玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.393.92-14.94.44-5.01.16N/A-
2024/90.38-4.42-22.624.05-3.921.222.85-
2024/80.39-12.64-23.853.68-1.481.262.78-
2024/70.4510.461.333.282.121.372.55-
2024/60.41-19.83-7.272.832.251.432.63-
2024/50.510.31-7.02.424.061.562.4-
2024/40.51-6.5532.231.917.481.442.6-
2024/30.5439.99-1.421.40.641.43.0-
2024/20.39-16.96-20.370.862.01.343.15-
2024/10.47-2.2933.050.4733.051.462.89-
2023/120.48-5.77-1.65.67-17.741.453.06-
2023/110.5110.3911.845.19-18.971.463.04-
2023/100.46-5.49-1.664.68-21.331.473.02-
2023/90.49-5.957.984.22-23.011.453.18-
2023/80.5216.25-6.983.73-25.791.413.29-
2023/70.451.08-26.353.21-28.141.443.22-
2023/60.44-19.6-35.752.77-28.421.373.75-
2023/50.5542.63-21.462.33-26.831.493.47-
2023/40.38-30.33-38.51.78-28.351.423.62-
2023/30.5513.08-9.751.39-24.931.393.95-
2023/20.4938.74-26.350.84-32.391.334.14-
2023/10.35-27.74-39.30.35-39.31.294.25-
2022/120.497.09-31.646.89-14.911.413.57-
2022/110.45-2.93-33.966.4-13.31.373.67-
2022/100.473.77-34.195.95-11.171.483.41-
2022/90.45-18.98-30.015.48-8.431.613.03-
2022/80.56-7.95-16.555.03-5.831.852.64-
2022/70.61-11.81-9.414.47-4.291.992.46-
2022/60.69-1.724.443.87-3.442.012.43-
2022/50.711.6911.523.18-4.991.942.53-
2022/40.632.22-9.332.48-8.791.92.57-
2022/30.61-7.71-14.411.85-8.611.852.83-
2022/20.6614.346.381.24-5.461.962.69-
2022/10.58-18.61-16.140.58-16.141.982.65-
2021/120.713.45-18.468.115.262.112.42-
2021/110.69-3.2716.17.3820.052.052.5-
2021/100.7110.377.516.720.472.022.52-
2021/90.65-3.46.075.9822.231.982.27-
2021/80.67-0.0813.325.3424.521.992.26-
2021/70.671.6766.954.6726.31.952.31去年同期受疫情影響, 出貨量減少
2021/60.664.9382.654.021.371.972.35去年同期受疫情影響,出貨量減少
2021/50.63-9.1990.783.3513.862.032.28去年同期受疫情影響,出貨量減少
2021/40.69-3.4935.562.724.182.032.28-
2021/30.7114.75.222.03-3.42.032.37-
2021/20.62-9.86-27.911.31-7.532.192.2-
2021/10.69-20.8624.080.6924.082.162.23-
2020/120.8747.3127.267.02-11.142.132.25-
2020/110.59-10.43-1.656.15-14.791.862.57-
2020/100.668.8952.165.56-15.991.862.57去年同期外銷量少
2020/90.613.1828.374.9-20.791.63.34-
2020/80.5947.2-4.424.29-24.871.353.95-
2020/70.411.24-50.543.7-27.351.094.9本月營收下滑係受疫情影響,出貨量減少所致。
2020/60.369.6-42.253.3-22.961.24.31-
2020/50.33-35.47-63.772.94-19.671.523.4本月營收下滑係受疫情影響,出貨量減少所致。
2020/40.51-25.09-20.522.61-5.152.052.51-
2020/30.68-21.42-12.992.1-0.492.12.2-
2020/20.8655.1431.061.426.842.112.19-
2020/10.56-18.83-16.960.56-16.961.852.5-
2019/120.6913.8320.37.91-18.90.0N/A-
2019/110.638.58-24.137.22-21.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.472023/10.352022/10.582021/10.692020/10.56
2024/20.392023/20.492022/20.662021/20.622020/20.86
2024/30.542023/30.552022/30.612021/30.712020/30.68
2024/40.512023/40.382022/40.632021/40.692020/40.51
2024/50.512023/50.552022/50.72021/50.632020/50.33
2024/60.412023/60.442022/60.692021/60.662020/60.36
2024/70.452023/70.452022/70.612021/70.672020/70.4
2024/80.392023/80.522022/80.562021/80.672020/80.59
2024/90.382023/90.492022/90.452021/90.652020/90.61
2024/100.392023/100.462022/100.472021/100.712020/100.66
N/AN/A2023/110.512022/110.452021/110.692020/110.59
N/AN/A2023/120.482022/120.492021/120.712020/120.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.73%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.16-30.4323.08
24Q2 (19)0.23-11.5443.75
24Q1 (18)0.26-3.730.0
23Q4 (17)0.27107.6968.75
23Q3 (16)0.13-18.75-53.57
23Q2 (15)0.16-20.0-23.81
23Q1 (14)0.225.0-51.22
22Q4 (13)0.16-42.86-70.37
22Q3 (12)0.2833.33-20.0
22Q2 (11)0.21-48.78-51.16
22Q1 (10)0.41-24.0724.24
21Q4 (9)0.5454.2974.19
21Q3 (8)0.35-18.6133.33
21Q2 (7)0.4330.3258.33
21Q1 (6)0.336.4522.22
20Q4 (5)0.31106.67106.67
20Q3 (4)0.1525.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.12-55.560.0
20Q1 (2)0.2780.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.150.00.0

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