玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.57-11.911.8470.49-7.8117.02N/A0.345.66-
2024/106.3323.56-14.9764.92-9.1820.21N/A0.465.33-
2024/95.12-41.59-3.4158.59-8.521.00.620.44.86-
2024/88.7723.1931.653.47-8.9621.230.610.764.46-
2024/77.1233.0810.7444.7-14.1519.890.650.613.7-
2024/65.35-28.03-27.5237.59-17.6620.290.650.393.1-
2024/57.43-1.1327.1432.24-15.7620.660.640.642.71-
2024/47.5231.49-22.6424.81-23.4919.680.670.682.06-
2024/35.72-11.36-24.7217.29-23.8517.290.720.491.39-
2024/26.4525.75-23.2111.58-23.4218.290.680.60.9-
2024/15.13-23.63-23.695.13-23.6916.830.740.30.3-
2023/126.7134.74-8.0883.18-20.4719.140.590.477.32-
2023/114.98-33.03-5.5976.46-21.4117.730.640.296.85-
2023/107.4440.37-23.8871.48-22.3119.40.580.696.56-
2023/95.3-20.41-31.9264.04-22.1318.390.610.565.87-
2023/86.663.66-22.9958.74-21.120.460.550.615.31-
2023/76.43-12.89-33.452.07-20.8519.650.570.594.71-
2023/67.3826.24-30.8645.65-18.722.940.450.834.12-
2023/55.84-39.85-36.2238.27-15.8523.150.450.553.29-
2023/49.7227.96-22.832.43-10.725.710.41.062.74-
2023/37.59-9.58-14.2922.71-4.2722.710.50.51.69-
2023/28.424.9627.9115.121.6922.420.510.881.19-
2023/16.72-8.0-19.046.72-19.0419.30.590.30.3-
2022/127.3138.384.54104.631.0222.360.460.738.76-
2022/115.28-46.0-25.8397.2933.5622.840.450.318.03-
2022/109.7825.5449.0992.0140.026.210.390.837.72-
2022/97.79-9.97-2.0582.2438.9926.090.390.846.9-
2022/88.65-10.3515.174.4545.3628.970.350.656.06-
2022/79.65-9.5728.7965.850.5729.480.340.815.4主係產銷順暢,及碳材料需求加溫,另油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同月增加。
2022/610.6716.4461.7956.1555.0732.420.271.084.59主係產銷順暢,及碳材料需求加溫,另油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同月增加。
2022/59.16-27.242.5145.4853.5830.610.290.563.51主係產銷順暢,及碳材料需求加溫,另油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本年累計營收較去年增加。
2022/412.5942.0893.8336.3256.6528.010.311.172.95主係產銷順暢,及碳材料需求加溫,出貨量持續增加,俄烏衝突油價上升,另外銷船期從3月延至4月等綜合因素影響。
2022/38.8634.9425.3223.7342.1623.730.40.781.78-
2022/26.57-20.929.8914.8754.5421.850.440.410.99本年營收較去年同期增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本年營收較去年同期增加。
2022/18.318.7981.828.381.8222.410.420.590.59本月營收較去年同月增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/126.99-1.8238.7579.8348.8320.660.470.375.54-
2021/117.128.5543.472.8449.8821.630.450.445.18-
2021/106.56-17.5344.865.7250.6222.020.440.394.73本年營收較去年同期增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/97.955.8102.2159.1751.2922.960.450.634.35本月營收較去年同月增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/87.510.373.6651.2145.621.60.480.433.72本月營收較去年同月增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/77.4913.6123.0743.741.6620.520.510.643.29本月營收較去年同月增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/66.592.5655.9836.2131.7119.520.560.552.64本月營收較去年同月增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/56.43-0.9862.9429.6127.319.990.550.452.09本月營收較去年同月增加幅度較大,主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/46.49-8.1395.4423.1820.0218.620.590.441.64主係因油價較去年同期大漲,帶動主要產品售價上漲,導致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/37.0739.8634.216.694.3516.690.620.551.21-
2021/25.0510.7-2.489.62-10.314.660.70.360.65-
2021/14.57-9.34-17.614.57-17.6114.560.710.290.29-
2020/125.041.46-1.8753.63-28.8814.530.670.323.59-
2020/114.969.6131.5248.6-30.8513.420.720.323.27-
2020/104.5315.15-25.4443.63-34.3912.790.760.352.96-
2020/93.93-9.13-42.8239.11-35.2911.620.820.262.61-
2020/84.3328.84-39.2635.17-34.3311.910.790.342.35-
2020/73.36-20.56-55.7430.85-33.5711.530.820.222.0本月營收較去年同月下降幅度較大,主係銷售量受客戶船期影響而減少,以及油價較同期低,拉低產品售價之綜合影響。
2020/64.237.14-27.8527.49-29.2411.50.770.391.79-
2020/53.9518.75-39.1523.26-29.4812.540.70.291.4-
2020/43.32-36.91-47.3619.31-27.1213.770.640.131.11-
2020/35.271.62-29.2615.99-20.7915.990.540.210.98-
2020/25.18-6.47-11.3210.72-15.8415.860.540.310.77-
2020/15.547.97-19.685.54-19.680.0N/A0.460.46-
2019/125.1336.0-25.4875.42-11.890.0N/A0.36.73-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.132023/16.722022/18.32021/14.572020/15.54
2024/26.452023/28.42022/26.572021/25.052020/25.18
2024/35.722023/37.592022/38.862021/37.072020/35.27
2024/47.522023/49.722022/412.592021/46.492020/43.32
2024/57.432023/55.842022/59.162021/56.432020/53.95
2024/65.352023/67.382022/610.672021/66.592020/64.23
2024/77.122023/76.432022/79.652021/77.492020/73.36
2024/88.772023/86.662022/88.652021/87.512020/84.33
2024/95.122023/95.32022/97.792021/97.952020/93.93
2024/106.332023/107.442022/109.782021/106.562020/104.53
2024/115.572023/114.982022/115.282021/117.122020/114.96
N/AN/A2023/126.712022/127.312021/126.992020/125.04
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.73%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.412.5-62.73
24Q2 (19)0.4-4.76-65.52
24Q1 (18)0.42-6.67-42.47
23Q4 (17)0.45-59.09-62.81
23Q3 (16)1.1-5.1715.79
23Q2 (15)1.1658.970.59
23Q1 (14)0.73-39.67-49.66
22Q4 (13)1.2127.37142.0
22Q3 (12)0.9539.7163.79
22Q2 (11)0.68-53.133.33
22Q1 (10)1.45190.0107.14
21Q4 (9)0.5-13.79316.67
21Q3 (8)0.5813.73-50.43
21Q2 (7)0.51-27.148.51
21Q1 (6)0.7483.33169.23
20Q4 (5)0.12-89.74-7.69
20Q3 (4)1.17148.940.0
20Q2 (3)0.4780.770.0
20Q1 (2)0.26100.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.130.00.0

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