玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.28-14.38-11.8325.9811.97.06N/A-
2024/92.6625.55-4.7923.714.877.242.59-
2024/82.12-14.0115.7221.0417.957.412.53-
2024/72.46-12.9724.9818.9218.217.822.4-
2024/62.8311.97-23.1916.4617.267.622.38-
2024/52.5311.6629.8513.6231.678.132.23-
2024/42.26-32.0618.1911.132.18.562.12-
2024/33.3312.6334.718.8336.28.831.89-
2024/22.9616.4460.215.537.1311.171.49配合客戶需求時程出貨致本月營收增加
2024/12.54-55.2117.432.5417.4311.191.49-
2023/125.6790.7319.1331.86-2.3811.231.35-
2023/112.9715.16-2.2126.19-6.068.351.81-
2023/102.58-7.549.7323.21-6.537.212.1-
2023/92.7952.6224.7320.63-8.246.62.49-
2023/81.83-7.14-3.5617.84-11.897.492.19-
2023/71.97-46.52-32.2316.0-12.757.62.16-
2023/63.6989.3227.6314.03-9.077.551.98-
2023/51.951.64-45.1710.35-17.536.342.36-
2023/41.92-22.5618.548.4-6.616.242.39-
2023/32.4733.96-17.956.48-12.126.482.17-
2023/21.85-14.64-4.014.01-8.18.771.6-
2023/12.16-54.57-11.322.16-11.329.971.41-
2022/124.7656.55184.6932.6418.1610.161.17配合客戶需求時程出貨致本月營收增加
2022/113.0429.24-1.9327.887.427.641.56-
2022/102.355.08-2.6624.848.696.491.83-
2022/92.2417.994.8522.4810.047.051.85-
2022/81.9-34.74-18.4920.2410.647.71.69-
2022/72.910.7240.0418.3414.99.351.39-
2022/62.89-18.6716.9215.4311.138.061.57-
2022/53.55119.7633.2212.559.888.181.55-
2022/41.62-46.41-30.969.02.786.561.93-
2022/33.0256.7225.037.3815.097.381.76-
2022/21.92-21.14-2.624.369.16.042.15-
2022/12.4445.8520.552.4420.557.221.8-
2021/121.67-46.07-48.1127.62-10.397.191.87-
2021/113.128.2829.2225.95-5.997.661.76-
2021/102.4213.2-22.3722.85-9.346.881.95-
2021/92.14-8.28-20.4620.43-7.516.542.1-
2021/82.3312.1259.2418.29-5.716.882.0因配合客戶出貨時程,本月營收較去年同期增加。
2021/72.08-15.9-39.5215.96-11.017.211.9-
2021/62.47-7.3315.9713.89-4.267.481.94-
2021/52.6713.88-22.2711.42-7.747.421.95-
2021/42.34-2.94-33.528.75-2.176.732.15-
2021/32.4122.0633.166.4118.176.412.22-
2021/21.98-2.37-2.464.010.667.221.97-
2021/12.02-37.2227.42.0227.47.651.86-
2020/123.2234.29-16.1730.836.578.741.43-
2020/112.4-22.9310.3627.6110.068.21.52-
2020/103.1215.9943.2825.210.037.261.72-
2020/92.6983.6319.0422.096.547.581.78-
2020/81.46-57.42-28.9419.45.017.031.92-
2020/73.4461.2836.217.949.278.991.5-
2020/62.13-37.9-18.6314.514.389.081.43-
2020/53.43-2.5949.3412.389.738.761.48-
2020/43.5294.43179.098.95-0.397.361.77因新冠疫情影響部分銷售遞延至本月,以及客戶委託製造業務需求增加,致本月營收較去年同期成長。
2020/31.81-10.59-20.635.43-29.725.432.35-
2020/22.0327.51-11.773.61-33.547.461.71-
2020/11.59-58.69-49.451.59-49.457.611.68-
2019/123.8576.818.3628.93-17.910.0N/A-
2019/112.180.05-23.2625.08-21.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.542023/12.162022/12.442021/12.022020/11.59
2024/22.962023/21.852022/21.922021/21.982020/22.03
2024/33.332023/32.472022/33.022021/32.412020/31.81
2024/42.262023/41.922022/41.622021/42.342020/43.52
2024/52.532023/51.952022/53.552021/52.672020/53.43
2024/62.832023/63.692022/62.892021/62.472020/62.13
2024/72.462023/71.972022/72.912021/72.082020/73.44
2024/82.122023/81.832022/81.92021/82.332020/81.46
2024/92.662023/92.792022/92.242021/92.142020/92.69
2024/102.282023/102.582022/102.352021/102.422020/103.12
N/AN/A2023/112.972022/113.042021/113.12020/112.4
N/AN/A2023/125.672022/124.762021/121.672020/123.22
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.0%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.588.9773.63
24Q2 (19)1.4531.825.84
24Q1 (18)1.1-0.94.76
23Q4 (17)1.1121.9863.24
23Q3 (16)0.91-33.587.06
23Q2 (15)1.3730.4847.31
23Q1 (14)1.0554.4190.91
22Q4 (13)0.68-20.0-5.56
22Q3 (12)0.85-8.646.55
22Q2 (11)0.9369.09-2.11
22Q1 (10)0.55-23.61-28.57
21Q4 (9)0.7224.147.46
21Q3 (8)0.58-38.95-10.77
21Q2 (7)0.9523.3850.79
21Q1 (6)0.7714.93-13.48
20Q4 (5)0.673.0819.64
20Q3 (4)0.653.170.0
20Q2 (3)0.63-29.210.0
20Q1 (2)0.8958.930.0
19Q4 (1)0.560.00.0

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