玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)540.00.0-0.39-56.035.0-0.26-30.0-30.0-1.00-63.93-58.730.293.57-42.01.17-79.9-69.21-49.55-18.68-122.9-72.47-49.3-11.84-0.14-16.67-27.27-0.21-61.5434.38-72.47-49.64-11.84-72.47-49.3-11.8429.57-12.722.74
24Q2 (19)540.0-28.95-0.2530.56-196.15-0.2035.48-5.26-0.61-69.44-608.330.2855.56-50.05.82-16.5-66.1-41.7554.67-134.55-48.5453.75-237.9-0.1229.41-20.0-0.1331.58-165.0-48.4353.85-237.59-48.5453.75-237.92.78-234.7229.93
24Q1 (18)5422.7354.29-0.36-500.00.0-0.3124.39-29.17-0.3643.750.00.18-50.0-66.046.97239.68-51.12-92.11-56.33-282.83-104.95-1243.79-337.47-0.1719.05-30.77-0.19-533.33-46.15-104.95-1452.51-337.47-104.95-1243.79-337.47-39.00-205.00-40.30
23Q4 (17)44-18.5241.94-0.0690.00-0.41-105.0-115.79-0.64-1.5927.270.36-28.0-56.63-4.99-231.32-150.97-58.92-165.05-365.04-7.8187.95-8577.78-0.21-90.91-90.91-0.0390.620-6.7689.57-7411.11-7.8187.95-8577.78-19.36-120.38-55.13
23Q3 (16)54-28.9558.82-0.60-330.77-275.0-0.20-5.26-81.82-0.63-625.030.770.5-10.71-41.183.80-77.87-77.62-22.23-24.89-265.02-64.80-284.09-886.3-0.11-10.0-120.0-0.32-260.0-433.33-64.80-284.09-886.3-64.80-284.09-886.3-2.53-79.277.78
23Q2 (15)76117.14153.330.26172.22-10.34-0.1920.83-11.760.12133.33115.580.565.660.017.1720.4114.85-17.8026.02-10.735.20246.73125.35-0.123.08-11.110.2253.85122.2235.20246.73125.3535.20246.73125.35-15.2486.11-2.75
23Q1 (14)3512.934.62-0.36068.97-0.24-26.327.69-0.3659.0968.970.53-36.14-13.1114.2645.66-25.26-24.06-89.9-9.86-23.99-26555.5651.75-0.13-18.180.0-0.13058.06-23.99-26555.5651.75-23.99-26555.5651.75-19.2550.00-49.53
22Q4 (13)31-8.8219.230.00100.0100.0-0.19-72.7326.92-0.883.382.850.83-2.3515.289.79-42.34-20.02-12.67-108.0534.83-0.0998.6399.93-0.11-120.021.430100.0100.0-0.0998.6399.93-0.0998.6399.9324.72-27.58-18.72
22Q3 (12)3413.3330.77-0.16-155.1776.12-0.1135.2970.27-0.91-18.1849.720.8551.7939.3416.9813.5859.74-6.0962.1381.29-6.57-142.0677.53-0.0544.4475.0-0.06-166.6766.67-6.57-142.0677.53-6.57-142.0677.5321.80-15.0834.95
22Q2 (11)3015.3815.380.29125.0158.0-0.1734.6245.16-0.7733.6232.460.56-8.2-22.2214.95-21.6534.81-16.0826.5834.9815.62131.42184.02-0.0930.7750.00.09129.03169.2315.62131.42184.0215.62131.42184.02-11.7495.0317.31
22Q1 (10)260.00.0-1.1665.06-81.25-0.260.029.73-1.1677.39-81.250.61-15.280.019.0855.8862.8-21.90-12.6530.94-49.7259.25-81.53-0.137.1431.58-0.3164.77-82.35-49.7259.25-81.53-49.7259.25-81.531.38-165.2314.87
21Q4 (9)260.018.18-3.32-395.52-38.91-0.2629.7333.33-5.13-183.43-800.00.7218.03-7.6912.2415.1526.97-19.4440.2825.83-122.00-317.24-83.9-0.1430.030.0-0.88-388.89-69.23-122.00-317.24-83.9-122.00-317.24-83.91.38-214.765.19
21Q3 (8)260.023.81-0.67-34.057.32-0.37-19.35-5.71-1.81-58.77-198.370.61-15.28-8.9610.63-4.15-28.99-32.55-31.62-17.09-29.24-57.2941.31-0.2-11.11-5.26-0.18-38.4647.06-29.24-57.2941.31-29.24-57.2941.311.38-6.06-1.57
