玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)580-0.17-0.17-0.71-543.75-384.0-0.69-866.67-483.33-0.60-645.45-192.3125.62-16.71-23.89-10.14-196.94-172.38-20.33-1455.33-577.23-16.81-654.79-472.73-5.21-1232.61-464.34-4.11-537.23-379.59-20.73-843.01-471.51-16.81-654.79-472.73-5.41-61.88-345.83
24Q2 (19)5810.00.00.16420.000.09175.0280.00.11320.0-72.530.765.89-7.910.4676.0927.411.50143.61263.643.03307.53405.00.46146.01050.00.94393.759300.02.79234.78173.533.03307.53405.0-1.98224.28-262.50
24Q1 (18)5810.00.0-0.0528.57-112.5-0.12-700.0-127.91-0.05-108.47-112.529.05-9.84-23.155.94-17.27-67.91-3.44-71.14-134.43-1.46-44.55-121.73-1.0-53.85-126.46-0.3217.95-113.79-2.0742.18-121.77-1.46-44.55-121.73-7.06-49.72-394.44
23Q4 (17)5810.00.0-0.07-128.022.220.02-88.89128.570.59-9.23192.1932.22-4.28-8.137.18-48.75-3.75-2.01-147.184.29-1.01-122.395.61-0.65-145.4512.16-0.39-126.5325.0-3.58-164.16-51.05-1.01-122.395.61-1.75-64.00185.56
23Q3 (16)5810.00.00.250121.370.18460.0113.640.6562.5218.1833.660.78-15.5114.0170.65195.634.263772.73117.444.51651.67125.221.433475.0114.71.4714600.0121.595.58447.06125.044.51651.67125.22-5.43-50.00174.19
23Q2 (15)5810.00.00.00-100.0100.0-0.05-111.6381.480.400.0-35.4833.4-11.64-30.998.21-55.6559.420.11-98.9102.960.60-91.07133.520.04-98.94102.220.01-99.57101.141.02-89.27144.740.60-91.07133.52-1.93222.22301.33
23Q1 (14)5810.00.00.40544.44-48.720.43714.2995.450.40162.5-48.7237.87.78-28.7718.51148.1230.819.99575.71119.086.72728.04-28.513.78610.8156.22.32546.15-48.569.51501.27-10.546.72728.04-28.51-2.10318.38404.50
22Q4 (13)5810.00.0-0.0992.31-108.74-0.0794.7-107.14-0.64-16.36-115.0635.07-11.97-31.537.46150.92-68.27-2.1091.4-113.73-1.0794.02-108.69-0.7492.39-109.45-0.5292.36-108.65-2.3789.36-114.88-1.0794.02-108.69-14.83-293.85-147.09
22Q3 (12)5810.00.0-1.17-680.0-237.65-1.32-388.89-267.09-0.55-188.71-117.0839.84-17.69-28.15-14.65-384.47-177.15-24.43-558.49-326.62-17.88-898.88-290.62-9.73-440.56-262.71-6.81-673.86-237.58-22.28-877.19-294.93-17.88-898.88-290.62-13.25-399.62-305.81
22Q2 (11)5810.00.0-0.15-119.23-115.96-0.27-222.73-125.00.62-20.51-73.7348.4-8.85.775.15-63.6-80.13-3.71-181.36-120.41-1.79-119.04-113.8-1.8-174.38-121.63-0.88-119.51-116.09-2.28-121.45-113.89-1.79-119.04-113.8-2.60-71.75-150.14
22Q1 (10)5810.05.060.78-24.27-47.650.22-77.55-84.510.78-81.65-47.6553.073.616.5914.15-39.81-55.894.56-70.18-79.449.40-23.7-47.222.42-69.09-78.084.51-24.96-45.4710.63-33.27-52.169.40-23.7-47.22-2.01-1.54-26.75
21Q4 (9)5810.05.061.0321.18-44.020.9824.05-44.634.2531.9944.0751.22-7.6311.5223.5123.8-39.1615.2941.84-48.6712.3231.34-49.457.8330.94-42.766.0121.41-41.1415.9339.37-46.2412.3231.34-49.456.785.80-1.40
21Q3 (8)5810.05.060.85-9.5730.770.79-26.8527.423.2236.44190.0955.4521.1869.9918.99-26.74-17.5110.78-40.7-23.279.38-27.68-21.185.98-28.1230.574.95-9.5138.2711.43-30.35-18.249.38-27.68-21.186.54-23.24-25.40
