08-1.128.81-15.778.814.1-
2022/22.11-35.12-24.525.35-23.138.554.22-
2022/13.251.65-22.23.25-22.29.123.96-
2021/123.1919.15-17.6937.69-16.798.644.25-
2021/112.68-3.13-33.3434.5-16.718.154.51-
2021/102.772.5-27.4931.82-14.927.974.61-
2021/92.77.99-29.129.05-13.498.314.24-
2021/82.5-19.58-31.8526.35-11.58.863.97-
2021/73.11-4.54-19.0523.85-8.649.943.54-
2021/63.26-8.78-9.6920.74-6.8410.283.36-
2021/53.573.32-0.0317.49-6.2910.523.28-
2021/43.46-1.13-14.513.92-7.789.743.54-
2021/33.525.24-16.3810.46-5.3110.463.35-
2021/22.79-33.13-28.496.961.4110.853.23-
2021/14.177.5340.814.1740.8112.082.9-
2020/123.88-3.482.7145.321.3911.723.03-
2020/114.025.3616.2641.4223.511.653.04-
2020/103.820.239.5637.424.3311.293.14-
2020/93.813.7921.8633.5826.2711.323.1-
2020/83.67-4.4722.8729.7826.8511.113.16-
2020/73.846.4922.6126.1127.4311.023.18-
2020/63.610.9632.5822.2728.311.223.11-
2020/53.57-11.6316.9918.6627.5111.792.96-
2020/44.04-3.3124.8115.0930.2812.132.88-
2020/34.187.133.5111.0532.411.053.17-
2020/23.931.67132.226.8731.7310.653.29因去年同期適逢農曆春節假期發貨天數較少外,本月因部分同業設備維修出貨量下降,惟整體市場需求上升,致本公司發貨量增加。
2020/12.96-21.55-16.082.96-16.0810.23.44-
2019/123.789.2425.9537.3212.040.0N/A-
2019/113.46-0.728.1233.5410.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.572023/12.952022/13.252021/14.172020/12.96
2024/22.862023/23.622022/22.112021/22.792020/23.9
2024/34.492023/34.362022/33.462021/33.52020/34.18
2024/44.272023/43.962022/43.362021/43.462020/44.04
2024/54.362023/54.832022/53.322021/53.572020/53.57
2024/63.552023/64.432022/63.342021/63.262020/63.61
2024/73.452023/74.412022/73.272021/73.112020/73.84
2024/83.822023/84.32022/83.92021/82.52020/83.67
2024/94.182023/94.042022/93.472021/92.72020/93.81
2024/103.982023/104.512022/104.012021/102.772020/103.82
N/AN/A2023/115.042022/113.842021/112.682020/114.02
N/AN/A2023/124.492022/124.182021/123.192020/123.88
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 19.25%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.795.5637.63
24Q2 (19)7.38-2.8932.02
24Q1 (18)7.645.8739.19
23Q4 (17)5.21-7.95-5.1
23Q3 (16)5.661.252.35
23Q2 (15)5.592.383.52
23Q1 (14)5.46-0.5511.89
22Q4 (13)5.49-0.72187.43
22Q3 (12)5.532.41124.8
22Q2 (11)5.410.6687.5
22Q1 (10)4.88155.539.43
21Q4 (9)1.91-22.36-42.64
21Q3 (8)2.46-14.58-27.43
21Q2 (7)2.88-17.712.49
21Q1 (6)3.55.112.94
20Q4 (5)3.33-1.7728.57
20Q3 (4)3.3920.640.0
20Q2 (3)2.81-17.350.0
20Q1 (2)3.431.270.0
19Q4 (1)2.590.00.0

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