玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1043.448.597.91394.512.61122.37N/A-0.12-0.16-
2024/940.02.74-1.16351.071.99117.120.32-0.12-0.04-
2024/838.931.94-3.16311.062.41117.660.32-0.070.08-
2024/738.19-5.87.21272.133.26122.20.31-0.020.13-
2024/640.54-6.739.42233.952.64125.920.240.060.15-
2024/543.473.727.22193.41.33125.50.240.030.09-
2024/441.914.47-0.03149.93-0.25109.20.280.010.05-
2024/340.1147.61-5.1108.02-0.33108.020.340.060.04-
2024/227.18-33.28-26.9567.912.71109.850.330.0-0.01-
2024/140.73-2.8940.940.7340.9121.850.3-0.01-0.01-
2023/1241.957.08-3.59465.58-12.02121.370.25-0.02-0.62-
2023/1139.17-2.69-10.08423.63-12.78119.90.260.04-0.59-
2023/1040.26-0.53-14.48384.46-13.04120.930.250.09-0.66-
2023/940.470.66-11.77344.2-12.87116.290.30.02-0.75-
2023/840.212.88-9.05303.73-13.02112.870.31-0.05-0.76-
2023/735.62-3.87-4.61263.53-13.59113.210.31-0.04-0.69-
2023/637.05-8.61-19.48227.91-14.85119.520.28-0.07-0.65-
2023/540.54-3.29-4.88190.86-13.88124.750.27-0.03-0.58-
2023/441.93-0.82-3.71150.32-16.03121.410.27-0.11-0.55-
2023/342.2713.62-22.29108.39-19.99108.390.39-0.0-0.44-
2023/237.2128.77.1666.11-18.45109.630.38-0.22-0.44-
2023/128.91-33.56-37.6328.91-37.63115.980.36-0.22-0.22-
2022/1243.51-0.11-16.89529.23-6.44134.150.35-0.16-0.62-
2022/1143.56-7.45-18.25485.72-5.38136.510.34-0.2-0.45-
2022/1047.072.61-10.77442.15-3.89137.150.34-0.13-0.25-
2022/945.873.77-11.09395.08-2.99127.420.39-0.16-0.12-
2022/844.2118.38-18.57349.21-1.82127.560.39-0.180.04-
2022/737.34-18.85-25.87305.01.19125.980.4-0.090.24-
2022/646.027.95-6.55267.666.62132.190.370.170.33-
2022/542.63-2.1-18.22221.649.84140.570.350.040.16-
2022/443.54-19.9614.18179.0219.61132.660.370.070.1-
2022/354.456.6967.12135.4721.46135.470.430.060.04大陸工紙增加銷售量
2022/234.72-25.16.7681.072.65133.430.44-0.04-0.03-
2022/146.35-11.46-0.2246.35-0.22152.010.380.020.02-
2021/1252.36-1.7518.45565.736.47158.410.40.092.38-
2021/1153.291.0123.77513.3438.62157.650.40.252.29-
2021/1052.762.2526.22460.0540.58158.640.40.242.03-
2021/951.6-4.9523.14407.2942.68156.260.280.151.79-
2021/854.297.7740.55355.6946.04153.910.280.111.65-
2021/750.372.2830.42301.4147.08151.740.280.241.54-
2021/649.25-5.5139.35251.0350.95139.50.280.441.3大陸工紙增加銷售量
2021/552.1236.6860.98201.7954.08122.810.320.240.87大陸工紙增加銷售量
2021/438.1317.1431.27149.6651.81103.210.380.140.64因去年受大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響,本公司大陸子公司配合當地政府防疫要求停工,故今年營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/332.550.134.81111.5360.39111.530.480.150.51因去年受大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響,本公司大陸子公司配合當地政府防疫要求停工,故今年營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/232.52-30.0118.3878.9874.0123.180.430.120.36因去年受大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響,本公司之大陸子公司配合當地政府防疫要求停工,故今年營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/146.465.152.3346.4652.33133.710.40.230.23主係109年1月適逢農曆春節,工作天數較少,使110年1月營業收入較去年同期大幅成長。
2020/1244.22.66-0.02414.5-13.01129.050.290.190.84-
2020/1143.053.01.19370.3-14.33126.750.290.190.65-
2020/1041.8-0.245.09327.24-16.03122.320.30.140.46-
2020/941.98.474.65285.44-18.43119.140.310.10.32-
2020/838.620.0-0.02243.55-21.41112.580.330.080.22-
2020/738.629.28-1.66204.92-24.46106.340.350.130.14-
2020/635.349.14-5.79166.3-28.3296.770.310.060.01-
2020/532.3811.45-16.97130.96-32.6685.570.35-0.07-0.05-
2020/429.0520.3-30.0298.58-36.668.090.44-0.040.03-
2020/324.1562.15-39.5669.53-39.069.530.60.090.07-
2020/214.89-51.17-51.4745.39-38.6989.60.47-0.05-0.02受大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響,本公司之大陸子公司配合當地政府防疫要求展延復工,致使營收較去年同期減少。
2020/130.5-31.02-29.6530.5-29.65117.260.360.040.04-
2019/1244.213.912.51476.49-8.650.0N/A0.120.26-
2019/1142.556.982.71432.28-9.660.0N/A0.110.14-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/140.732023/128.912022/146.352021/146.462020/130.5
2024/227.182023/237.212022/234.722021/232.522020/214.89
2024/340.112023/342.272022/354.42021/332.552020/324.15
2024/441.912023/441.932022/443.542021/438.132020/429.05
2024/543.472023/540.542022/542.632021/552.122020/532.38
2024/640.542023/637.052022/646.022021/649.252020/635.34
2024/738.192023/735.622022/737.342021/750.372020/738.62
2024/838.932023/840.22022/844.212021/854.292020/838.62
2024/940.02023/940.472022/945.872021/951.62020/941.9
2024/1043.442023/1040.262022/1047.072021/1052.762020/1041.8
N/AN/A2023/1139.172022/1143.562021/1153.292020/1143.05
N/AN/A2023/1241.952022/1243.512021/1252.362020/1244.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.61%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.1414.448.08
24Q2 (19)1.8738.52110.11
24Q1 (18)1.3551.69-14.56
23Q4 (17)0.89-55.05-37.76
23Q3 (16)1.98122.4713.14
23Q2 (15)0.89-43.67-31.54
23Q1 (14)1.5810.49-1.86
22Q4 (13)1.43-18.2914.4
22Q3 (12)1.7534.62-39.02
22Q2 (11)1.3-19.250.78
22Q1 (10)1.6128.8172.88
21Q4 (9)1.25-56.45495.24
21Q3 (8)2.87122.4848.7
21Q2 (7)1.29118.64-11.64
21Q1 (6)0.59180.95-52.42
20Q4 (5)0.21-89.12-84.78
20Q3 (4)1.9332.190.0
20Q2 (3)1.4617.740.0
20Q1 (2)1.24-10.140.0
19Q4 (1)1.380.00.0

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