21Q2 (7)5815.065.250.94-36.911040.01.08-23.941180.02.3658.39413.0445.76-8.09100.0925.92-19.2421.5318.18-18.03510.3812.97-27.18558.38.32-24.64923.765.47-33.861094.5516.41-26.15481.6312.97-27.18558.30.16-27.96-21.86
21Q1 (6)5530.04.931.49-19.02152.541.42-19.77184.01.49-49.49152.5449.798.438.6532.08-16.9859.9222.18-25.5588.2917.81-26.9283.4211.04-19.3160.998.27-19.0165.9222.22-25.0179.1917.81-26.9283.4224.6082.0382.85
20Q4 (5)5530.04.931.84183.08308.891.77185.48331.712.95165.77141.845.9340.823.7738.6467.85123.4829.79112.03231.3724.37104.79233.3813.68198.69309.5810.21185.2327.229.63111.95229.9624.37104.79233.38--0.00
20Q3 (4)5530.180.00.65750.00.00.62720.00.01.11141.30.032.6242.630.023.02363.180.014.05417.160.011.90520.490.04.58553.470.03.58750.910.013.98425.120.011.90520.490.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)5524.740.0-0.10-116.950.0-0.10-120.00.00.46-22.030.022.87-36.310.04.97-75.220.0-4.43-137.610.0-2.83-129.150.0-1.01-123.880.0-0.55-117.680.0-4.30-134.680.0-2.83-129.150.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)5270.00.00.5931.110.00.5021.950.00.59-51.640.035.91-3.230.020.0616.020.011.7831.030.09.7132.830.04.2326.650.03.1130.130.012.4038.080.09.7132.830.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)5270.00.00.450.00.00.410.00.01.220.00.037.110.00.017.290.00.08.990.00.07.310.00.03.340.00.02.390.00.08.980.00.07.310.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/119.717.19-17.43103.4-18.6327.18N/A-
2024/108.27-10.19-20.9693.7-18.7523.92N/A-
2024/99.2143.13-4.6985.43-18.5325.620.93-
2024/86.44-35.47-53.3176.21-19.9327.880.862024年8月合併營業收入較去年同期減少,主係PVC粉銷量減少所致。
2024/79.97-13.03-2.2569.78-14.2831.60.76-
2024/611.4712.9313.0459.8-16.030.760.87-
2024/510.1611.18-13.748.33-20.8329.10.91-
2024/49.13-6.9-20.4738.18-22.5327.490.97-
2024/39.8114.77-15.6829.05-23.1629.050.92-
2024/28.55-20.0-36.1419.23-26.4929.420.91-
2024/110.694.85-16.3710.69-16.3732.620.82-
2023/1210.19-13.23-25.93137.26-22.1732.40.78-
2023/1111.7412.1912.38127.07-21.8631.880.79-
2023/1010.478.29-3.63115.33-24.2133.920.74-
2023/99.67-29.88-21.58104.86-25.7933.660.72-
2023/813.7935.115.7895.19-26.1934.140.71-
2023/710.20.57-34.5981.41-30.4632.120.75-
2023/610.15-13.78-32.0371.2-29.8333.40.75-
2023/511.772.46-27.8761.06-29.4534.890.72-
2023/411.49-1.3-33.0349.29-29.8136.510.69-
2023/311.64-13.07-36.9537.8-28.7737.80.72-
2023/213.394.76-14.8226.16-24.4239.920.68-
2023/112.78-7.12-32.412.78-32.436.990.74-
2022/1213.7631.652.76176.38-12.7735.070.73-
2022/1110.45-3.79-38.42162.62-13.8733.640.76-
2022/1010.86-11.88-47.92152.17-11.4535.10.73-
2022/912.333.52-37.2141.31-6.4139.840.68-
2022/811.91-23.67-32.03128.98-1.8142.440.64-
2022/715.64.5-14.76117.082.8346.850.58-
2022/614.93-8.51-11.38101.476.248.40.75-
2022/516.32-4.8616.7786.559.9751.930.7-
2022/417.15-7.0614.8270.238.551.330.71-
