玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1045.620.43-12.75497.87-0.78143.94N/A-
2024/945.42-14.14-15.42452.250.6148.931.29-
2024/852.94.53-1.29406.832.77154.491.24-
2024/750.61-0.726.07353.933.41153.291.25-
2024/650.98-1.4-2.86303.322.98154.771.25-
2024/551.7-0.74-8.07252.354.24159.841.22-
2024/452.09-7.045.03200.647.98145.561.33-
2024/356.0449.730.66148.559.05148.551.33-
2024/237.43-32.05-16.9892.5114.84151.41.31-
2024/155.08-6.4655.3155.0855.31168.851.17本月及累計合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係112年1月為農曆春節月份,致出貨工作天數不同進而影響營業收入。
2023/1258.897.36.66615.62.24166.051.2-
2023/1154.884.9530.02556.711.79160.871.24-
2023/1052.29-2.6314.5501.83-0.56159.581.25-
2023/953.70.214.48449.55-2.06155.011.27-
2023/853.612.336.56395.85-3.94153.791.28-
2023/747.71-9.08-1.16342.25-5.4156.441.26-
2023/652.48-6.69-0.65294.54-6.05158.321.19-
2023/556.2513.48.7242.06-7.15161.511.16-
2023/449.6-10.9-13.11185.81-11.08150.351.25-
2023/355.6723.47-8.66136.22-10.31136.221.37-
2023/245.0827.1110.6380.55-11.42135.761.37-
2023/135.47-35.75-29.3335.47-29.33132.881.4-
2022/1255.2130.8-4.31602.093.25143.081.32-
2022/1142.21-7.57-19.58546.884.08134.781.4-
2022/1045.66-2.65-13.76504.686.71142.871.32-
2022/946.91-6.730.46459.019.29145.481.39-
2022/850.34.199.18412.110.4151.391.33-
2022/748.27-8.61-2.13361.8110.57152.841.32-
2022/652.822.098.25313.5312.82161.651.33-
2022/551.74-9.354.11260.7113.8169.771.26-
2022/457.08-6.3412.56208.9716.48158.781.35-
2022/360.9549.5622.63151.8918.03151.891.33-
2022/240.75-18.827.4990.9415.13148.641.36-
2022/150.19-13.016.7350.196.73160.371.26-
2021/1257.79.9217.43583.135.9163.141.26-
2021/1152.49-0.8831.76525.4138.29152.131.35-
2021/1052.9613.4135.28472.9239.05145.711.41-
2021/946.691.3626.52419.9639.54142.081.39-
2021/846.06-6.6144.09373.2741.36144.181.37-
2021/749.321.0840.29327.2140.99147.821.34-
2021/648.8-1.843.13277.8841.11149.21.14-
2021/549.7-2.054.94229.0940.69150.111.14本公司受國際鋼價走揚及市場需求影響,銷售價格及數量均較為成長;子公司-東鋼越南自有品牌發酵後帶動訂單挹注,營收穩定成長。
2021/450.712.0446.65179.3937.19132.371.29-
2021/349.755.4833.83128.6833.79128.681.18-
2021/231.96-32.020.578.9833.77128.121.19-
2021/147.02-4.2972.5647.0272.56135.991.12本公司本月營收主係受工作日較長影響,故銷售數量較去年同期增加及子公司營收持續穩定成長所致。
2020/1249.1323.3426.25429.06-4.68128.110.95-
2020/1139.831.7610.5379.92-7.61115.881.06-
2020/1039.146.065.99340.09-9.35108.011.13-
2020/936.915.436.74300.95-11.03104.031.26-
2020/831.97-9.07-11.53264.05-13.05101.221.29-
2020/735.163.12-0.73232.08-13.26101.321.29-
2020/634.096.28-12.9196.92-15.17100.741.34-
2020/532.07-7.24-23.6162.83-15.63103.791.3-
2020/434.58-6.87-3.79130.76-13.42103.511.31-
2020/337.1316.76-17.8596.18-16.4296.181.45-
2020/231.816.72.5159.04-15.4997.961.42-
2020/127.25-29.98-29.8627.25-29.86102.211.37-
2019/1238.927.954.46450.1712.90.0N/A-
2019/1136.05-2.3824.47411.2513.770.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/155.082023/135.472022/150.192021/147.022020/127.25
2024/237.432023/245.082022/240.752021/231.962020/231.8
2024/356.042023/355.672022/360.952021/349.72020/337.13
2024/452.092023/449.62022/457.082021/450.712020/434.58
2024/551.72023/556.252022/551.742021/549.72020/532.07
2024/650.982023/652.482022/652.822021/648.82020/634.09
2024/750.612023/747.712022/748.272021/749.322020/735.16
2024/852.92023/853.62022/850.32021/846.062020/831.97
2024/945.422023/953.72022/946.912021/946.692020/936.9
2024/1045.622023/1052.292022/1045.662021/1052.962020/1039.14
N/AN/A2023/1154.882022/1142.212021/1152.492020/1139.83
N/AN/A2023/1258.892022/1255.212021/1257.72020/1249.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 51.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)37.457.1515.87
24Q2 (19)34.9516.2317.16
24Q1 (18)30.070.52.28
23Q4 (17)29.92-7.434.65
23Q3 (16)32.328.3517.27
23Q2 (15)29.831.467.57
23Q1 (14)29.42.838.89
22Q4 (13)28.593.7412.87
22Q3 (12)27.56-0.610.84
22Q2 (11)27.732.720.41
22Q1 (10)27.06.5943.62
21Q4 (9)25.33-7.3260.01
21Q3 (8)27.3318.6794.24
21Q2 (7)23.0322.5113.24
21Q1 (6)18.818.76105.91
20Q4 (5)15.8312.5179.07
20Q3 (4)14.0730.280.0
20Q2 (3)10.818.290.0
20Q1 (2)9.133.280.0
19Q4 (1)8.840.00.0

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