玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1650.00.00.699.52-16.870.7742.5932.762.3441.8248.17.3514.845.7631.143.396.5720.7314.5914.7215.45-5.16-21.331.5231.0320.631.149.62-16.7919.00-6.73-21.1315.45-5.16-21.331.74-14.3617.06
24Q2 (19)1650.00.00.63-38.2428.570.54-8.4735.01.6561.76120.06.4-11.36-4.4830.12-1.2523.9518.09-6.3241.5516.29-30.5635.071.16-16.5534.881.04-38.4628.420.37-30.6235.1716.29-30.5635.07-8.1223.61-18.26
24Q1 (18)1650.00.01.0285.45292.310.59-28.0568.571.02-52.11292.317.22-4.8725.7830.50-0.8535.0219.31-6.3563.0923.4696.48208.681.39-11.46104.411.6985.71284.0929.3697.71208.423.4696.48208.682.1725.866.67
23Q4 (17)1650.00.00.55-33.7389.660.8241.3860.782.1334.814.417.599.2118.7830.765.2720.9120.6214.1136.5611.94-39.2160.921.5724.661.860.91-33.5893.6214.85-38.3659.8511.94-39.2160.926.4717.8343.19
23Q3 (16)1650.00.00.8369.3916.90.5845.0205.261.58110.67-9.716.953.7322.1429.2220.2528.3318.0741.3978.3819.6462.85-4.341.2646.51117.241.3769.1417.0924.0959.85-4.6319.6462.85-4.3410.2278.9229.64
23Q2 (15)1650.0-0.60.4988.46-28.990.4014.2914.290.75188.46-27.886.716.72-2.6224.307.574.2512.787.941.1112.0658.68-27.310.8626.47-1.150.8184.09-28.9515.0758.3-27.4112.0658.68-27.313.2739.06-8.54
23Q1 (14)1650.00.00.26-10.34-25.710.35-31.37105.880.26-87.25-25.715.74-10.175.7122.59-11.218.2111.84-21.5953.377.602.43-28.770.68-29.961.90.44-6.38-24.149.522.48-28.157.602.43-28.771.07-34.7468.52
22Q4 (13)1650.00.00.29-59.15190.00.51168.42218.752.0416.57436.846.3912.315.1425.4411.7356.3615.1049.06181.727.42-63.86146.510.9767.24223.330.47-59.83176.479.29-63.22144.477.42-63.86146.51-2.50-28.1261.35
22Q3 (12)165-0.60.00.712.9317.650.19-45.71533.331.7568.27548.155.69-17.316.1222.77-2.3254.910.13-19.86384.6920.5323.75250.940.58-33.33480.01.172.63303.4525.2621.68265.0320.5323.75250.944.7050.0230.08
22Q2 (11)1660.610.610.6997.142400.00.35105.88250.01.04197.14940.06.8826.750.2223.3121.9845.8712.6463.73264.2716.5955.481650.470.87107.14443.751.1496.552380.020.7656.681649.2516.5955.481650.4712.27173.5756.06
22Q1 (10)1650.00.00.35250.0169.230.176.2530.770.35-7.89169.235.43-2.1618.0419.1117.462.367.7244.0327.8110.67254.49127.020.4240.050.00.58241.18163.6413.25248.68119.7310.67254.49127.025.55104.41219.79
21Q4 (9)1650.0-5.170.10-41.18150.00.16433.3360.00.3840.7480.955.5513.278.1916.2710.68-0.375.36156.4644.863.01-48.55152.940.3200.057.890.17-41.38183.333.80-45.09150.03.01-48.55152.9410.13312.75181.66
21Q3 (8)1650.0-6.780.17666.67183.330.03-70.0-75.00.27170.058.824.96.99-7.5514.70-8.010.072.09-39.77-48.145.85646.73174.650.1-37.5-52.380.29680.0163.646.92616.42191.985.85646.73174.653.28271.79-46.54
21Q2 (7)1650.0-8.33-0.03-123.0857.140.10-23.08266.670.10-23.08-9.094.58-0.4341.3615.98-14.4164.233.47-42.55164.14-1.07-122.7770.920.16-42.86188.89-0.05-122.7358.33-1.34-122.2277.67-1.07-122.7770.92-5.3850.963.46
21Q1 (6)165-5.17-8.330.13225.0-23.530.1330.0-18.750.13-38.1-23.534.6-10.33-15.1318.6714.332.926.0463.240.334.70294.96-17.980.2847.37-15.150.22266.67-29.036.03296.71-10.534.70294.96-17.98-6.7795.846.66
20Q4 (5)174-1.69-3.330.04-33.33-80.00.10-16.67-72.220.2123.53-75.05.13-3.21-20.7116.3311.16-20.813.70-8.19-62.091.19-44.13-78.240.19-9.52-69.840.06-45.45-82.861.52-35.86-73.971.19-44.13-78.24--0.00
20Q3 (4)177-1.670.00.06185.710.00.12300.00.00.1754.550.05.363.580.014.6950.980.04.03174.490.02.13157.880.00.21216.670.00.11191.670.02.37139.50.02.13157.880.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1800.00.0-0.07-141.180.0-0.06-137.50.00.11-35.290.03.24-40.220.09.73-46.360.0-5.41-189.870.0-3.68-164.220.0-0.18-154.550.0-0.12-138.710.0-6.00-189.020.0-3.68-164.220.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1800.00.00.17-15.00.00.16-55.560.00.17-79.760.05.42-16.230.018.14-12.030.06.02-38.320.05.734.750.00.33-47.620.00.31-11.430.06.7415.410.05.734.750.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1800.00.00.200.00.00.360.00.00.840.00.06.470.00.020.620.00.09.760.00.05.470.00.00.630.00.00.350.00.05.840.00.05.470.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.9811.437.426.618.88.19N/A-
