玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.312.2416.3742.665.212.64N/A-
2024/104.212.1411.9838.354.1512.27N/A-
2024/94.124.76-8.3634.143.3412.40.69-
2024/83.93-9.42-9.930.025.2412.250.69-
2024/74.349.4116.6626.088.0312.60.68-
2024/63.97-7.440.4121.746.3212.310.66-
2024/54.295.8215.1117.777.411.550.7-
2024/44.0526.351.1313.485.039.430.86-
2024/33.2147.79-15.849.436.799.430.86-
2024/22.17-46.36-17.046.2223.9110.710.76-
2024/14.05-9.967.514.0567.5112.240.67主要係112年1月適逢農曆春節工作天數較少,致113年1月營收較去年成長。
2023/124.4921.4323.8145.0314.1911.950.61-
2023/113.7-1.66.640.5513.2811.960.61-
2023/103.76-16.4117.2536.8213.9812.630.58-
2023/94.53.034.4133.0313.7312.590.63-
2023/84.3717.2719.9928.5211.1812.040.65-
2023/73.72-5.824.4224.149.7511.40.69-
2023/63.956.17.3320.4511.0411.690.68-
2023/53.73-7.020.3816.5412.5811.550.69-
2023/44.015.1435.5812.8316.9310.440.76-
2023/33.8145.6721.228.8310.838.840.98-
2023/22.628.321.045.024.928.661.0-
2023/12.42-33.41-7.372.42-7.379.510.91-
2022/123.634.55-11.139.43-8.1210.30.81-
2022/113.478.21-20.9735.79-7.8310.020.84-
2022/103.21-4.18-6.1332.3-6.2410.190.82-
2022/93.35-8.04-27.6429.05-6.410.550.88-
2022/83.642.05-8.0125.65-2.9910.890.85-
2022/73.57-3.2-6.7622.0-2.3510.960.85-
2022/63.68-0.76-0.4118.41-1.6910.350.94-
2022/53.7125.5811.8314.69-2.429.810.99-
2022/42.96-5.99-23.7210.97-6.688.261.17-
2022/33.1445.46-0.877.960.727.911.29-
2022/22.16-17.1237.554.780.778.851.15-
2022/12.61-36.09-17.882.61-17.8811.080.92-
2021/124.08-7.04-0.8742.9129.8911.890.7-
2021/114.3928.5334.2338.8434.4412.430.67-
2021/103.42-26.1422.5334.4534.6612.00.69-
2021/94.6316.9136.2831.0336.2112.410.67-
2021/83.963.4317.3626.4536.4711.480.73-
2021/73.823.3917.7622.5340.6910.840.77-
2021/63.711.4428.6318.7346.4610.890.75-
2021/53.32-14.3523.7715.0651.4810.370.79主要係疫情受到控制,烘焙市場回溫,讓烘焙設備銷售重新回到軌道。
2021/43.8822.1660.1211.7659.978.620.95主要係疫情受到控制,烘焙市場回溫,讓烘焙設備銷售重新回到軌道。
2021/33.17101.8673.337.9161.797.920.91主要係疫情受到控制,烘焙市場回溫,讓烘焙設備銷售重新回到軌道。
2021/21.57-50.5291.434.7554.068.870.82主要係疫情受到控制,烘焙市場回溫,讓烘焙設備銷售重新回到軌道。
2021/13.18-22.8545.023.1845.0210.570.69-
2020/124.1225.88-5.0833.04-20.8910.180.61-
2020/113.2717.33-19.2128.89-23.049.450.66-
2020/102.79-17.86-16.1825.58-23.829.550.65-
2020/93.390.68-10.422.78-24.910.010.6-
2020/83.373.78-19.9819.38-27.259.490.64-
2020/73.2512.94-9.6516.01-28.778.810.69-
2020/62.887.23-13.112.79-32.357.980.79-
2020/52.6810.8-26.759.94-36.286.930.9-
2020/42.4232.24-34.667.35-38.485.071.24-
2020/31.83122.95-40.554.89-40.674.841.44-
2020/20.82-62.52-44.013.08-40.127.350.95-
2020/12.19-49.51-40.252.19-40.250.0N/A-
2019/124.347.144.4841.77-3.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.052023/12.422022/12.612021/13.182020/12.19
2024/22.172023/22.622022/22.162021/21.572020/20.82
2024/33.212023/33.812022/33.142021/33.172020/31.83
2024/44.052023/44.012022/42.962021/43.882020/42.42
2024/54.292023/53.732022/53.712021/53.322020/52.68
2024/63.972023/63.952022/63.682021/63.72020/62.88
2024/74.342023/73.722022/73.572021/73.822020/73.25
2024/83.932023/84.372022/83.642021/83.962020/83.37
2024/94.122023/94.52022/93.352021/94.632020/93.39
2024/104.212023/103.762022/103.212021/103.422020/102.79
2024/114.312023/113.72022/113.472021/114.392020/113.27
N/AN/A2023/124.492022/123.632021/124.082020/124.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 33.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.714.8619.72
24Q2 (19)1.4811.28-1.99
24Q1 (18)1.33-2.21-10.74
23Q4 (17)1.36-4.23-23.6
23Q3 (16)1.42-5.96-16.47
23Q2 (15)1.511.347.09
23Q1 (14)1.49-16.29-5.7
22Q4 (13)1.784.7117.88
22Q3 (12)1.720.5771.72
22Q2 (11)1.41-10.7628.18
22Q1 (10)1.584.6462.89
21Q4 (9)1.5152.5381.93
21Q3 (8)0.99-10.057.14
21Q2 (7)1.113.452.78
21Q1 (6)0.9716.8751.56
20Q4 (5)0.8331.75-3.49
20Q3 (4)0.63-12.50.0
20Q2 (3)0.7212.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.64-25.580.0
19Q4 (1)0.860.00.0

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