玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.9816.3933.1625.9220.88.31N/A-
2024/92.56-8.028.5122.9519.367.61.18-
2024/82.7822.687.7720.3920.887.781.15-
2024/72.27-17.18-2.1717.6123.247.551.19-
2024/62.747.2737.5715.3428.167.991.0-
2024/52.55-5.5331.5912.6126.288.270.97-
2024/42.7-10.6548.2410.0625.017.451.07-
2024/33.0274.6425.97.3618.217.361.16-
2024/21.73-33.55-27.014.3313.386.971.23-
2024/12.6-1.0179.352.679.358.01.07去年同期適逢農曆春節工作天數較少所致
2023/122.63-4.9816.7826.86-15.787.631.15-
2023/112.7723.8815.3924.23-18.257.361.19-
2023/102.23-5.150.1121.46-21.227.171.22-
2023/92.36-8.64-1.9219.22-23.127.251.18-
2023/82.5811.35-10.0916.87-25.386.881.24-
2023/72.3216.46-12.3914.29-27.66.241.37-
2023/61.992.61-20.3611.97-29.955.751.54-
2023/51.946.42-26.379.98-31.596.161.44-
2023/41.82-24.12-40.838.04-32.746.591.34-
2023/32.41.23-31.386.22-29.946.221.41-
2023/22.3763.280.533.82-29.06.081.45-
2023/11.45-35.54-52.021.45-52.026.11.441月份適逢農曆春節,營業天數較少。
2022/122.25-6.11-28.9831.89-8.986.881.18-
2022/112.47.48-25.0729.64-6.997.031.16-
2022/102.23-7.08-26.7927.24-4.977.51.09-
2022/92.4-16.25-26.1225.01-2.377.921.05-
2022/82.878.5-9.7922.61.078.011.04-
2022/72.645.86-17.1919.732.887.771.07-
2022/62.5-5.12-7.7617.096.898.211.07-
2022/52.63-14.48-3.6214.599.889.210.96-
2022/43.08-11.9915.9811.9613.378.930.99-
2022/33.548.326.378.8812.58.881.04-
2022/22.36-22.0725.895.3816.878.561.08-
2022/13.03-4.5910.693.0310.699.40.99-
2021/123.17-0.9414.2935.0422.579.420.99-
2021/113.25.028.8831.8723.469.50.98-
2021/103.05-6.2310.6628.6625.349.480.98-
2021/93.252.2519.7725.6127.359.631.03-
2021/83.18-0.441.022.3628.539.081.09-
2021/73.1917.9231.8719.1826.678.631.15-
2021/62.71-0.8629.3915.9925.698.091.18-
2021/52.732.9140.6813.2824.968.671.1-
2021/42.65-19.2840.2210.5521.447.821.22-
2021/33.2975.548.637.916.217.91.17-
2021/21.87-31.48-8.034.6122.317.381.25-
2021/12.73-1.4958.042.7358.048.451.09為去(109)年1月適逢農曆春節假期致工作天數減少,比較基期數據偏低所致
2020/122.78-5.63-9.3528.58-17.28.471.07-
2020/112.946.73-4.3525.81-17.968.411.08-
2020/102.761.48-1.0522.87-19.447.731.17-
2020/92.7220.383.5920.11-21.447.391.18-
2020/82.26-6.85-22.3817.4-24.296.771.29-
2020/72.4215.7-16.4615.14-24.576.461.36-
2020/62.097.78-17.2112.72-25.945.931.51-
2020/51.942.58-34.510.63-27.446.861.3-
2020/41.89-37.46-37.838.69-25.656.961.29-
2020/33.0348.6-9.236.79-21.366.791.31-
2020/22.0417.74-7.723.77-28.996.831.3-
2020/11.73-43.5-44.151.73-44.157.871.13-
2019/123.06-0.434.9334.52-4.560.0N/A-
2019/113.0810.420.8531.46-5.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.62023/11.452022/13.032021/12.732020/11.73
2024/21.732023/22.372022/22.362021/21.872020/22.04
2024/33.022023/32.42022/33.52021/33.292020/33.03
2024/42.72023/41.822022/43.082021/42.652020/41.89
2024/52.552023/51.942022/52.632021/52.732020/51.94
2024/62.742023/61.992022/62.52021/62.712020/62.09
2024/72.272023/72.322022/72.642021/73.192020/72.42
2024/82.782023/82.582022/82.872021/83.182020/82.26
2024/92.562023/92.362022/92.42021/93.252020/92.72
2024/102.982023/102.232022/102.232021/103.052020/102.76
N/AN/A2023/112.772022/112.42021/113.22020/112.94
N/AN/A2023/122.632022/122.252021/123.172020/122.78
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.16%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.41-10.87-18.0
24Q2 (19)0.4648.3970.37
24Q1 (18)0.3124.06.9
23Q4 (17)0.25-50.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.585.1951.52
23Q2 (15)0.27-6.9-25.0
23Q1 (14)0.2916.0-44.23
22Q4 (13)0.25-24.24-37.5
22Q3 (12)0.33-8.33-25.0
22Q2 (11)0.36-30.77-20.0
22Q1 (10)0.5230.036.84
21Q4 (9)0.4-9.095.26
21Q3 (8)0.44-2.22-20.0
21Q2 (7)0.4518.42-18.18
21Q1 (6)0.380.0-25.49
20Q4 (5)0.38-30.9111.76
20Q3 (4)0.550.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.557.840.0
20Q1 (2)0.5150.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.340.00.0

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