玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10279.44.45-3.823018.82-0.69842.83N/A0.010.24-
2024/9267.48-9.62-9.22739.42-0.36856.161.29-
2024/8295.951.1-3.122471.940.7888.251.24-
2024/7292.73-2.283.722175.991.24911.441.21-
2024/6299.57-6.13-0.861883.260.86945.721.24-
2024/5319.14-2.4-2.581583.71.2974.741.21-
2024/4327.02-0.470.991264.562.2945.251.24-
2024/3328.5813.44-2.92937.542.63937.541.31-
2024/2289.65-9.28-7.32608.965.9903.751.360.010.05-
2024/1319.318.3121.66319.3121.66912.731.340.040.04-
2023/12294.79-1.28-4.813633.26-19.18883.941.360.060.29-
2023/11298.632.79-6.733338.47-20.24883.741.360.060.23-
2023/10290.52-1.37-10.293039.84-21.36890.611.350.050.17-
2023/9294.59-3.57-1.512749.32-22.37882.291.370.030.12-
2023/8305.58.25-15.772454.74-24.3889.881.350.00.08-
2023/7282.21-6.6-27.932149.23-25.37911.981.32-0.030.08-
2023/6302.17-7.76-32.461867.03-24.97953.571.32-0.00.11-
2023/5327.611.17-24.651564.86-23.33989.871.270.050.11-
2023/4323.79-4.33-28.691237.25-22.97974.811.290.060.06-
2023/3338.478.29-18.75913.46-20.71913.461.430.06-0.0-
2023/2312.5519.08-6.76574.99-21.82884.71.480.0-0.06-
2023/1262.45-15.26-34.43262.45-34.43892.341.46-0.07-0.07-
2022/12309.71-3.26-24.454495.67-4.0953.771.38-0.191.47-
2022/11320.18-1.14-29.294185.96-2.04943.181.39-0.181.66-
2022/10323.888.27-25.023865.781.18985.711.33-0.091.84-
2022/9299.13-17.52-28.743541.94.521053.41.39-0.091.93-
2022/8362.7-7.37-13.043242.789.231201.731.220.022.02-
2022/7391.58-12.48-6.52880.0712.871273.851.150.172.0-
2022/6447.452.915.252488.516.681336.381.140.271.83-
2022/5434.83-4.249.472041.0517.01305.561.170.281.56-
2022/4454.18.9923.041606.2219.211205.951.270.361.28-
2022/3416.6324.2812.921152.1217.771152.121.220.310.92-
2022/2335.22-16.2511.33735.4920.711145.481.230.270.61-
2022/1400.28-2.3629.88400.2829.881263.091.110.350.35-
2021/12409.99-9.4533.944683.2948.771294.811.00.385.35-
2021/11452.824.8251.394273.350.371304.630.990.54.97鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價較去年同期增加所致
2021/10431.992.959.473820.4750.251268.951.020.554.47鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價較去年同期增加所致。
2021/9419.820.6460.673388.4849.151255.780.980.573.93鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價及數量較去年同月增加所致。
2021/8417.13-0.461.472968.6647.651224.21.00.553.36鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價及數量較去年同月增加所致。
2021/7418.837.8869.642551.5345.621204.251.020.582.81鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價及數量較去年同月增加所致。
2021/6388.24-2.2562.322132.741.681154.480.870.532.23鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價及數量較去年同月增加所致。
2021/5397.187.6270.771744.4637.781135.190.880.481.71鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價及數量較去年同月增加所致。
2021/4369.060.0345.11347.2830.351039.090.970.391.22-
2021/3368.9522.5432.93978.2225.54978.220.90.360.83-
2021/2301.08-2.315.53609.2721.45915.340.960.240.47-
2021/1308.180.6827.86308.1827.86913.360.960.230.23-
2020/12306.082.335.163147.83-14.05876.060.870.160.18-
2020/11299.0910.418.152841.76-15.7831.260.920.150.01-
2020/10270.893.67-2.122542.66-17.84790.490.960.09-0.14-
2020/9261.281.14-9.682271.77-19.38766.491.050.03-0.22-
2020/8258.324.63-16.662010.5-20.49744.391.080.01-0.25-
2020/7246.893.22-19.751752.17-21.02718.641.12-0.02-0.26-
2020/6239.182.83-18.51505.28-21.23726.091.24-0.01-0.24-
2020/5232.57-8.55-28.141266.1-21.73764.461.18-0.03-0.23-
2020/4254.34-8.36-23.311033.53-20.12792.51.14-0.03-0.19-
2020/3277.556.49-15.73779.19-19.02779.191.24-0.03-0.16-
2020/2260.618.12-4.23501.64-20.73792.681.22-0.05-0.13-
2020/1241.03-17.18-33.19241.03-33.19808.61.19-0.08-0.08-
2019/12291.045.24-12.463662.41-8.590.0N/A-0.060.81-
2019/11276.53-0.08-19.923371.37-8.240.0N/A-0.020.88-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1319.312023/1262.452022/1400.282021/1308.182020/1241.03
2024/2289.652023/2312.552022/2335.222021/2301.082020/2260.61
2024/3328.582023/3338.472022/3416.632021/3368.952020/3277.55
2024/4327.022023/4323.792022/4454.12021/4369.062020/4254.34
2024/5319.142023/5327.612022/5434.832021/5397.182020/5232.57
2024/6299.572023/6302.172022/6447.452021/6388.242020/6239.18
2024/7292.732023/7282.212022/7391.582021/7418.832020/7246.89
2024/8295.952023/8305.52022/8362.72021/8417.132020/8258.32
2024/9267.482023/9294.592022/9299.132021/9419.822020/9261.28
2024/10279.42023/10290.522022/10323.882021/10431.992020/10270.89
N/AN/A2023/11298.632022/11320.182021/11452.822020/11299.09
N/AN/A2023/12294.792022/12309.712021/12409.992020/12306.08
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)52.57.7821.92
24Q2 (19)48.719.6623.54
24Q1 (18)44.4214.96-7.21
23Q4 (17)38.64-10.26-10.08
23Q3 (16)43.069.21-8.36
23Q2 (15)39.43-17.63-13.15
23Q1 (14)47.8711.4-25.41
22Q4 (13)42.97-8.56-20.2
22Q3 (12)46.993.5-33.09
22Q2 (11)45.4-29.26-33.28
22Q1 (10)64.1819.189.39
21Q4 (9)53.85-23.32-3.23
21Q3 (8)70.233.236.45
21Q2 (7)68.0515.9930.79
21Q1 (6)58.675.43-6.72
20Q4 (5)55.658.12-10.3
20Q3 (4)51.47-1.080.0
20Q2 (3)52.03-17.280.0
20Q1 (2)62.91.390.0
19Q4 (1)62.040.00.0

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