玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.9715.71-3.4427.93-17.148.39N/A-
2024/102.56-10.2-9.9724.96-18.518.38N/A-
2024/92.86-3.42-10.4922.4-19.398.490.99-
2024/82.9610.48-12.0319.54-20.558.171.03-
2024/72.685.65-16.7216.58-21.897.61.11-
2024/62.535.95-15.713.91-22.827.71.09-
2024/52.39-13.99-30.011.38-24.247.771.08-
2024/42.787.06-2.998.98-22.546.751.25-
2024/32.688.53-18.726.21-28.966.211.21-
2024/21.38-38.32-44.853.61-34.865.961.26-
2024/12.23-4.93-26.662.23-26.667.650.98-
2023/122.35-23.57-34.0636.05-27.958.270.93-
2023/113.077.89-10.2633.71-27.489.110.84-
2023/102.85-10.72-16.7830.63-28.859.40.82-
2023/93.19-5.09-12.2927.78-29.899.760.85-
2023/83.364.594.624.59-31.679.580.87-
2023/73.216.95-26.1621.23-35.229.630.86-
2023/63.0-12.02-37.818.02-36.619.280.85-
2023/53.4219.19-20.3615.02-36.379.470.83-
2023/42.87-10.29-34.3211.6-39.928.560.92-
2023/33.1927.91-49.248.74-41.568.741.0-
2023/22.5-17.98-39.285.54-35.979.10.96-
2023/13.04-14.53-32.973.04-32.9710.030.87-
2022/123.564.01-13.250.044.8910.411.13-
2022/113.420.06-34.8646.486.5910.481.12-
2022/103.42-5.91-33.1343.0612.2710.271.14-
2022/93.6413.2-18.1539.6319.2711.21.11-
2022/83.21-26.17-14.3636.025.0512.41.01-
2022/74.35-9.98.132.7830.9613.470.92-
2022/64.8312.6521.1428.4335.3413.480.94-
2022/54.29-1.6944.7923.638.6714.940.85-
2022/44.36-30.6756.0719.3137.3814.770.86因缺料問題獲得緩解及客戶需求強勁,故本月營收較去年同期增加
2022/36.2953.0161.3214.9532.7314.950.82因缺料問題獲得緩解及客戶需求強勁,故本月營收較去年同期增加
2022/24.11-9.4459.628.6517.5912.760.96因缺料問題獲得緩解及客戶需求強勁,故本月營收較去年同期增加
2022/14.5410.66-5.054.54-5.0513.90.88-
2021/124.1-21.94-3.6647.71-3.514.480.97-
2021/115.262.7230.7643.6-3.4914.820.95-
2021/105.1215.1718.4738.35-6.8413.311.05-
2021/94.4418.457.6233.23-9.812.221.03-
2021/83.75-6.81-15.8628.78-12.0111.771.07-
2021/74.030.95-3.8925.03-11.410.981.15-
2021/63.9934.64-3.3121.01-12.79.741.31-
2021/52.965.96-38.717.02-14.659.661.32-
2021/42.8-28.34-51.3714.06-6.969.271.38因去年同期的基期較高,且受到面板、IC缺料嚴重影響供應鏈出貨所致
2021/33.951.4-22.5411.2620.3111.261.04-
2021/22.58-46.1374.487.3670.2211.621.01本月營收較去年同期增加,係因客戶需求增加及去年受疫情影響延遲復工,造成同期基期較低。
2021/14.7812.2868.04.7868.013.060.9本月較去年同期增加68.01%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/124.265.968.1249.4411.6112.60.94-
2020/114.02-6.93-10.1645.1811.9512.470.95-
2020/104.324.62-13.8441.1614.7112.910.92-
2020/94.13-7.3910.5336.8419.3512.780.92-
2020/84.466.4414.532.7120.5612.770.92-
2020/74.191.5721.8728.2521.5713.150.9-
2020/64.12-14.6316.2424.0621.5214.70.77-
2020/54.83-15.9328.719.9422.6815.620.72-
2020/45.7514.1366.8615.1120.8712.260.92本月較去年同期增加66.86%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/35.04241.0669.119.363.379.361.32本月較去年同期增加69.12%,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2020/21.48-48.13-16.284.32-28.848.261.5-
2020/12.85-27.73-33.982.85-33.980.0N/A-
2019/123.94-11.96-4.2944.323.950.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.232023/13.042022/14.542021/14.782020/12.85
2024/21.382023/22.52022/24.112021/22.582020/21.48
2024/32.62023/33.192022/36.292021/33.92020/35.04
2024/42.782023/42.872022/44.362021/42.82020/45.75
2024/52.392023/53.422022/54.292021/52.962020/54.83
2024/62.532023/63.02022/64.832021/63.992020/64.12
2024/72.682023/73.212022/74.352021/74.032020/74.19
2024/82.962023/83.362022/83.212021/83.752020/84.46
2024/92.862023/93.192022/93.642021/94.442020/94.13
2024/102.562023/102.852022/103.422021/105.122020/104.32
2024/112.972023/113.072022/113.422021/115.262020/114.02
N/AN/A2023/122.352022/123.562021/124.12020/124.26
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.82%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.10.00
24Q2 (19)0.1100.00
24Q1 (18)0.0500

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