玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.61-20.0979.516.0616.652.22N/A本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2024/90.76-10.05-4.155.4512.272.270.59-
2024/80.8528.624.334.6915.481.870.71-
2024/70.6682.850.23.8513.71.590.83-
2024/60.36-37.42-37.993.1916.951.171.33-
2024/50.58147.95122.672.8331.841.271.22本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2024/40.23-50.25-60.12.2519.391.01.56本月營收較去年同期減少主要係客戶船期調整所致。
2024/30.4756.9431.442.0254.852.020.71本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2024/20.3-76.31-7.761.5563.612.10.681月營收較去年同期增加所致。
2024/11.26128.21100.331.26100.332.070.69本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2023/120.55104.55-42.286.02-24.571.161.81-
2023/110.27-20.68-59.215.47-22.171.41.5本月營收較去年同期減少主要係客戶船期調整所致。
2023/100.34-57.33-49.735.2-18.331.811.16-
2023/90.7916.6745.954.86-14.612.130.71-
2023/80.683.64-20.814.06-21.021.920.79-
2023/70.6613.15-34.993.38-21.061.51.01-
2023/60.58124.72-38.692.72-16.761.421.34-
2023/50.26-55.57-37.432.14-7.821.21.6-
2023/40.5863.8630.191.89-1.431.261.52-
2023/30.3510.12-31.81.3-11.071.31.59-
2023/20.32-48.552.350.950.331.91.09-
2023/10.63-34.25-0.660.63-0.662.240.92-
2022/120.9544.5637.277.98-1.762.291.05-
2022/110.66-2.24-22.387.02-5.411.881.27-
2022/100.6723.87-10.386.36-3.222.081.15-
2022/90.54-36.742.785.69-2.292.421.25-
2022/80.86-14.9159.125.14-5.452.821.08本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2022/71.016.7122.964.28-12.582.371.28-
2022/60.95129.35106.943.27-19.741.811.47本月國外疫情趨緩外銷大幅成長所致
2022/50.41-7.54-40.122.33-35.761.381.93-
2022/40.45-14.17-45.311.91-34.731.282.07-
2022/30.5265.3-42.951.47-30.641.471.66-
2022/20.31-50.07-43.660.95-21.31.641.49-
2022/10.63-9.14-1.860.63-1.862.171.12-
2021/120.69-18.2512.198.124.872.31.04-
2021/110.8512.854.957.424.231.981.21-
2021/100.7597.36-8.836.584.141.671.43-
2021/90.38-29.45-52.125.826.091.741.85本月較去年同期減少係因船期致出貨量減少
2021/80.54-34.25-25.235.4415.981.821.77-
2021/70.8279.582.274.923.481.971.63-
2021/60.46-33.64-45.044.0828.871.961.31-
2021/50.69-15.558.263.6255.282.421.07本年營收較去年累計大幅增加主要係因出貨量增加
2021/40.82-10.4627.942.9372.962.291.13本年營收較去年累計大幅增加主要係因出貨量增加
2021/30.9163.22117.942.11100.182.111.15本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致
2021/20.56-13.03300.931.288.521.821.33本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致
2021/10.643.8629.060.6429.062.071.17-
2020/120.62-23.5241.677.7483.812.250.88本月累計營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/110.81-1.97180.717.1288.682.430.81本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/100.833.64272.296.3181.082.340.84本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/90.810.1682.75.4968.092.320.35本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/80.72-10.05154.414.6965.842.360.35本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/70.8-3.591.53.9755.952.270.36本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/60.8330.7339.063.1648.922.110.4-
2020/50.64-0.2200.982.3352.791.690.5本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/40.6452.51149.581.6928.931.20.7本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2020/30.42200.27-1.681.06-0.221.060.46-
2020/20.14-72.0-58.60.640.741.070.46本月營收較去年同期減少係因本公司產能皆在中國蘇州,因受疫情影響未完全恢復。
2020/10.514.0168.320.568.321.220.4本月營收較去年同期增加主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2019/120.4451.5217.914.21-31.80.0N/A-
2019/110.2930.027.973.77-34.970.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.262023/10.632022/10.632021/10.642020/10.5
2024/20.32023/20.322022/20.312021/20.562020/20.14
2024/30.472023/30.352022/30.522021/30.912020/30.42
2024/40.232023/40.582022/40.452021/40.822020/40.64
2024/50.582023/50.262022/50.412021/50.692020/50.64
2024/60.362023/60.582022/60.952021/60.462020/60.83
2024/70.662023/70.662022/71.012021/70.822020/70.8
2024/80.852023/80.682022/80.862021/80.542020/80.72
2024/90.762023/90.792022/90.542021/90.382020/90.8
2024/100.612023/100.342022/100.672021/100.752020/100.83
N/AN/A2023/110.272022/110.662021/110.852020/110.81
N/AN/A2023/120.552022/120.952021/120.692020/120.62
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.27%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.25-3.8513.64
24Q2 (19)0.2613.04-18.75
24Q1 (18)0.23-4.1715.0
23Q4 (17)0.249.09-33.33
23Q3 (16)0.22-31.2515.79
23Q2 (15)0.3260.014.29
23Q1 (14)0.2-44.44-41.18
22Q4 (13)0.3689.47-5.26
22Q3 (12)0.19-32.14-44.12
22Q2 (11)0.28-17.65-30.0
22Q1 (10)0.34-10.5361.9
21Q4 (9)0.3811.7640.74
21Q3 (8)0.34-15.06.25
21Q2 (7)0.490.4842.86
21Q1 (6)0.21-22.2210.53
20Q4 (5)0.27-15.62-15.62
20Q3 (4)0.3214.290.0
20Q2 (3)0.2847.370.0
20Q1 (2)0.19-40.620.0
19Q4 (1)0.320.00.0

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