玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.1614.437.8618.370.135.9N/A-
2024/91.891.8612.7116.21-0.815.81.05-
2024/81.85-9.98-4.1914.32-2.355.51.11-
2024/72.0629.5316.8212.47-2.075.571.09-
2024/61.59-17.41-10.1910.41-5.115.121.33-
2024/51.9219.543.298.82-4.135.211.31-
2024/41.61-4.130.256.89-6.024.661.46-
2024/31.6822.81-30.525.28-7.785.281.32-
2024/21.37-38.92-17.833.618.795.011.39-
2024/12.2459.935.642.2435.645.41.29-
2023/121.4-20.49-29.1421.510.85.161.37-
2023/111.76-12.07-9.6620.115.335.441.3-
2023/102.019.58-3.9918.3418.485.611.26-
2023/91.67-13.425.4816.3421.985.371.41-
2023/81.939.7727.9114.6624.25.471.39-
2023/71.76-0.42-2.5912.7323.655.391.41-
2023/61.77-5.01.8410.9729.255.241.53-
2023/51.8616.0221.69.236.35.881.36-
2023/41.61-33.5610.017.3440.625.691.41-
2023/32.4245.2471.215.7352.515.731.42內外銷同步成長。
2023/21.660.8280.073.3141.265.291.54今年春節假期在元月份,故本月工作天數較去年增加且外銷出貨順暢所致。
2023/11.65-16.4716.041.6516.045.571.46-
2022/121.981.3630.9219.49.016.011.3-
2022/111.95-6.5534.4617.436.985.621.39-
2022/102.0931.3935.8315.484.295.191.5-
2022/91.594.9810.7613.390.654.911.55-
2022/81.51-16.41-1.511.81-0.565.061.51-
2022/71.814.117.6210.29-0.425.081.5-
2022/61.7413.4122.748.49-1.984.731.62-
2022/51.534.96-5.256.75-6.814.41.74-
2022/41.463.384.625.22-7.263.792.02-
2022/31.4152.76-12.133.76-11.183.761.84-
2022/20.92-35.02-22.452.35-10.63.851.79-
2022/11.42-5.76-0.751.42-0.754.381.58-
2021/121.514.1-14.6917.81.444.491.42-
2021/111.45-5.621.3716.293.244.421.45-
2021/101.547.1416.8114.841.764.51.42-
2021/91.43-6.630.8713.310.274.651.31-
2021/81.54-8.6712.1611.870.24.631.32-
2021/71.6818.7415.210.34-1.364.711.3-
2021/61.42-12.457.588.66-4.034.431.43-
2021/51.6215.915.237.24-6.024.621.37-
2021/41.39-13.17-7.35.63-10.754.191.51-
2021/31.6134.82-11.834.23-11.834.231.59-
2021/21.19-16.83-29.152.62-11.834.391.53-
2021/11.43-18.9910.671.4310.674.41.53-
2020/121.7748.11-3.8217.55-0.424.281.7-
2020/111.19-9.14-23.5715.78-0.023.931.85-
2020/101.31-7.48-17.3114.592.564.11.77-
2020/91.423.812.313.275.064.251.46-
2020/81.37-6.2-24.1211.855.44.141.49-
2020/71.4610.89-3.0610.4811.044.181.48-
2020/61.32-6.22-3.449.0213.724.221.58-
2020/51.4-6.76-1.357.7117.284.731.41-
2020/41.5-17.419.236.322.435.011.33-
2020/31.828.3330.784.827.254.81.26-
2020/21.6829.9176.632.9825.194.821.25內外銷訂單皆增加
2020/11.29-29.6-9.171.29-9.174.71.28-
2019/121.8417.6929.0317.6214.540.0N/A-
2019/111.56-1.6921.1415.7813.060.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.242023/11.652022/11.422021/11.432020/11.29
2024/21.372023/21.662022/20.922021/21.192020/21.68
2024/31.682023/32.422022/31.412021/31.612020/31.82
2024/41.612023/41.612022/41.462021/41.392020/41.5
2024/51.922023/51.862022/51.532021/51.622020/51.4
2024/61.592023/61.772022/61.742021/61.422020/61.32
2024/72.062023/71.762022/71.812021/71.682020/71.46
2024/81.852023/81.932022/81.512021/81.542020/81.37
2024/91.892023/91.672022/91.592021/91.432020/91.42
2024/102.162023/102.02022/102.092021/101.542020/101.31
N/AN/A2023/111.762022/111.952021/111.452020/111.19
N/AN/A2023/121.42022/121.982021/121.512020/121.77
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.88%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.2-6.250.0
24Q2 (19)1.282.46.67
24Q1 (18)1.25-2.342.46
23Q4 (17)1.286.67-10.49
23Q3 (16)1.20.0-29.82
23Q2 (15)1.2-1.64-23.57
23Q1 (14)1.22-14.69-24.69
22Q4 (13)1.43-16.378.33
22Q3 (12)1.718.9223.02
22Q2 (11)1.57-3.094.67
22Q1 (10)1.6222.7325.58
21Q4 (9)1.32-5.049.09
21Q3 (8)1.39-7.338.59
21Q2 (7)1.516.2821.95
21Q1 (6)1.296.611.57
20Q4 (5)1.21-5.473.42
20Q3 (4)1.284.070.0
20Q2 (3)1.23-3.150.0
20Q1 (2)1.278.550.0
19Q4 (1)1.170.00.0

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