玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1320.00.00.03127.27110.00.03127.27109.38-0.1913.6477.116.3730.819.292.44500.0147.560.50116.39106.420.57119.72107.670.03120.0107.140.04128.57110.00.57119.72107.670.57119.72107.674.4963.6363.63
24Q2 (19)1320.00.0-0.110.057.69-0.110.059.26-0.22-100.058.494.87-21.838.71-0.61-35.5686.77-3.05-19.6161.68-2.89-25.1162.61-0.156.2558.33-0.140.060.0-2.89-25.1162.61-2.89-25.1162.61-3.7619.4519.45
24Q1 (18)1320.00.0-0.1138.8957.69-0.1138.8959.26-0.1189.1157.696.2314.3133.12-0.4576.1989.7-2.5541.6566.0-2.3146.5369.03-0.1633.3354.29-0.1441.6760.0-2.3148.2169.03-2.3146.5369.038.1939.4541.32
23Q4 (17)1320.00.0-0.1840.0-260.0-0.1843.75-260.0-1.01-21.69-234.675.452.06-15.5-1.8963.16-213.86-4.3743.9-324.27-4.3241.86-336.36-0.2442.86-242.86-0.2440.0-300.0-4.4639.97-401.12-4.3241.86-336.3610.6312.3112.62
23Q3 (16)1320.00.0-0.30-15.38-500.0-0.32-18.52-300.0-0.83-56.6-203.755.3419.2-26.24-5.13-11.28-249.56-7.792.14-477.04-7.433.88-707.61-0.42-16.67-320.0-0.4-14.29-471.43-7.433.88-707.61-7.433.88-707.617.46-7.69-9.26
23Q2 (15)1320.00.0-0.260.0-152.0-0.270.0-158.7-0.53-103.85-162.354.48-4.27-49.61-4.61-5.49-142.1-7.96-6.13-215.7-7.73-3.62-203.07-0.36-2.86-159.02-0.350.0-152.24-7.73-3.62-203.07-7.73-3.62-203.07-15.86-210.00-220.00
23Q1 (14)1320.00.0-0.26-420.0-176.47-0.27-440.0-190.0-0.26-134.67-176.474.68-27.44-47.3-4.37-363.25-151.53-7.50-628.16-267.04-7.46-653.54-245.7-0.35-400.0-187.5-0.35-483.33-177.78-7.46-738.2-245.7-7.46-653.54-245.7-19.18-210.00-201.25
22Q4 (13)1320.00.0-0.050.0-114.71-0.0537.5-115.620.75-6.25-6.256.45-10.91-22.661.66-51.6-79.71-1.0323.7-120.6-0.99-7.61-118.4-0.0730.0-116.67-0.0614.29-113.33-0.893.26-116.54-0.99-7.61-118.4-14.73-55.00-39.95
22Q3 (12)1320.00.0-0.05-110.0-121.74-0.08-117.39-140.00.80-5.8873.917.24-18.56-3.473.43-68.68-42.45-1.35-119.62-137.6-0.92-112.27-123.17-0.1-116.39-137.04-0.07-110.45-123.33-0.92-112.27-123.17-0.92-112.27-123.17-9.22-31.47-32.03
22Q2 (11)1320.00.00.5047.06163.160.4653.33155.560.85150.0254.178.890.1116.5110.9529.1381.896.8853.23117.037.5046.48125.90.6152.5154.170.6748.89168.07.5046.48125.97.5046.48125.93.2923.5323.54
22Q1 (10)1320.00.00.340.0580.00.30-6.25500.00.34-57.5580.08.886.4743.698.483.6751.164.49-10.2323.585.12-4.83397.090.4-4.76471.430.450.0650.05.12-4.83397.095.12-4.83397.098.8323.9126.88
21Q4 (9)1320.00.00.3447.83300.00.3260.0313.330.8073.91165.048.3411.269.868.1837.25125.345.0039.28226.265.3835.52215.20.4255.56321.050.4550.0295.655.3835.52215.75.3835.52215.24.7534.4435.55
21Q3 (8)1320.00.00.2321.05179.310.2011.11166.670.4691.67143.817.5-1.7145.95.96-1.0183.713.5913.25128.183.9719.58132.070.2712.5169.230.320.0178.953.9719.58132.073.9719.58132.0710.88150.53135.56
21Q2 (7)1320.00.00.19280.0140.430.18260.0136.730.24380.0131.177.6323.46150.166.027.31137.553.17199.06114.763.32222.33116.20.24242.86136.920.25316.67140.323.32222.33116.23.32222.33116.224.66204.70196.67
21Q1 (6)1320.00.00.05129.41117.240.05133.33116.670.05104.07117.246.1825.8734.935.6154.55227.791.06126.77112.031.03122.06112.130.07136.84117.50.06126.09115.381.03122.15112.131.03122.06112.1343.4285.3991.67
20Q4 (5)1320.00.0-0.1741.38-54.55-0.1550.0-36.36-1.23-17.14-336.544.9160.98-11.693.63150.98259.41-3.9668.92-57.14-4.6762.28-86.06-0.1951.28-35.71-0.2339.47-64.29-4.6562.44-90.57-4.6762.28-86.06--0.00
20Q3 (4)1320.00.0-0.2938.30.0-0.3038.780.0-1.05-36.360.03.050.00.0-7.1255.580.0-12.7440.660.0-12.3839.580.0-0.3940.00.0-0.3838.710.0-12.3839.580.0-12.3839.580.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1320.00.0-0.47-62.070.0-0.49-63.330.0-0.77-165.520.03.05-33.410.0-16.03-265.150.0-21.47-143.70.0-20.49-141.340.0-0.65-62.50.0-0.62-58.970.0-20.49-141.340.0-20.49-141.340.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1320.00.0-0.29-163.640.0-0.30-172.730.0-0.29-155.770.04.58-17.630.0-4.39-534.650.0-8.81-249.60.0-8.49-238.250.0-0.4-185.710.0-0.39-178.570.0-8.49-247.950.0-8.49-238.250.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1320.00.0-0.110.00.0-0.110.00.00.520.00.05.560.00.01.010.00.0-2.520.00.0-2.510.00.0-0.140.00.0-0.140.00.0-2.440.00.0-2.510.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.831.37-1.9921.1113.55.7N/A-
