玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.8937.9821.4225.865.377.79N/A-
2024/92.1-25.21-21.0822.973.647.511.04-
2024/82.87.3523.4620.877.018.110.97-
2024/72.61-2.9716.1918.074.847.870.99-
2024/62.694.7220.7315.453.147.671.07-
2024/52.576.52-2.9612.760.067.651.07-
2024/42.41-9.630.7110.190.857.151.15-
2024/32.6728.89-19.077.780.97.781.08-
2024/22.07-31.79-2.425.1115.857.581.11-
2024/13.0423.032.823.0432.828.141.03-
2023/122.47-6.06-1.2629.643.767.481.12-
2023/112.6310.322.1927.174.257.671.09-
2023/102.38-10.32-6.4724.544.477.311.15-
2023/92.6616.99-4.0322.165.87.181.14-
2023/82.271.03-5.419.57.36.751.21-
2023/72.250.8216.3317.239.247.131.15-
2023/62.23-15.82-6.9514.988.257.271.08-
2023/52.6510.552.6712.7511.438.340.95-
2023/42.4-27.3910.2910.1113.987.821.01-
2023/33.355.4125.797.7115.187.711.04-
2023/22.12-7.1527.324.418.346.911.16-
2023/12.29-8.56-4.832.29-4.837.361.09-
2022/122.5-2.7710.528.5617.377.620.97-
2022/112.570.9618.4926.0618.077.890.93-
2022/102.55-7.9828.9523.4918.027.720.96-
2022/92.7715.3230.820.9416.827.11.06-
2022/82.424.2524.5118.1714.956.731.11-
2022/71.93-19.3518.3315.7713.626.911.09-
2022/62.4-7.1219.2813.8412.997.151.02-
2022/52.5818.7627.1311.4511.767.380.99-
2022/42.17-17.197.08.877.966.461.13-
2022/32.6257.3125.016.698.276.691.04-
2022/21.67-30.6-11.054.07-0.326.331.1-
2022/12.46.168.782.48.786.841.02-
2021/122.264.2530.7824.341.896.411.09-
2021/112.179.8816.922.07-0.366.261.11-
2021/101.98-6.669.3719.9-1.946.021.16-
2021/92.129.78-10.7417.93-3.055.681.29-
2021/81.9318.07-5.5115.81-1.915.571.31-
2021/71.63-18.7-18.3913.88-1.395.671.29-
2021/62.01-1.0113.0912.251.416.071.17-
2021/52.03-0.03-2.3710.24-0.596.161.15-
2021/42.03-3.262.968.21-0.146.01.18-
2021/32.111.93-15.736.18-1.126.181.11-
2021/21.87-15.12-12.544.088.545.821.18-
2021/12.2126.9136.472.2136.475.811.18-
2020/121.74-6.28-30.4723.89-0.175.41.26-
2020/111.862.8-19.2422.153.366.031.13-
2020/101.81-23.83-5.2520.36.086.221.1-
2020/92.3716.2125.0418.497.336.411.06-
2020/82.041.9810.6416.125.145.821.17-
2020/72.012.66-1.4714.084.395.861.16-
2020/61.78-14.55-13.1112.085.435.831.15-
2020/52.085.432.7910.39.466.541.02-
2020/41.97-20.8217.368.2211.286.61.01-
2020/32.4916.179.016.259.496.250.93-
2020/22.1432.4466.513.769.826.260.93適逢春節因素且延續去年業績成長及當月受新冠病毒疫情影響,相關產品與訂單增加
2020/11.62-35.34-24.311.62-24.316.420.91-
2019/122.58.8530.3123.948.220.0N/A-
2019/112.320.6114.5221.436.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.042023/12.292022/12.42021/12.212020/11.62
2024/22.072023/22.122022/21.672021/21.872020/22.14
2024/32.672023/33.32022/32.622021/32.12020/32.49
2024/42.412023/42.42022/42.172021/42.032020/41.97
2024/52.572023/52.652022/52.582021/52.032020/52.08
2024/62.692023/62.232022/62.42021/62.012020/61.78
2024/72.612023/72.252022/71.932021/71.632020/72.0
2024/82.82023/82.272022/82.42021/81.932020/82.04
2024/92.12023/92.662022/92.772021/92.122020/92.37
2024/102.892023/102.382022/102.552021/101.982020/101.81
N/AN/A2023/112.632022/112.572021/112.172020/111.86
N/AN/A2023/122.472022/122.52021/122.262020/121.74
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.58%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.0113.489.78
24Q2 (19)0.89-2.2-8.25
24Q1 (18)0.915.81-9.0
23Q4 (17)0.86-6.52-11.34
23Q3 (16)0.92-5.151.1
23Q2 (15)0.97-3.00.0
23Q1 (14)1.03.09-3.85
22Q4 (13)0.976.593.19
22Q3 (12)0.91-6.19-3.19
22Q2 (11)0.97-6.736.59
22Q1 (10)1.0410.647.22
21Q4 (9)0.940.0-4.08
21Q3 (8)0.943.311.9
21Q2 (7)0.91-6.19-3.19
21Q1 (6)0.97-1.025.43
20Q4 (5)0.9816.6718.07
20Q3 (4)0.84-10.640.0
20Q2 (3)0.942.170.0
20Q1 (2)0.9210.840.0
19Q4 (1)0.830.00.0

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