玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.1611.268.9839.7-0.3611.76N/A-
2024/93.74-3.2-5.2535.54-1.3511.591.54-
2024/83.86-3.15-9.1931.8-0.8712.151.47-
2024/73.99-7.215.3327.930.3912.511.43-
2024/64.31.85-8.1623.95-0.3812.621.3-
2024/54.222.95-9.3119.651.4912.341.33-
2024/44.11.9110.7115.434.9211.341.45-
2024/34.0225.0-2.611.332.9711.331.49-
2024/23.22-21.26-20.657.36.3211.621.46-
2024/14.09-5.2245.214.0945.2112.881.31-
2023/124.31-3.831.5848.64-2.7512.611.4-
2023/114.4817.466.0544.32-3.1512.251.44-
2023/103.82-3.26-2.5539.84-4.0912.021.47-
2023/93.95-7.23-1.0536.02-4.2511.991.55-
2023/84.2512.337.6432.08-4.6312.721.46-
2023/73.79-19.11.9527.82-6.2613.121.41-
2023/64.680.57-10.0924.04-7.4413.041.45-
2023/54.6525.79.6519.36-6.7712.491.52-
2023/43.7-10.34-6.4314.7-10.9911.891.59-
2023/34.131.83-10.6211.0-12.4311.01.73-
2023/24.0644.11-5.16.87-13.4911.111.72-
2023/12.81-33.69-23.262.81-23.2611.291.69-
2022/124.240.4-17.8750.01-6.1712.391.51-
2022/114.237.91-28.2145.77-4.9112.131.55-
2022/103.92-1.77-16.1941.54-1.6611.861.58-
2022/93.990.925.4337.620.1311.651.51-
2022/83.956.39-8.533.64-0.4512.871.37-
2022/73.71-28.66-8.5929.680.7213.161.34-
2022/65.2122.6630.1425.972.2113.411.21-
2022/54.247.25-15.0620.76-3.012.821.27-
2022/43.96-14.35-13.0416.520.6612.851.27-
2022/34.628.123.212.565.9312.561.27-
2022/24.2716.5232.517.947.5813.111.22-
2022/13.67-29.03-11.753.67-11.7514.721.08-
2021/125.17-12.2315.8853.34.5515.731.01-
2021/115.8925.9723.5348.143.4614.351.11-
2021/104.6723.5813.7342.251.1712.781.24-
2021/93.78-12.42-32.2937.57-0.1912.171.35-
2021/84.326.2817.6733.795.3912.381.33-
2021/74.061.58-4.0129.473.8113.061.26-
2021/64.0-19.94-12.6325.415.1813.551.15-
2021/55.09.836.4621.419.3514.021.11-
2021/44.551.6419.4416.413.1112.251.27-
2021/34.4838.82-11.3511.86-2.0311.861.3-
2021/23.22-22.41-13.877.384.6411.841.3-
2021/14.16-6.825.614.1625.6113.381.15-
2020/124.46-6.44-17.5950.98-7.813.341.19-
2020/114.7715.98-10.1946.52-6.7414.461.1-
2020/104.11-26.43-8.2541.76-6.3313.371.18-
2020/95.5952.213.7237.65-6.1213.491.37-
2020/83.67-13.3-19.7732.06-7.6512.481.48-
2020/74.23-7.54-12.6128.39-5.8112.471.48-
2020/64.5825.0511.0824.16-4.512.051.62-
2020/53.66-3.88-21.6919.58-7.5412.521.56-
2020/43.81-24.56-16.215.91-3.5212.611.55-
2020/35.0534.878.6712.11.2912.11.63-
2020/23.7413.1720.157.05-3.412.471.58-
2020/13.31-38.86-20.943.31-20.9414.031.4-
2019/125.411.956.6255.31.110.0N/A-
2019/115.3118.480.8849.890.550.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.092023/12.812022/13.672021/14.162020/13.31
2024/23.222023/24.062022/24.272021/23.222020/23.74
2024/34.022023/34.132022/34.622021/34.482020/35.05
2024/44.12023/43.72022/43.962021/44.552020/43.81
2024/54.222023/54.652022/54.242021/55.02020/53.66
2024/64.32023/64.682022/65.212021/64.02020/64.58
2024/73.992023/73.792022/73.712021/74.062020/74.23
2024/83.862023/84.252022/83.952021/84.322020/83.67
2024/93.742023/93.952022/93.992021/93.782020/95.59
2024/104.162023/103.822022/103.922021/104.672020/104.11
N/AN/A2023/114.482022/114.232021/115.892020/114.77
N/AN/A2023/124.312022/124.242021/125.172020/124.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.04%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.92-3.169.52
24Q2 (19)0.95-91.8510.47
24Q1 (18)11.661.571357.5
23Q4 (17)11.481266.671390.91
23Q3 (16)0.84-2.330
23Q2 (15)0.867.517.81
23Q1 (14)0.83.90
22Q4 (13)0.7700

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