2022/318.4617.431.2153.086.653.080.65-
2022/215.72-16.851.334.629.7248.010.72-
2022/118.941.1817.8618.917.8649.260.7-
2021/1213.39-21.1-20.35202.2247.2551.220.61-
2021/1116.97-18.6411.27188.8356.6757.460.54109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,價格大幅上漲。
2021/1020.866.2550.46171.8663.2558.010.53109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,價格大幅上漲。
2021/919.6312.0672.97151.065.1955.450.4109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,價格大幅上漲。
2021/817.52-4.2865.44131.3764.0952.670.42109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,價格大幅上漲。
2021/718.38.6471.29113.8563.8849.120.45109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,價格大幅上漲。
2021/616.8520.5577.6295.5462.5445.760.44109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,後疫情需求恢復。
2021/513.97-6.45125.1478.759.6347.150.43109年第二季全球爆發第一波新冠肺炎疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或天災而減產,後疫情需求恢復。
2021/414.94-18.08108.0864.7350.248.690.42109年4月因新冠肺炎爆發第一波全球疫情,致需求驟降,今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或事故而減產,後疫情需求恢復。
2021/318.2417.5342.549.7938.6349.790.3-
2021/215.51-3.2522.231.5536.4948.360.3-
2021/116.04-4.5953.916.0453.948.10.31109年1月逢春節假期營收較低 ; 今年因部分PVC大廠受疫情、歲修或事故而減產,後疫情需求恢復,庫存偏低致價格大漲。
2020/1216.8110.2236.29137.33-9.1645.920.26-
2020/1115.259.9924.06120.52-13.240.460.3-
2020/1013.8622.1511.0105.27-16.8235.80.34-
2020/911.357.181.191.4-19.8732.620.36-
2020/810.59-0.9-23.3780.06-22.1630.760.39-
2020/710.6812.65-19.0869.47-21.9726.380.45-
2020/69.4852.81-31.5958.78-22.4722.870.54-
2020/56.21-13.54-62.2949.3-20.4326.180.47因COVID-19新冠疫情影響
2020/47.18-43.89-45.7143.09-5.2932.670.38-
2020/312.80.7910.9535.9111.2635.910.47-
2020/212.721.8344.0823.1211.4335.450.47-
2020/110.42-15.51-12.6710.42-12.670.0N/A-
2019/1212.330.33-3.03151.19-0.480.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)5810.00.5900.580137.07-22.2812.23218.493.3502.8704.604.6703.420
2022 (9)5810.0-0.640-1.440176.37-12.783.84-84.6-5.580-1.910-9.840-5.170-3.70
2021 (8)5815.064.2443.734.2753.6202.2247.2524.931.9216.405.0613.01-0.3133.1754.7133.0752.7524.6951.1
2020 (7)5534.932.95141.82.78186.6137.33-9.1624.4687.7215.61204.8813.05182.4721.44177.021.65153.5116.34154.12
2019 (6)5273.941.22-51.390.97-52.91151.18-0.4913.03-26.765.12-50.534.62-48.267.74-50.798.54-48.376.43-49.61
2018 (5)5073.052.51-2.712.06-8.44151.933.3417.79-5.8210.35-7.848.93-1.9815.73-4.7216.542.3512.760.47
2017 (4)4922.932.58-14.572.25-13.79147.023.8518.89-9.0511.23-15.189.11-16.4216.51-11.916.16-10.2712.7-11.99
2016 (3)4782.143.0284.152.61107.14141.572.2820.7747.5113.24100.010.9085.6918.74104.5918.0188.5914.4387.89
2015 (2)4680.01.64556.01.261045.45138.42-4.9314.0880.286.62903.035.87598.819.16854.179.55520.137.68545.38
2014 (1)4684.00.25-85.030.11-90.35145.62.67.8100.6600.8400.96-89.451.54-84.651.19-84.2

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