玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.932.09-6.1919.651.215.67N/A-
2024/91.892.46-10.2917.722.095.621.17-
2024/81.85-1.6-9.2515.833.816.031.09-
2024/71.88-18.67-9.5313.985.826.381.03-
2024/62.315.4626.6812.18.696.191.04-
2024/52.1929.246.569.795.165.971.08-
2024/41.69-18.91-16.687.64.775.261.23-
2024/32.0941.49-1.075.9113.125.911.09-
2024/21.48-37.07-17.113.8222.755.911.09-
2024/12.3512.5876.042.3576.046.510.99農曆年節提前出貨
2023/122.080.068.0523.58-9.016.231.04-
2023/112.081.089.3221.5-10.396.251.04-
2023/102.06-2.37-6.4319.42-12.096.211.04-
2023/92.113.65-19.1817.36-12.716.221.13-
2023/82.04-1.9-13.9515.25-11.745.931.18-
2023/72.0813.88-7.5713.21-11.395.951.18-
2023/61.82-11.28-12.8611.13-12.065.911.26-
2023/52.051.04-7.399.31-11.96.21.2-
2023/42.03-3.72-9.917.26-13.15.931.25-
2023/32.1118.55-14.665.23-14.285.231.49-
2023/21.7833.6635.173.11-14.035.051.54-
2023/11.33-31.11-42.171.33-42.175.171.5-
2022/121.931.56-9.1425.9317.916.041.39-
2022/111.9-13.49-10.0123.9920.816.721.25-
2022/102.2-15.6729.6722.0924.497.181.17-
2022/92.6110.3669.6119.8923.947.221.2外銷業績成長及新台幣匯率波動,致本月與去年同期相比營收增幅百分比達50%以上。
2022/82.375.3627.8417.2719.096.71.3-
2022/72.257.355.6414.9117.816.561.33-
2022/62.09-5.7225.7112.6620.276.571.29-
2022/52.22-1.717.2510.5719.256.951.22-
2022/42.26-8.826.378.3519.796.051.4-
2022/32.4787.7830.16.117.536.11.21-
2022/21.32-42.8121.083.6210.255.751.28-
2022/12.38.214.882.34.886.551.13-
2021/122.130.593.3821.9918.185.941.16-
2021/112.1224.6751.7719.8620.025.351.29子公司印尼中釉109/6/15停工至109/12/7才復工,孟加拉部分客戶因應今年春節年假較早,提前備料要求出貨。
2021/101.710.28-4.1317.7417.15.091.35-
2021/91.54-16.81-26.5416.0419.915.521.3-
2021/81.85-12.9229.3114.528.545.641.27-
2021/72.1327.7528.3412.6528.425.681.26-
2021/61.66-12.0638.210.5328.445.341.27-
2021/51.895.94124.218.8626.765.581.21去年受新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情影響,主要銷售國家封城,無法出貨。
2021/41.79-6.130.06.9713.394.781.42-
2021/31.974.769.355.198.615.191.27-
2021/21.09-50.46-7.353.298.195.341.23-
2021/12.26.6618.02.218.05.651.16-
2020/122.0647.6811.7918.61-18.285.231.19-
2020/111.39-21.25-26.8216.55-20.935.261.19-
2020/101.77-15.49-4.6315.15-20.345.31.18-
2020/92.146.4511.5713.38-22.045.181.17-
2020/81.43-13.58-27.811.28-26.174.291.41-
2020/71.6637.56-23.139.85-25.933.71.63-
2020/61.242.66-33.698.2-26.473.422.06-
2020/50.84-38.57-64.376.99-25.073.961.78受新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情影響,主要銷售國家封城,無法出貨。
2020/41.37-21.01-32.546.15-11.74.291.64-
2020/31.7448.05-12.234.78-3.084.781.42-
2020/21.17-36.926.823.043.064.871.4-
2020/11.861.35-7.831.86-7.835.61.21-
2019/121.84-3.62-7.522.76-8.110.0N/A-
2019/111.912.621.6920.93-8.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.352023/11.332022/12.32021/12.22020/11.86
2024/21.482023/21.782022/21.322021/21.092020/21.17
2024/32.092023/32.112022/32.472021/31.92020/31.74
2024/41.692023/42.032022/42.262021/41.792020/41.37
2024/52.192023/52.052022/52.222021/51.892020/50.84
2024/62.312023/61.822022/62.092021/61.662020/61.2
2024/71.882023/72.082022/72.252021/72.132020/71.66
2024/81.852023/82.042022/82.372021/81.852020/81.43
2024/91.892023/92.112022/92.612021/91.542020/92.1
2024/101.932023/102.062022/102.22021/101.72020/101.77
N/AN/A2023/112.082022/111.92021/112.122020/111.39
N/AN/A2023/122.082022/121.932021/122.132020/122.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.53%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.5928.2678.79
24Q2 (19)0.46-2.1376.92
24Q1 (18)0.4727.03147.37
23Q4 (17)0.3712.12164.29
23Q3 (16)0.3326.9283.33
23Q2 (15)0.2636.84160.0
23Q1 (14)0.1935.71137.5
22Q4 (13)0.14-22.2216.67
22Q3 (12)0.1880.0-45.45
22Q2 (11)0.125.0-52.38
22Q1 (10)0.08-33.33-27.27
21Q4 (9)0.12-63.64-25.0
21Q3 (8)0.3357.14200.0
21Q2 (7)0.2190.9150.0
21Q1 (6)0.11-31.2583.33
20Q4 (5)0.1645.4577.78
20Q3 (4)0.11-21.430.0
20Q2 (3)0.14133.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.06-33.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.090.00.0

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