2024/101.81-11.93-18.7719.2815.246.1N/A-
2024/92.05-8.081.5317.4720.466.370.7-
2024/82.237.4612.0715.4223.535.740.77-
2024/72.0845.8157.1113.1825.715.130.87因去年基期低
2024/61.43-12.131.3111.121.174.870.83-
2024/51.62-10.7716.59.6824.775.670.71-
2024/41.82-18.58.048.0526.595.720.71-
2024/32.2333.522.26.2333.266.230.55-
2024/21.67-28.24.924.040.355.350.64-
2024/12.3372.2585.272.3385.275.550.62因去年基期低
2023/121.35-27.74-36.4519.95-36.575.450.59-
2023/111.87-15.980.0818.6-36.586.120.53-
2023/102.2310.09-9.1316.73-39.076.240.52-
2023/92.021.45-16.0814.5-42.015.340.98-
2023/81.9950.65-24.2312.48-44.774.731.11-
2023/71.32-5.97-39.8210.49-47.484.121.27-
2023/61.411.03-47.649.16-48.434.481.07-
2023/51.39-17.26-52.987.75-48.574.90.98因通膨讓消費疲弱,景氣低迷,品牌廠存去化不如預期所致
2023/41.68-7.82-47.916.36-47.495.10.94-
2023/31.8314.62-46.164.68-47.344.681.25-
2023/21.5926.77-39.392.85-48.064.981.18-
2023/11.26-40.91-56.031.26-56.035.251.11過年休假
2022/122.1313.79-18.9231.465.776.450.84-
2022/111.87-23.72-32.4629.338.166.730.8-
2022/102.451.67-16.8127.4612.787.490.72-
2022/92.41-8.39-1.4225.0116.857.240.75-
2022/82.6319.661.1422.619.217.520.73-
2022/72.2-18.19-11.0319.9722.097.850.7-
2022/62.69-9.262.5317.7727.998.890.7-
2022/52.96-8.3315.615.0833.919.590.65-
2022/43.23-4.7329.5612.1239.319.260.67-
2022/33.3929.0539.78.8843.248.880.74-
2022/22.63-8.0450.565.4945.528.110.81因去年疫情關係基期低
2022/12.868.9641.172.8641.178.250.79因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/122.62-5.260.6429.7489.958.340.7因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/112.77-6.0550.5827.1293.368.160.71因去年關係基期低
2021/102.9520.48108.3824.3599.827.990.73因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/92.45-6.099.821.498.77.520.73因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/82.65.24157.9918.9698.557.70.71因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/72.47-5.71171.8416.3591.537.660.72因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/62.622.29129.0613.8881.967.680.77因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/52.562.73151.3611.2673.647.490.79因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/42.52.72182.848.759.146.670.89因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/32.4339.0870.946.235.326.20.89因去年疫情關係基期低
2021/21.75-13.7812.623.7719.315.411.02-
2021/12.0323.9825.762.0325.765.51.01-
2020/121.63-11.13-11.0715.66-46.874.891.04-
2020/111.8430.019.8314.02-49.254.481.14-
2020/101.4115.52-35.4912.19-53.313.651.4疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/91.2221.36-40.7510.77-54.953.141.65疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/81.0110.89-52.999.55-56.293.061.7疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/70.91-20.55-67.468.54-56.653.071.69疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/61.1412.25-33.657.63-54.863.051.8疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/51.0215.59-69.576.48-57.273.321.65疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/40.88-37.91-70.075.46-53.793.851.42疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/31.42-8.36-55.024.58-48.384.581.15疫情影響,下游需求急速萎縮
2020/21.55-3.72-35.733.16-44.715.01.05-
2020/11.61-12.33-51.271.61-51.270.0N/A因中美貿易爭端未明,下游客戶下單保守,及春節休假所致
2019/121.8419.75-36.9529.47-19.270.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1320.0-1.010-1.03019.95-36.59-3.950-6.830-6.650-1.360-1.340-1.330
2022 (9)1320.00.75-6.250.64-14.6731.466.16.621.382.69-19.73.15-12.260.85-14.141.0-5.660.99-6.6
2021 (8)1320.00.8000.75029.6590.196.5303.3503.5900.9901.0601.060
2020 (7)1320.0-1.230-1.24015.59-47.1-4.670-10.520-10.390-1.640-1.620-1.620
2019 (6)1320.00.52-71.580.44-75.1429.47-19.284.98-35.821.99-63.422.33-64.910.59-70.350.69-66.50.69-71.49
2018 (5)1320.01.83107.951.7790.3236.5116.137.7628.265.4439.856.6478.981.9963.112.0676.072.42106.84
2017 (4)1320.00.8800.93031.4443.376.053458.823.8903.7101.2201.1701.170
2016 (3)13211.86-0.470-0.42021.93-13.490.170-2.360-2.860-0.520-0.580-0.630
2015 (2)11816.830.000-1.50025.35-27.82-3.790-7.2400.130-1.8400.1900.040
2014 (1)101-39.88-2.440-1.72035.12-24.78-3.530-6.450-7.040-2.270-2.460-2.460

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