21Q2 (7)260.0-51.85-0.5021.88-257.14-0.3116.2211.43-1.14-78.12-187.690.7218.03-4.011.09-5.38-28.59-24.7322.01-4.74-18.5932.13-83.7-0.185.260.0-0.1323.53-62.5-18.5932.13-114.17-18.5932.13-83.7-1.8847.5510.67
21Q1 (6)2618.18-53.57-0.6473.22-144.76-0.375.1326.0-0.64-12.28-144.760.61-21.7910.9111.7221.5827.39-31.71-20.9835.36-27.3958.71-118.84-0.195.029.63-0.1767.31-120.99-27.3958.71-118.84-27.3958.71-118.84-2.6810.50-3.15
20Q4 (5)224.76-60.71-2.39-52.23-57.24-0.39-11.4350.0-0.57-130.9878.330.7816.42-9.39.64-35.6-35.43-26.215.7236.14-66.34-33.1632.94-0.2-5.2642.86-0.52-52.9438.82-66.34-33.1627.53-66.34-33.1632.94--0.00
20Q3 (4)21-61.110.0-1.57-1021.430.0-0.350.00.01.8441.540.00.67-10.670.014.97-3.610.0-27.80-17.750.0-49.82-392.290.0-0.19-5.560.0-0.34-325.00.0-49.82-473.960.0-49.82-392.290.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)54-3.570.0-0.14-109.790.0-0.3530.00.01.30-9.090.00.7536.360.015.5368.80.0-23.6151.880.0-10.12-106.960.0-0.1833.330.0-0.08-109.880.0-8.68-105.970.0-10.12-106.960.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)560.00.01.43194.080.0-0.5035.90.01.43154.370.00.55-36.050.09.20-38.380.0-49.06-19.540.0145.38246.970.0-0.2722.860.00.81195.290.0145.38258.820.0145.38246.970.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)560.00.0-1.520.00.0-0.780.00.0-2.630.00.00.860.00.014.930.00.0-41.040.00.0-98.920.00.0-0.350.00.0-0.850.00.0-91.540.00.0-98.920.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.1257.89-9.330.88-49.240.31N/A-
2024/90.08-28.2-47.710.75-52.650.291.1減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/80.113.26-32.560.68-53.160.311.03減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/70.116.87-45.140.57-55.740.291.09減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/60.110.6-34.380.46-57.610.281.34減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/50.09-0.79-53.280.36-61.310.271.38減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/40.09-0.44-59.210.27-63.350.21.83減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/30.09297.65-55.190.18-65.070.182.0減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/20.02-68.7-86.880.09-71.110.192.0客戶訂單減少且適逢春節假期,產能及出貨減少
2024/10.07-20.0-53.690.07-53.690.31.25減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2023/120.09-32.64-58.531.95-31.830.361.03減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2023/110.13-1.08-49.141.86-29.630.420.88-
2023/100.14-8.95-61.011.73-27.460.450.83減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2023/90.15-7.39-39.611.59-21.720.51.06-
2023/80.16-16.0-50.521.44-19.250.51.06調整低毛利接單,部分客戶遞延下單;去年同期因訂單量,部份遞延至當月出貨
2023/70.1927.85-31.791.28-12.290.531.0-
2023/60.15-21.25-47.611.09-7.640.561.13-
2023/50.19-13.3922.250.945.140.611.03-
2023/40.229.3892.490.751.530.591.06大陸子公司去年同期因疫情影響,本月無產量及出貨
2023/30.216.370.10.53-15.10.531.38-
2023/20.1710.529.860.33-22.30.551.34-
2023/10.16-28.36-46.190.16-46.190.641.14-
2022/120.22-17.39-26.572.867.880.830.96-
2022/110.26-24.15-6.862.6412.220.860.93-
2022/100.3541.0151.652.3814.820.920.87訂單增加於本月生產完成出貨.
