玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.95-0.252.0855.650.8614.94N/A-
2024/104.96-1.24-1.950.70.7415.35N/A-
2024/95.03-6.2-2.8745.731.0415.550.05-
2024/85.363.630.5240.711.5415.730.05-
2024/75.17-0.55-4.9435.351.715.60.05-
2024/65.2-0.52-0.8230.182.9315.250.04-
2024/55.238.333.8124.983.7515.090.04-
2024/44.82-4.222.9119.763.7414.810.04-
2024/35.041.776.4514.934.0114.930.04-
2024/24.950.1113.489.892.8114.80.04-
2024/14.940.81-6.034.94-6.0314.70.04-
2023/124.91.133.6860.085.1914.810.04-
2023/114.85-4.15-0.4855.175.3315.080.04-
2023/105.06-2.225.1150.325.9315.560.04-
2023/95.17-2.925.6145.266.0215.940.05-
2023/85.33-2.01.6440.096.0716.010.05-
2023/75.443.757.1234.766.7915.720.05-
2023/65.244.1210.2229.326.7214.960.05-
2023/55.037.395.8924.085.9914.450.06-
2023/44.69-0.932.4719.046.0213.780.06-
2023/34.738.48-0.3614.367.2314.360.05-
2023/24.36-17.095.269.6211.4114.350.05-
2023/15.2611.2317.085.2617.0814.860.05-
2022/124.73-2.925.2457.1113.3914.420.05-
2022/114.871.2315.0352.3814.1814.580.05-
2022/104.81-1.764.0547.514.114.960.05-
2022/94.9-6.5611.342.6915.3515.220.04-
2022/85.243.2727.4637.7915.915.080.05-
2022/75.086.7635.2432.5514.2314.590.05-
2022/64.760.0335.7427.4711.0414.080.04-
2022/54.753.9217.4822.726.9714.080.04-
2022/44.57-3.685.4917.964.513.470.04-
2022/34.7514.6210.6113.394.1613.390.05-
2022/24.14-7.79-2.918.640.9213.130.05-
2022/14.490.04.744.494.7413.220.05-
2021/124.496.12.7650.36-5.7213.350.05-
2021/114.24-8.42-2.7945.87-6.4813.260.05-
2021/104.635.082.4841.63-6.8413.140.05-
2021/94.46.98-5.7237.01-7.8812.270.05-
2021/84.119.58-15.5532.61-8.1711.370.05-
2021/73.757.15-25.2928.49-6.9911.30.05-
2021/63.5-13.41-27.1924.74-3.411.890.05-
2021/54.05-6.68-6.3321.232.0912.680.04-
2021/44.340.9918.2917.194.312.90.04-
2021/34.290.617.012.850.312.850.04-
2021/24.27-0.518.78.56-2.7512.930.04-
2021/14.29-1.89-11.984.29-11.9813.020.04-
2020/124.370.35-3.1353.42-2.5913.240.04-
2020/114.36-3.44-1.1449.05-2.5413.540.04-
2020/104.51-3.34-3.4244.69-2.6814.050.04-
2020/94.67-4.16-0.2840.18-2.5914.570.04-
2020/84.87-3.050.8835.51-2.8914.710.04-
2020/75.034.421.6530.64-3.4614.160.04-
2020/64.8111.392.0625.61-4.4112.80.05-
2020/54.3217.85-8.6620.8-5.7912.00.05-
2020/43.67-8.65-15.316.48-5.0111.60.05-
2020/34.012.2-9.2712.81-1.5912.810.04-
2020/23.93-19.44-7.78.82.3513.310.04-
2020/14.877.9612.194.8712.190.0N/A-
2019/124.512.43.4954.844.420.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.942023/15.262022/14.492021/14.292020/14.87
2024/24.952023/24.362022/24.142021/24.272020/23.93
2024/35.042023/34.732022/34.752021/34.292020/34.01
2024/44.822023/44.692022/44.572021/44.342020/43.67
2024/55.232023/55.032022/54.752021/54.052020/54.32
2024/65.22023/65.242022/64.762021/63.52020/64.81
2024/75.172023/75.442022/75.082021/73.752020/75.03
2024/85.362023/85.332022/85.242021/84.112020/84.87
2024/95.032023/95.172022/94.92021/94.42020/94.67
2024/104.962023/105.062022/104.812021/104.632020/104.51
2024/114.952023/114.852022/114.872021/114.242020/114.36
N/AN/A2023/124.92022/124.732021/124.492020/124.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 100.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.27-3.547.21
24Q2 (19)3.392.112.73
24Q1 (18)3.321.844.73
23Q4 (17)3.266.893.82
23Q3 (16)3.05-7.58-3.48
23Q2 (15)3.34.17.49
23Q1 (14)3.170.964.62
22Q4 (13)3.14-0.637.53
22Q3 (12)3.162.93-7.33
22Q2 (11)3.071.32-11.01
22Q1 (10)3.033.77-9.28
21Q4 (9)2.92-14.37-10.43
21Q3 (8)3.41-1.166.9
21Q2 (7)3.453.299.18
21Q1 (6)3.342.456.71
20Q4 (5)3.262.193.82
20Q3 (4)3.190.950.0
20Q2 (3)3.160.960.0
20Q1 (2)3.13-0.320.0
19Q4 (1)3.140.00.0

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