玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.13-0.4311.1137.332.812.3N/A-
2024/94.153.1620.9733.21.8612.240.89-
2024/84.02-1.2314.5729.05-0.3811.320.96-
2024/74.0725.9513.125.03-2.4310.731.01-
2024/63.23-5.79-0.7420.96-4.969.961.1-
2024/53.433.98-7.4917.73-5.710.511.04-
2024/43.3-12.73-12.6414.3-5.2510.231.07-
2024/33.7819.97-5.5711.0-2.7911.00.92-
2024/23.15-22.45-20.647.22-1.2611.030.92-
2024/14.066.6321.794.0621.7911.690.86-
2023/123.81-0.14.743.94-12.1811.340.96-
2023/113.822.630.6340.13-13.510.960.99-
2023/103.728.4-7.6936.31-14.7610.661.02-
2023/93.43-2.29-20.0732.59-15.510.541.16-
2023/83.51-2.49-17.6329.17-14.9310.371.18-
2023/73.610.52-16.5825.66-14.5510.571.15-
2023/63.26-12.21-30.6122.06-14.210.741.22-
2023/53.71-1.79-3.4418.8-10.5411.491.14-
2023/43.78-5.671.6115.09-12.1311.751.11-
2023/34.00.81-21.3511.31-15.9311.311.15-
2023/23.9719.027.877.31-12.6310.951.18-
2023/13.34-8.32-28.763.34-28.7610.771.2-
2022/123.64-3.98-10.4650.03-7.3711.461.16-
2022/113.79-5.86-24.6946.39-7.1112.111.1-
2022/104.03-6.13-3.5342.6-5.1412.581.05-
2022/94.290.68-4.7538.58-5.3112.870.97-
2022/84.26-1.24-15.4434.29-5.3813.270.94-
2022/74.32-8.05-8.3330.03-3.7512.850.97-
2022/64.6922.15-6.4825.71-2.9412.250.98-
2022/53.843.35-12.7321.02-2.1112.650.95-
2022/43.72-26.99-7.2417.170.6212.490.96-
2022/35.0938.284.7413.463.0313.460.83-
2022/23.68-21.4-6.688.372.0212.430.89-
2022/14.6815.2210.14.6810.113.780.81-
2021/124.07-19.24-20.054.027.8913.270.89-
2021/115.0320.578.6249.9511.0413.710.86-
2021/104.18-7.310.4244.9211.3113.720.86-
2021/94.5-10.625.5140.7412.5714.250.82-
2021/85.047.0441.5936.2411.1414.770.79-
2021/74.71-6.1933.4531.27.4114.130.83-
2021/65.0213.9825.3326.493.8113.430.84-
2021/54.49.869.0121.47-0.1913.270.85-
2021/44.01-17.55-2.7117.07-2.3112.810.88-
2021/34.8623.26.6613.06-2.1913.060.86-
2021/23.95-7.26-14.948.2-6.7813.280.84-
2021/14.25-16.282.324.252.3213.970.8-
2020/125.089.64-3.1550.07-21.1113.870.78-
2020/114.6311.47-12.1244.98-22.7312.380.88-
2020/104.1615.83-20.9540.35-23.7911.310.96-
2020/93.590.84-31.6736.19-24.110.681.08-
2020/83.560.88-32.1832.6-23.1611.091.04-
2020/73.53-11.9-32.529.04-21.8911.571.0-
2020/64.0-0.84-23.9225.52-20.1512.160.94-
2020/54.04-1.96-22.6721.51-19.4112.720.9-
2020/44.12-9.6-21.3217.47-18.6113.320.86-
2020/34.56-1.75-17.7913.35-17.7413.350.9-
2020/24.6411.56-3.178.8-17.7214.040.86-
2020/14.16-20.76-29.534.16-29.5314.680.82-
2019/125.25-0.5-4.2263.47-4.930.0N/A-
2019/115.270.27-8.5258.22-4.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.062023/13.342022/14.682021/14.252020/14.16
2024/23.152023/23.972022/23.682021/23.952020/24.64
2024/33.782023/34.02022/35.092021/34.862020/34.56
2024/43.32023/43.782022/43.722021/44.012020/44.12
2024/53.432023/53.712022/53.842021/54.42020/54.04
2024/63.232023/63.262022/64.692021/65.022020/64.0
2024/74.072023/73.62022/74.322021/74.712020/73.53
2024/84.022023/83.512022/84.262021/85.042020/83.56
2024/94.152023/93.432022/94.292021/94.52020/93.59
2024/104.132023/103.722022/104.032021/104.182020/104.16
N/AN/A2023/113.822022/113.792021/115.032020/114.63
N/AN/A2023/123.812022/123.642021/124.072020/125.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.59%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.08-55.56700.0
24Q2 (19)0.18157.141700.0
24Q1 (18)0.07-83.7275.0
23Q4 (17)0.434200.0258.33
23Q3 (16)0.010.0-93.75
23Q2 (15)0.01-75.0-94.74
23Q1 (14)0.04-66.67-83.33
22Q4 (13)0.12-25.0-42.86
22Q3 (12)0.16-15.79-27.27
22Q2 (11)0.19-20.83-17.39
22Q1 (10)0.2414.290.0
21Q4 (9)0.21-4.5550.0
21Q3 (8)0.22-4.3557.14
21Q2 (7)0.23-4.17187.5
21Q1 (6)0.2471.4320.0
20Q4 (5)0.140.0250.0
20Q3 (4)0.1475.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.08-60.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2400.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.040.00.0

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