2024/102.675.1215.8623.648.987.79N/A-
2024/92.54-1.523.0820.968.167.351.07-
2024/82.5815.817.218.428.96.791.16-
2024/72.2312.437.2515.849.186.51.21-
2024/61.98-13.5-14.2313.619.56.41.22-
2024/52.297.76-4.4211.6314.927.01.11-
2024/42.13-17.756.929.3420.936.831.14-
2024/32.5821.7214.317.2225.787.220.94-
2024/22.12-15.275.54.6333.257.150.94-
2024/12.51-0.3971.452.5171.457.790.87去年春節工作日減少所致
2023/122.52-9.2114.9826.9810.587.590.83-
2023/112.7720.2132.2324.4610.147.540.84-
2023/102.31-6.469.4521.697.847.180.88-
2023/92.472.425.1319.387.656.950.88-
2023/82.4115.8733.6916.925.56.80.91-
2023/72.08-10.088.1714.511.946.790.91-
2023/62.31-3.61-3.3812.430.966.71.01-
2023/52.420.569.7910.122.016.651.02-
2023/41.99-12.06-13.787.72-0.176.261.08-
2023/32.2612.341.155.745.595.741.28-
2023/22.0137.6873.723.478.75.661.29本月增減百分比,因去年同期過年休假天數較長所致。
2023/11.46-33.2-28.251.46-28.255.751.27-
2022/122.194.4127.2324.3924.246.391.23-
2022/112.1-0.494.8722.2123.956.171.27-
2022/102.116.9214.7820.1126.355.881.34-
2022/91.979.4121.6318.027.865.691.4-
2022/81.8-6.248.2216.0328.676.111.31-
2022/71.92-19.6918.9614.2331.826.491.23-
2022/62.399.5339.9912.3134.086.881.04-
2022/52.18-5.3332.089.9232.736.721.06-
2022/42.313.1689.377.7432.915.71.25主係去年歐美客戶受疫情影響,客戶延緩或取消訂單,目前歐美疫情趨緩、上海封城影響貨櫃運輸動能提升,使出貨較去年同期增加。
2022/32.2492.9329.365.4317.975.431.41-
2022/21.16-43.14-9.433.211.134.921.56-
2022/12.0418.4727.622.0427.625.761.33-
2021/121.72-13.93-10.6219.632.865.551.34-
2021/112.08.934.6417.914.375.451.36-
2021/101.8413.316.915.921.55.121.45-
2021/91.62-2.65-12.2614.080.844.91.44-
2021/81.663.06-2.5312.462.844.991.41-
2021/71.61-5.49-7.7510.83.724.981.41-
2021/61.713.3447.489.186.044.581.45-
2021/51.6535.7251.077.47-0.354.61.44去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,營收大幅減少。
2021/41.22-29.5222.945.82-9.134.231.57-
2021/31.7335.07-8.844.6-14.994.61.36-
2021/21.28-19.87-33.452.88-18.314.81.3-
2021/11.6-17.04-0.091.6-0.095.011.25-
2020/121.9229.66-17.4619.09-20.255.131.08-
2020/111.48-13.53-34.1417.16-20.565.051.1-
2020/101.72-7.0-8.8315.68-18.975.271.06-
2020/91.858.15-0.1713.96-20.075.30.99-
2020/81.71-2.46-15.212.12-22.424.621.14-
2020/71.7551.09-14.0410.41-23.494.01.31-
2020/61.165.86-28.838.66-25.153.241.73-
2020/51.0910.45-44.927.5-24.553.981.41-
2020/40.99-47.75-50.66.41-19.464.811.17主係歐美主要客戶受新冠肺炎影響,客戶延緩或取消訂單,致業績受影響,預期疫情減緩,歐美解除封城後,客戶延遲訂單會逐步恢復。
2020/31.9-1.39-11.645.42-8.975.420.92-
2020/21.9220.2929.33.52-7.475.850.85-
2020/11.6-31.46-31.061.6-31.060.0N/A-
2019/122.333.4412.6323.94-0.930.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1650.02.124.432.1374.5926.9810.6227.0218.4616.1539.2213.03-5.514.3654.064.364.313.524.76
2022 (9)1650.02.03434.211.22190.4824.3924.2522.8139.2611.60172.313.79336.392.83236.94.18442.863.36441.94
2021 (8)165-5.170.3880.950.4227.2719.632.8316.387.274.2646.93.1665.450.8452.730.77108.110.6267.57
2020 (7)174-3.330.21-75.00.33-69.4419.09-20.2615.27-25.442.90-67.811.91-69.780.55-74.540.37-80.420.37-75.5
2019 (6)1800.00.84-22.221.08-1.8223.94-0.9120.48-2.349.01-7.216.32-21.692.16-8.091.89-23.791.51-22.56
2018 (5)1800.01.0818.681.10-23.6124.16-8.4220.970.779.71-8.918.0729.332.35-16.372.4819.231.9518.18
2017 (4)1800.00.91-26.021.44-12.226.381.2720.81-8.0810.66-11.96.24-26.422.81-10.792.08-21.511.65-25.34
2016 (3)1800.01.2301.6442.6126.054.8322.6422.7812.1099.018.4803.15108.612.6502.210
2015 (2)1800.56-1.0601.151337.524.850.4418.4429.316.08850.0-7.6601.51843.75-2.290-1.90
2014 (1)1799.820.0300.08024.74-0.1214.2600.6400.2700.1600.0900.070

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