2022/90.25-24.126.222.035.050.851.27-
2022/80.3315.7894.811.794.890.891.21客戶增加、訂單增加及部份遞延至本月生產完成出貨.
2022/70.28-1.7935.161.46-4.880.721.49-
2022/60.2983.7617.661.18-11.150.561.8-
2022/50.1636.36-45.60.89-17.610.472.13-
2022/40.11-43.11-38.530.74-7.580.452.23-
2022/30.250.98-30.730.621.790.621.25-
2022/20.13-54.21-12.50.4230.950.721.08-
2022/10.29-2.2369.490.2969.490.870.9因疫情影響,致船期延遲,部份出貨延至本月出貨,及缺料情況持續,部份出貨也延至本月出貨
2021/120.34.7717.062.65-3.620.720.97-
2021/110.28104.92-0.672.36-5.720.651.07-
2021/100.14-40.47-42.032.07-6.380.541.3-
2021/90.2339.1647.751.93-2.070.611.04-
2021/80.17-19.66-35.111.7-6.380.621.02-
2021/70.21-14.5-19.311.54-1.640.740.85-
2021/60.24-15.04-2.681.331.830.710.84-
2021/50.2954.0730.111.082.910.760.79-
2021/40.19-35.89-33.580.8-4.260.630.96-
2021/30.2990.7143.470.6110.530.610.95-
2021/20.15-11.3128.850.32-8.330.581.01-
2021/10.17-32.47-27.020.17-27.020.710.82-
2020/120.25-11.1-27.352.75-22.630.780.64-
2020/110.2919.67.592.5-22.110.680.73-
2020/100.2451.71-4.622.21-24.790.650.77-
2020/90.16-38.89-54.971.98-26.660.670.88由於疫情尚未趨於穩定,海外接單仍受當地疫情狀況,呈現不穩定狀態,至於九月營收衰退部分,應有望於第四季回補出貨
2020/80.26-0.1-16.081.82-22.440.760.77-
2020/70.263.11-26.431.56-23.40.730.81-
2020/60.2513.58-31.71.3-22.770.750.93-
2020/50.22-21.35-34.151.05-20.30.71.0-
2020/40.2838.535.950.83-15.620.61.17-
2020/30.271.27-31.320.55-29.170.551.3-
2020/20.12-49.76-35.920.35-27.880.71.03-
2020/10.23-32.77-23.030.23-23.030.850.85-
2019/120.3531.65-8.583.56-16.110.0N/A-
2019/110.276.01-30.513.21-16.850.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4441.94-0.640-1.0201.94-31.938.87-40.63-28.210-14.530-0.550-0.280-0.280
2022 (9)3119.23-0.880-0.7002.857.1414.9430.59-13.360-9.640-0.380-0.270-0.270
2021 (8)2618.18-5.130-1.3102.66-3.6211.44-8.19-26.700-51.050-0.710-1.360-1.360
2020 (7)22-60.71-0.570-1.5702.76-23.9712.46-2.66-30.480-4.460-0.840-0.110-0.120
2019 (6)560.0-2.630-1.9803.63-14.1812.80-8.31-27.680-40.710-1.00-1.410-1.480
2018 (5)56-32.53-1.770-1.7404.23-34.3213.96-17.35-22.240-23.480-0.940-0.990-0.990
2017 (4)830.0-1.850-1.2406.44-5.4316.89-3.26-10.420-23.880-0.670-1.540-1.540
2016 (3)830.0-1.280-1.5706.81-10.1617.4616.79-12.100-15.650-0.820-1.050-1.070
2015 (2)830.0-0.650-1.3907.58-12.4714.957.94-9.950-7.190-0.750-0.540-0.540
2014 (1)83-49.39-0.640-1.6508.6611.613.850-10.330-6.150-0.890-0.530-0.530

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