玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.75-0.4727.6417.0-7.115.27N/A-
2024/91.76-0.5930.7615.25-9.925.091.3-
2024/81.7712.418.0913.49-13.435.71.16-
2024/71.57-33.56-31.6611.73-15.955.791.14-
2024/62.3727.7316.0110.16-12.865.61.12-
2024/51.8533.58-33.727.79-18.984.551.38-
2024/41.395.9-1.825.94-12.944.361.44-
2024/31.31-21.63-27.924.55-15.854.551.42-
2024/21.676.1241.553.24-9.754.781.35-
2024/11.572.4-34.821.57-34.824.851.33-
2023/121.54-11.58-14.2221.57-19.174.641.36-
2023/111.7426.97-21.2820.04-19.534.451.42-
2023/101.371.95-35.118.3-19.364.351.45-
2023/91.34-17.82-42.5216.93-17.755.281.25-
2023/81.63-28.93-46.6815.59-14.575.971.1-
2023/72.312.798.0513.95-8.097.130.92-
2023/62.04-27.021.0311.65-10.726.241.05-
2023/52.7997.87-8.39.62-12.876.021.09-
2023/41.41-22.24-23.46.82-14.624.411.49-
2023/31.8253.89-28.255.41-11.985.411.46-
2023/21.18-51.13-12.213.59-0.65.391.47-
2023/12.4134.776.262.416.266.411.23-
2022/121.79-18.87-9.1826.6912.216.111.23-
2022/112.214.68-6.9424.914.156.651.13-
2022/102.11-9.718.0622.6916.727.511.0-
2022/92.34-23.7726.1520.5816.597.530.98-
2022/83.0644.0446.0518.2515.477.211.02-
2022/72.135.46-26.0815.1810.787.191.02-
2022/62.02-33.77-5.4713.0520.596.911.11-
2022/53.0565.2886.4811.0426.997.421.04因歐洲疫情趨緩,交期遞延部份陸續出貨。
2022/41.84-27.1610.747.9913.215.721.34-
2022/32.5388.2937.686.1513.986.151.33-
2022/21.34-40.85-21.013.621.725.591.47-
2022/12.2715.1822.62.2722.66.621.24-
2021/121.97-16.87-7.4823.796.266.131.23-
2021/112.3732.8132.321.827.716.011.26-
2021/101.79-3.51-16.6419.445.325.741.32-
2021/91.85-11.74-4.6217.658.26.831.0-
2021/82.1-27.19.5215.89.947.110.96-
2021/72.8834.8619.4713.710.06.651.03-
2021/62.1330.6412.9310.837.735.431.26-
2021/51.63-1.842.598.696.535.141.34-
2021/41.66-9.4420.267.067.485.21.32-
2021/31.848.01-4.485.394.075.391.13-
2021/21.7-8.196.123.569.135.691.07-
2021/11.85-13.0812.051.8512.055.781.06-
2020/122.1318.8811.6322.39-8.466.071.0-
2020/111.79-16.32-13.5620.25-10.165.881.03-
2020/102.1410.437.9418.46-9.826.01.01-
2020/91.941.34-29.4216.32-13.746.271.07-
2020/81.92-20.47-19.2714.37-11.076.221.08-
2020/72.4127.49-7.6312.46-9.665.891.14-
2020/61.8918.67-25.410.05-10.144.871.37-
2020/51.5915.06-18.618.16-5.664.91.36-
2020/41.38-28.08-10.126.57-1.884.911.36-
2020/31.9220.020.215.180.585.181.21-
2020/21.6-3.0622.373.260.795.171.22-
2020/11.65-13.4-13.911.65-13.915.641.11-
2019/121.91-7.95-11.3524.46-3.870.0N/A-
2019/112.0833.53-0.8922.55-3.180.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.572023/12.412022/12.272021/11.852020/11.65
2024/21.672023/21.182022/21.342021/21.72020/21.6
2024/31.312023/31.822022/32.532021/31.842020/31.92
2024/41.392023/41.412022/41.842021/41.662020/41.38
2024/51.852023/52.792022/53.052021/51.632020/51.59
2024/62.372023/62.042022/62.022021/62.132020/61.89
2024/71.572023/72.32022/72.132021/72.882020/72.41
2024/81.772023/81.632022/83.062021/82.12020/81.92
2024/91.762023/91.342022/92.342021/91.852020/91.94
2024/101.752023/101.372022/102.112021/101.792020/102.14
N/AN/A2023/111.742022/112.212021/112.372020/111.79
N/AN/A2023/121.542022/121.792021/121.972020/122.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.51%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.15-37.536.36
24Q2 (19)0.2471.43166.67
24Q1 (18)0.14100.0-22.22
23Q4 (17)0.07-36.36-41.67
23Q3 (16)0.1122.2237.5
23Q2 (15)0.09-50.0-59.09
23Q1 (14)0.1850.038.46
22Q4 (13)0.1250.09.09
22Q3 (12)0.08-63.64-61.9
22Q2 (11)0.2269.2315.79
22Q1 (10)0.1318.18-48.0
21Q4 (9)0.11-47.6237.5
21Q3 (8)0.2110.5375.0
21Q2 (7)0.19-24.00
21Q1 (6)0.25212.50
20Q4 (5)0.08-33.330
20Q3 (4)0.1200.0

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