玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/119.69-0.1815.2101.0112.5629.0N/A-
2024/109.70.9916.1191.3212.2929.84N/A-
2024/99.61-8.759.881.6211.8528.760.54-
2024/810.5322.120.3672.0112.1327.960.55-
2024/78.62-2.1211.6561.4810.8326.280.59-
2024/68.81-0.4314.1452.8610.726.350.59-
2024/58.851.7811.8944.0310.2726.620.59-
2024/48.69-4.1714.5235.189.8725.770.6-
2024/39.0713.336.3426.498.4226.490.58-
2024/28.01-14.95-5.9617.429.5426.210.59-
2024/19.417.0527.429.4127.4226.610.58-
2023/128.794.568.0398.53-13.1525.560.6-
2023/118.410.61-2.1589.74-14.7825.520.6-
2023/108.36-4.49-3.5181.33-15.9125.860.59-
2023/98.750.02-1.172.97-17.1325.220.67-
2023/88.7513.26-10.0964.22-18.9224.190.7-
2023/77.720.06-14.2155.47-20.1623.350.72-
2023/67.72-2.39-23.8847.75-21.0423.220.73-
2023/57.914.18-20.6939.93-20.6724.030.71-
2023/47.59-11.02-23.332.02-20.6624.630.69-
2023/38.530.21-22.1224.43-19.824.430.72-
2023/28.5115.24-4.415.9-18.524.040.73-
2023/17.39-9.24-30.347.39-30.3424.120.73-
2022/128.14-5.29-21.26113.451.8525.390.73-
2022/118.59-0.78-19.66105.314.2226.10.71-
2022/108.66-2.1-16.1296.727.0527.240.68-
2022/98.85-9.06-11.1188.0610.0427.580.59-
2022/89.738.07-3.5679.2113.0528.880.56-
2022/79.0-11.22-8.3569.4815.8429.120.56-
2022/610.141.6910.1360.4820.5830.010.62-
2022/59.970.755.4950.3322.9330.820.6-
2022/49.9-9.6515.7240.3628.1729.760.62-
2022/310.9523.0128.6930.4632.8130.460.57-
2022/28.91-16.0230.4719.5135.2329.850.58-
2022/110.62.5839.5110.639.5131.640.55-
2021/1210.34-3.3642.02111.3843.1931.360.46-
2021/1110.73.5853.14101.0443.3130.980.47溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/1010.333.7352.8290.3542.2330.370.48溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/99.95-1.3353.0580.0240.9729.870.45溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/810.092.765.1270.0739.4129.120.46溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/79.826.6964.559.9835.8528.490.47溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/69.21-2.5853.9650.1531.3727.210.49溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/59.4510.5262.7340.9427.1726.520.5溶劑銷量較去年同期增加
2021/48.550.4729.5331.4919.3423.890.56-
2021/38.5124.7222.6422.9415.9422.940.5-
2021/26.82-10.2-0.5914.4312.3221.70.52-
2021/17.64.4227.177.627.1721.860.52-
2020/127.284.25.6177.783.5921.020.48-
2020/116.983.364.2370.53.3920.250.5-
2020/106.763.89-0.2163.523.319.370.52-
2020/96.56.44-2.4556.763.7318.590.48-
2020/86.112.31-10.2850.264.5918.060.49-
2020/75.97-0.14-3.844.157.0517.760.5-
2020/65.982.96-4.5138.188.9718.390.5-
2020/55.81-12.03-1.7532.1911.9119.350.48-
2020/46.6-4.8610.2826.3915.4420.410.45-
2020/36.941.0820.7619.7817.2819.780.46-
2020/26.8714.8733.9512.8415.4819.730.46-
2020/15.98-13.27-0.315.98-0.310.0N/A-
2019/126.892.8410.7375.08-6.540.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.412023/17.392022/110.62021/17.62020/15.98
2024/28.012023/28.512022/28.912021/26.822020/26.87
2024/39.072023/38.532022/310.952021/38.512020/36.94
2024/48.692023/47.592022/49.92021/48.552020/46.6
2024/58.852023/57.912022/59.972021/59.452020/55.81
2024/68.812023/67.722022/610.142021/69.212020/65.98
2024/78.622023/77.722022/79.02021/79.822020/75.97
2024/810.532023/88.752022/89.732021/810.092020/86.11
2024/99.612023/98.752022/98.852021/99.952020/96.5
2024/109.72023/108.362022/108.662021/1010.332020/106.76
2024/119.692023/118.412022/118.592021/1110.72020/116.98
N/AN/A2023/128.792022/128.142021/1210.342020/127.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.8%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.281.8253.85
24Q2 (19)0.11-57.6983.33
24Q1 (18)0.26333.33188.89
23Q4 (17)0.06-53.85-57.14
23Q3 (16)0.13116.67116.67
23Q2 (15)0.06-33.33-40.0
23Q1 (14)0.09-35.71125.0
22Q4 (13)0.14133.33-36.36
22Q3 (12)0.06-40.0-78.57
22Q2 (11)0.1150.0-41.18
22Q1 (10)0.04-81.82-75.0
21Q4 (9)0.22-21.43100.0
21Q3 (8)0.2864.71250.0
21Q2 (7)0.176.25466.67
21Q1 (6)0.1645.45166.67
20Q4 (5)0.1137.5120.0
20Q3 (4)0.08166.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.03-50.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0620.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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