玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1128.7711.1923.56316.178.9383.88N/A-
2024/1025.88-11.4610.42287.397.6680.47N/A-
2024/929.2315.222.38261.487.3780.571.14-
2024/825.37-2.33-10.78232.255.7479.081.16-
2024/725.98-6.345.15206.878.1978.151.17-
2024/627.7313.4713.04180.898.6481.711.02-
2024/524.44-17.25-2.69153.167.8885.390.97-
2024/429.54-5.958.98128.7210.1689.640.93-
2024/331.419.45-1.4199.1810.5199.180.82-
2024/228.69-26.569.1267.7717.0995.830.85-
2024/139.0839.2323.7139.0823.7190.430.9-
2023/1228.0620.512.67318.33.5274.781.24-
2023/1123.29-0.62-12.52290.233.670.61.31-
2023/1023.43-1.88-9.22266.945.375.751.22-
2023/923.88-16.01-4.22243.516.9477.021.22-
2023/828.4315.110.39219.638.3277.671.21-
2023/724.70.684.96191.28.0274.351.26-
2023/624.53-2.33-15.55166.498.4976.761.21-
2023/525.12-7.328.88141.9614.184.081.11-
2023/427.1-14.9212.99116.8415.2985.261.09-
2023/331.8621.1615.4589.7416.089.740.96-
2023/226.29-16.7530.3557.8816.3185.211.01-
2023/131.5815.546.7331.586.7385.541.01-
2022/1227.332.684.2307.4611.0579.771.1-
2022/1126.623.1223.15280.1211.7777.371.14-
2022/1025.813.5224.14253.510.6976.51.15-
2022/924.93-3.1815.6227.699.3574.221.06-
2022/825.769.4310.09202.758.6378.341.0-
2022/723.53-18.987.48177.08.4175.651.04-
2022/629.0525.9219.89153.468.5676.110.91-
2022/523.07-3.826.41124.416.2274.650.92-
2022/423.99-13.07-1.26101.346.1771.750.96-
2022/327.636.819.5277.368.7277.360.84-
2022/220.17-31.8313.049.768.2775.990.85-
2022/129.5912.85.2729.595.2777.440.84-
2021/1226.2321.36-14.38276.857.7968.640.93-
2021/1121.613.948.54250.6210.7963.981.0-
2021/1020.79-3.59-5.79229.0111.0165.760.97-
2021/921.57-7.79-0.93208.2113.0266.860.85-
2021/823.396.8320.86186.6514.8969.520.82-
2021/721.9-9.6315.18163.2514.0867.810.84-
2021/624.2311.7613.35141.3613.9270.20.69-
2021/521.68-10.7510.25117.1214.0371.170.68-
2021/424.29-3.5728.8795.4414.9367.340.71-
2021/325.1941.159.0771.1510.8371.150.64-
2021/217.85-36.4910.1545.9611.8176.60.6-
2021/128.11-8.2512.928.1112.978.660.58-
2020/1230.6453.8529.91256.84-0.5272.620.6-
2020/1119.91-9.78-0.97226.21-3.5863.760.68-
2020/1022.071.3711.06206.29-3.8363.20.69-
2020/921.7712.49-2.16184.22-5.3560.140.78-
2020/819.351.81-6.48162.45-5.7659.740.78-
2020/719.01-11.07-0.55143.09-5.6660.050.78-
2020/621.388.71-14.66124.08-6.459.890.75-
2020/519.664.31-7.85102.71-4.4761.610.73-
2020/418.85-18.39-3.4583.04-3.6458.150.77-
2020/323.142.55-0.7364.2-3.6864.20.68-
2020/216.2-34.91-3.8341.1-5.2764.680.68-
2020/124.95.56-6.1924.9-6.190.0N/A-
2019/1223.5817.282.75258.23.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/139.082023/131.582022/129.592021/128.112020/124.9
2024/228.692023/226.292022/220.172021/217.852020/216.2
2024/331.412023/331.862022/327.62021/325.192020/323.1
2024/429.542023/427.12022/423.992021/424.292020/418.85
2024/524.442023/525.122022/523.072021/521.682020/519.66
2024/627.732023/624.532022/629.052021/624.232020/621.38
2024/725.982023/724.72022/723.532021/721.92020/719.01
2024/825.372023/828.432022/825.762021/823.392020/819.35
2024/929.232023/923.882022/924.932021/921.572020/921.77
2024/1025.882023/1023.432022/1025.812021/1020.792020/1022.07
2024/1128.772023/1123.292022/1126.622021/1121.612020/1119.91
N/AN/A2023/1228.062022/1227.332021/1226.232020/1230.64
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 99.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)51.96-2.33-16.86
24Q2 (19)53.2-7.2210.33
24Q1 (18)57.34-12.8422.65
23Q4 (17)65.795.2653.39
23Q3 (16)62.529.6166.89
23Q2 (15)48.223.1450.5
23Q1 (14)46.759.042.44
22Q4 (13)42.8914.5341.69
22Q3 (12)37.4516.89141.77
22Q2 (11)32.04-2.38113.03
22Q1 (10)32.828.4297.12
21Q4 (9)30.2795.4281.91
21Q3 (8)15.492.995.81
21Q2 (7)15.04-9.6721.68
21Q1 (6)16.650.0611.52
20Q4 (5)16.6413.66-3.42
20Q3 (4)14.6418.450.0
20Q2 (3)12.36-17.210.0
20Q1 (2)14.93-13.350.0
19Q4 (1)17.230.00.0

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