玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.4534.26-19.441.2076.4725.062.59-26.0523.7276.05-43.34-19.6387.73-26.958.5250.92-48.44-20.91
24Q2 (19)1.08-44.04-15.620.68-28.426.2584.6479.4719.01134.2339.63-4.96120.1035.7734.6198.7680.09-19.79
24Q1 (18)1.9398.9793.00.9566.6786.2747.16-49.75-48.1896.13-40.07-46.3788.46-43.27-22.9454.84-44.23-64.73
23Q4 (17)0.97-46.11-50.260.57-40.63-20.8393.8585.51101.14160.4169.5126.38155.9392.8963.0298.3352.7326.16
23Q3 (16)1.8040.62-16.670.9650.028.050.59-28.8720.3794.63-33.0-22.1880.84-9.39-9.964.38-47.71-12.91
23Q2 (15)1.2828.0-34.360.6425.494.9271.12-21.8552.49141.23-21.21-5.2489.22-22.28-7.96123.12-20.8124.69
23Q1 (14)1.00-48.72-46.520.51-29.17-10.5391.0195.0586.84179.2541.2211.68114.7920.015.05155.4799.4755.58
22Q4 (13)1.95-9.72-33.670.72-4.0-12.246.6611.0250.61126.934.3813.6995.656.616.1777.945.4448.32
22Q3 (12)2.1610.7712.50.7522.9529.3142.03-9.88-11.16121.60-18.41-22.8389.72-7.45-34.7973.92-25.149.85
22Q2 (11)1.954.2836.360.617.02-12.8646.64-4.25-26.63149.04-7.1415.0496.94-11.28-27.9998.74-1.1968.76
22Q1 (10)1.87-36.393.890.57-30.49-35.2348.7157.23-3.41160.5043.7555.1109.2721.29-10.6699.9390.16216.23
21Q4 (9)2.9453.1253.930.8241.38-43.4530.98-34.52-35.04111.65-29.1478.1890.09-34.5217.3452.55-21.9156.49
21Q3 (8)1.9234.2712.280.58-17.14-75.3247.31-25.58-10.97157.5721.62306.21137.582.2241.9867.2915.0130.15
21Q2 (7)1.43-20.56-29.90.70-20.45-71.1963.5726.0642.41129.5625.2246.23134.6210.06384.9458.5185.167.75
21Q1 (6)1.80-5.7618.420.88-39.31-35.2950.435.75-15.95103.4865.1554.36122.3159.357.3531.60-5.9-35.92
20Q4 (5)1.9111.751.591.45-38.328.3247.69-10.26-34.1862.6661.54-22.2476.7890.85-39.4633.58-35.0528.17
20Q3 (4)1.71-16.180.02.35-3.290.053.1419.040.038.793.660.040.2344.920.051.70-4.790.0
20Q2 (3)2.0434.210.02.4378.680.044.64-25.60.037.42-44.180.027.76-64.290.054.3010.120.0
20Q1 (2)1.5220.630.01.3620.350.060.00-17.180.067.04-16.80.077.73-38.710.049.3188.210.0
19Q4 (1)1.260.00.01.130.00.072.450.00.080.580.00.0126.830.00.026.200.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)4.88-25.042.26-22.8774.8633.61161.1929.22132.4443.85103.6116.81
2022 (9)6.51-23.52.93-16.2956.0330.64124.7419.7892.07-7.0388.7084.75
2021 (8)8.51-21.283.50-24.8942.8927.08104.1432.9399.030.4748.01255.1
2020 (7)10.8156.894.6618.2733.75-36.378.34-15.3898.57-7.3713.52-65.47
2019 (6)6.89-31.033.94-31.052.9844.9992.5844.79106.4145.1339.1544.15
2018 (5)9.9932.675.7126.0536.54-24.5863.94-20.7373.32-22.6627.16-20.84
2017 (4)7.53-29.234.535.5948.4541.2180.66-5.1294.8032.9634.31-28.54
2016 (3)10.6424.594.2917.5334.31-19.7185.01-15.0371.3010.4148.01-38.61
2015 (2)8.5493.653.6539.3142.73-48.34100.05-28.0864.58-43.9178.20-26.7
2014 (1)4.41-45.562.62-49.0382.7183.51139.1195.85115.1356.7106.69150.27

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