玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1039.58-4.37-7.87423.46-3.17123.3N/A-
2024/941.39-2.24-8.16383.88-2.65129.040.58-
2024/842.34-6.57-15.87342.49-1.94133.030.56-
2024/745.32-0.1214.34300.160.39136.120.55-
2024/645.37-0.1213.73254.84-1.73134.590.55-
2024/545.433.741.05209.46-4.54130.080.57-
2024/443.797.162.43164.04-5.99120.380.61-
2024/340.8614.36-13.71120.25-8.72120.250.54-
2024/235.73-18.15-20.7279.39-5.92123.110.53-
2024/143.66-0.1511.0343.6611.03129.190.5-
2023/1243.724.58-18.81522.86-21.3128.490.54-
2023/1141.81-2.69-11.0479.14-21.52129.840.53-
2023/1042.96-4.67-15.23437.33-22.4138.360.5-
2023/945.07-10.44-16.38394.37-23.11135.030.48-
2023/850.3326.97-3.51349.3-23.9129.850.5-
2023/739.63-0.65-29.94298.98-26.51124.490.53-
2023/639.89-11.26-35.03259.34-25.96127.60.57-
2023/544.965.16-25.87219.45-24.03135.060.54-
2023/442.75-9.72-25.24174.49-23.54135.170.54-
2023/347.365.06-17.38131.74-22.97131.740.57-
2023/245.0714.64-14.4884.39-25.78138.250.54-
2023/139.32-27.0-35.5539.32-35.55140.150.53-
2022/1253.8614.65-6.94664.43-7.41151.510.48-
2022/1146.97-7.31-31.28610.57-7.46151.560.48-
2022/1050.68-5.96-24.73563.59-4.7156.740.46-
2022/953.93.33-15.74512.91-2.13162.630.49-
2022/852.16-7.8-14.13459.01-0.24170.140.47-
2022/756.58-7.86-5.62406.851.87178.630.45-
2022/661.411.231.43350.283.19179.240.52-
2022/560.656.067.05288.873.57175.160.53-
2022/457.18-0.24-5.13228.222.68167.210.56-
2022/357.328.76-7.68171.035.6171.030.48-
2022/252.7-13.6112.86113.7113.86171.590.47-
2022/161.015.414.7461.0114.74187.240.43-
2021/1257.88-15.33-0.55717.6742.94193.570.39-
2021/1168.361.5133.16659.7948.65199.660.38-
2021/1067.345.2645.68591.4350.68192.050.4因市場環境影響,銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/963.975.348.5524.151.34184.660.33因市場環境影響,銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/860.741.3251.61460.1351.75181.230.34因市場環境影響銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/759.95-0.9646.22399.3851.77177.140.35因市場環境影響銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/660.546.8453.17339.4352.79177.470.34因市場環境影響銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/556.66-6.0166.58278.952.71179.030.34因市場環境影響銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/460.28-2.9271.96222.2449.53169.070.36因市場環境影響銷售量價皆優於去年同期,故營收增加。
2021/362.132.9849.46161.9642.61161.960.31-
2021/246.7-12.1728.1499.8638.66158.070.32-
2021/153.17-8.6449.4453.1749.44162.710.31-
2020/1258.213.3727.39502.05-9.8155.760.28-
2020/1151.3411.0612.83443.84-13.13140.630.31-
2020/1046.227.291.35392.51-15.67129.360.33-
2020/943.087.52-3.94346.29-17.52124.140.33-
2020/840.06-2.27-15.4303.21-19.14120.580.34-
2020/741.03.73-14.03263.15-19.68114.530.36-
2020/639.5216.2-12.98222.15-20.64108.590.37-
2020/534.01-2.97-33.66182.63-22.13110.610.37-
2020/435.05-15.62-27.54148.62-18.9113.040.36-
2020/341.5514.01-12.67113.56-15.8113.560.46-
2020/236.442.41-2.1872.02-17.5117.70.45-
2020/135.58-22.12-28.935.58-28.9126.760.41-
2019/1245.690.41-8.05556.63-8.570.0N/A-
2019/1145.5-0.22-10.61510.95-8.620.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/143.662023/139.322022/161.012021/153.172020/135.58
2024/235.732023/245.072022/252.72021/246.72020/236.44
2024/340.862023/347.362022/357.322021/362.12020/341.55
2024/443.792023/442.752022/457.182021/460.282020/435.05
2024/545.432023/544.962022/560.652021/556.662020/534.01
2024/645.372023/639.892022/661.412021/660.542020/639.52
2024/745.322023/739.632022/756.582021/759.952020/741.0
2024/842.342023/850.332022/852.162021/860.742020/840.06
2024/941.392023/945.072022/953.92021/963.972020/943.08
2024/1039.582023/1042.962022/1050.682021/1067.342020/1046.22
N/AN/A2023/1141.812022/1146.972021/1168.362020/1151.34
N/AN/A2023/1243.722022/1253.862021/1257.882020/1258.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.39%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.84-16.22-43.87
24Q2 (19)3.39-4.24-33.27
24Q1 (18)3.5480.61-22.54
23Q4 (17)1.96-61.26-51.49
23Q3 (16)5.06-0.3970.95
23Q2 (15)5.0811.1613.39
23Q1 (14)4.5713.126.28
22Q4 (13)4.0436.4911.29
22Q3 (12)2.96-33.936.47
22Q2 (11)4.484.1941.32
22Q1 (10)4.318.4698.16
21Q4 (9)3.6330.5870.42
21Q3 (8)2.78-12.377.07
21Q2 (7)3.1746.080
21Q1 (6)2.171.880
20Q4 (5)2.1335.670
20Q3 (4)1.5700.0

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