玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.966.372.9378.753.7421.29N/A-
2024/96.55-15.858.8771.793.8222.650.69-
2024/87.78-6.4913.0165.243.3423.920.65-
2024/78.326.340.5157.462.1524.710.63-
2024/67.82-8.72-5.0649.142.4424.310.62-
2024/58.578.31-1.3841.324.024.390.61-
2024/47.910.035.3232.755.522.610.66-
2024/37.9116.628.9224.845.5624.840.6-
2024/26.78-33.126.7816.924.0623.10.65-
2024/110.1464.32.3210.142.3223.120.65-
2023/126.17-9.34-4.8588.89-0.5219.750.83-
2023/116.810.65-1.5282.72-0.1819.590.83-
2023/106.7612.518.1875.91-0.0619.660.83-
2023/96.01-12.650.5669.14-0.821.170.62-
2023/86.88-16.84-3.6863.13-0.9323.40.56-
2023/78.280.44-2.0656.25-0.5825.210.52-
2023/68.24-5.183.7547.97-0.3224.440.63-
2023/58.6915.683.2839.73-1.1223.470.66-
2023/47.513.44-3.531.04-2.2921.130.73-
2023/37.2614.33-3.2323.53-1.923.530.74-
2023/26.35-35.920.3416.26-1.322.750.77-
2023/19.9152.78-2.339.91-2.3323.310.75-
2022/126.49-6.17-19.1289.360.3419.650.9-
2022/116.9110.57-11.9682.872.2719.150.93-
2022/106.254.59-15.3175.953.819.380.91-
2022/95.98-16.34-12.1569.75.9421.580.74-
2022/87.15-15.441.1963.728.0323.540.68-
2022/78.456.419.3456.588.9624.810.65-
2022/67.94-5.610.7748.138.924.140.71-
2022/58.418.080.3240.1810.6623.710.73-
2022/47.793.7313.8631.7713.7721.620.8-
2022/37.5118.5711.9923.9813.7423.980.64-
2022/26.33-37.636.9516.4814.5524.50.63-
2022/110.1526.5119.8710.1519.8726.020.59-
2021/128.022.1329.7689.0516.0423.260.66-
2021/117.856.3748.381.0314.8422.040.69-
2021/107.388.4933.8473.1712.1221.250.72-
2021/96.81-3.6314.9865.7910.1221.60.78-
2021/87.06-8.639.058.989.5822.670.74-
2021/77.73-1.92-7.5351.929.6624.00.7-
2021/67.88-6.033.1544.1913.3523.110.78-
2021/58.3922.6612.0836.3115.8421.930.82-
2021/46.842.0318.3227.9217.0219.460.93-
2021/36.713.2316.9321.0916.6121.090.74-
2021/25.92-30.0915.9714.3816.4620.570.76-
2021/18.4736.9516.88.4716.819.940.78-
2020/126.1816.727.7876.747.8316.990.81-
2020/115.3-3.995.0670.557.8316.730.83-
2020/105.52-6.793.9165.268.0717.910.77-
2020/95.92-8.6312.6659.748.4720.760.56-
2020/86.48-22.512.3453.828.0222.480.51-
2020/78.369.4124.347.347.4623.480.49-
2020/67.642.119.2838.984.4320.90.6-
2020/57.4829.4814.5631.341.3518.990.66-
2020/45.780.83-14.0323.86-2.1816.610.76-
2020/35.7312.3-3.3418.082.3218.080.76-
2020/25.1-29.618.3912.355.1918.090.76-
2020/17.2526.38-2.467.25-2.4618.020.76-
2019/125.7413.7717.8371.160.550.0N/A-
2019/115.04-5.0414.1165.42-0.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/110.142023/19.912022/110.152021/18.472020/17.25
2024/26.782023/26.352022/26.332021/25.922020/25.1
2024/37.912023/37.262022/37.512021/36.72020/35.73
2024/47.912023/47.512022/47.792021/46.842020/45.78
2024/58.572023/58.692022/58.412021/58.392020/57.48
2024/67.822023/68.242022/67.942021/67.882020/67.64
2024/78.322023/78.282022/78.452021/77.732020/78.36
2024/87.782023/86.882022/87.152021/87.062020/86.48
2024/96.552023/96.012022/95.982021/96.812020/95.92
2024/106.962023/106.762022/106.252021/107.382020/105.52
N/AN/A2023/116.812022/116.912021/117.852020/115.3
N/AN/A2023/126.172022/126.492021/128.022020/126.18
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.47%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.952.1515.85
24Q2 (19)0.93-57.536.9
24Q1 (18)2.1912.3123.03
23Q4 (17)1.95137.821.12
23Q3 (16)0.82-5.7524.24
23Q2 (15)0.87-51.12102.33
23Q1 (14)1.7810.56242.31
22Q4 (13)1.61143.94292.68
22Q3 (12)0.6653.49-14.29
22Q2 (11)0.43-17.31-18.87
22Q1 (10)0.5226.8336.84
21Q4 (9)0.41-46.7536.67
21Q3 (8)0.7745.2854.0
21Q2 (7)0.5339.47-14.52
21Q1 (6)0.3826.670
20Q4 (5)0.3-40.057.89
20Q3 (4)0.5-19.350.0
20Q2 (3)0.6200.0

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