玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.61-12.19-8.2218.123.775.3N/A-
2024/91.84-0.92-3.0616.515.115.40.54-
2024/81.858.283.8414.676.245.320.55-
2024/71.71-2.220.8512.826.595.290.55-
2024/61.75-4.164.0111.17.545.290.53-
2024/51.836.675.079.368.345.430.52-
2024/41.71-9.373.677.539.025.440.52-
2024/31.892.6516.475.8110.75.810.47-
2024/21.84-11.4719.943.928.126.010.45-
2024/12.08-0.36-0.552.08-0.555.890.46-
2023/122.0921.327.8621.2715.085.570.56-
2023/111.72-2.1-3.0219.1815.925.370.58-
2023/101.76-7.2517.2717.4618.25.440.57-
2023/91.96.1425.5215.718.315.380.51-
2023/81.795.1612.9313.8117.385.170.53-
2023/71.70.8313.9712.0218.075.120.53-
2023/61.68-3.1925.4710.3318.775.080.52-
2023/51.745.2517.168.6417.555.010.53-
2023/41.651.8128.756.917.654.810.55-
2023/31.625.7117.245.2514.545.250.48-
2023/21.54-26.616.483.6313.365.560.45-
2023/12.098.0711.182.0911.185.80.43-
2022/121.949.080.3318.483.25.210.54-
2022/111.7718.3710.0416.553.544.780.59-
2022/101.5-0.726.5614.772.824.590.61-
2022/91.51-4.5-7.8813.272.414.580.6-
2022/81.586.1314.9211.763.94.410.62-
2022/71.4911.0115.6610.182.384.320.63-
2022/61.34-9.625.28.690.44.110.64-
2022/51.4815.6510.17.35-3.094.150.64-
2022/41.28-7.28-9.075.87-5.953.990.66-
2022/31.385.02-6.664.58-5.044.580.51-
2022/21.32-29.94-19.523.2-4.315.130.46-
2022/11.88-2.4710.281.8810.285.420.44-
2021/121.9319.6312.5817.91-6.934.950.52-
2021/111.6114.64-13.5115.98-8.844.660.55-
2021/101.41-14.18-4.4614.37-8.284.420.58-
2021/91.6419.13-9.2112.96-8.684.30.58-
2021/81.386.82-19.2411.32-8.63.740.67-
2021/71.2920.16-21.749.95-6.93.710.67-
2021/61.07-20.5-24.518.66-4.23.830.66-
2021/51.35-4.48-9.827.59-0.424.240.59-
2021/41.41-4.8214.856.241.874.530.56-
2021/31.48-9.4425.694.83-1.384.830.47-
2021/21.64-3.9810.993.34-9.985.060.45-
2021/11.71-0.44-23.811.71-23.815.280.43-
2020/121.71-8.1-12.8319.24-15.065.050.51-
2020/111.8626.64-11.3117.53-15.275.140.5-
2020/101.47-18.45-16.615.67-15.724.980.52-
2020/91.815.97-6.8314.19-15.635.150.49-
2020/81.73.51-14.0312.39-16.774.770.53-
2020/71.6515.9-9.1110.68-17.24.560.55-
2020/61.42-5.02-22.29.04-18.524.140.63-
2020/51.4921.64-21.997.62-17.793.90.67-
2020/41.234.15-25.966.12-16.693.880.67-
2020/31.18-20.03-34.784.89-13.994.890.54-
2020/21.48-34.09-8.813.71-4.35.680.47-
2020/12.2413.9-1.082.24-1.086.310.42-
2019/121.97-6.50.722.662.590.0N/A-
2019/112.119.099.9620.692.770.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.082023/12.092022/11.882021/11.712020/12.24
2024/21.842023/21.542022/21.322021/21.642020/21.48
2024/31.892023/31.622022/31.382021/31.482020/31.18
2024/41.712023/41.652022/41.282021/41.412020/41.23
2024/51.832023/51.742022/51.482021/51.352020/51.49
2024/61.752023/61.682022/61.342021/61.072020/61.42
2024/71.712023/71.72022/71.492021/71.292020/71.65
2024/81.852023/81.792022/81.582021/81.382020/81.7
2024/91.842023/91.92022/91.512021/91.642020/91.81
2024/101.612023/101.762022/101.52021/101.412020/101.47
N/AN/A2023/111.722022/111.772021/111.612020/111.86
N/AN/A2023/122.092022/121.942021/121.932020/121.71
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.09%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.283.7-6.67
24Q2 (19)0.27-18.18-6.9
24Q1 (18)0.33-2.9437.5
23Q4 (17)0.3413.3330.77
23Q3 (16)0.33.4536.36
23Q2 (15)0.2920.8381.25
23Q1 (14)0.24-7.6941.18
22Q4 (13)0.2618.1823.81
22Q3 (12)0.2237.537.5
22Q2 (11)0.16-5.880.0
22Q1 (10)0.17-19.0513.33
21Q4 (9)0.2131.2510.53
21Q3 (8)0.160.014.29
21Q2 (7)0.166.670.0
21Q1 (6)0.15-21.05-6.25
20Q4 (5)0.1935.710.0
20Q3 (4)0.14-12.50.0
20Q2 (3)0.160.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.16-15.790.0
19Q4 (1)0.190.00.0

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