玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1020.464.55-31.61260.6-17.6661.93N/A-
2024/919.57-10.66-37.67240.14-16.267.051.2-
2024/821.9-14.38-31.61220.57-13.5674.981.08-
2024/725.58-6.95-16.34198.67-10.9779.661.01-
2024/627.53.45-1.56173.08-10.1281.61.05-
2024/526.58-3.45-17.12145.59-11.5783.191.03-
2024/427.53-5.34-26.28119.01-10.2387.020.98-
2024/329.08-4.35-19.3591.48-3.9491.481.04-
2024/230.41-4.94-5.3462.45.4493.641.02-
2024/131.992.418.2631.9918.2693.121.02-
2023/1231.244.4827.78377.64-15.1491.050.94-
2023/1129.9-0.060.53346.4-17.6391.210.94-
2023/1029.92-4.78.19316.51-19.0293.340.92-
2023/931.39-1.9816.91286.59-21.0994.01.06-
2023/832.034.7339.07255.2-24.1290.541.1-
2023/730.589.485.79223.17-28.7790.581.1-
2023/627.93-12.91-40.04192.59-32.2897.351.05-
2023/532.07-14.11-41.44164.66-30.76105.480.97-
2023/437.353.55-36.64132.58-27.57105.530.97-
2023/336.0612.25-26.0495.24-23.2595.241.01-
2023/232.1318.76-14.6959.18-21.4583.621.15-
2023/127.0510.65-28.227.05-28.281.231.18-
2022/1224.45-17.79-38.27445.03-17.1981.831.19-
2022/1129.747.54-38.22420.59-15.5184.241.16-
2022/1027.652.97-45.85390.85-13.0877.531.26-
2022/926.8516.59-47.26363.2-8.8878.791.3-
2022/823.03-20.32-56.88336.35-3.2698.531.04本月銷售量及售價皆較去年同月下降,致營業收入減少。
2022/728.91-37.95-44.42313.326.46130.270.78-
2022/646.59-14.93-3.63284.4117.39160.310.77-
2022/554.77-7.0820.34237.8222.63162.480.76-
2022/458.9520.8846.94183.0523.33145.370.85-
2022/348.7629.4823.53124.114.58124.11.01-
2022/237.66-0.045.4475.349.45114.941.09-
2022/137.68-4.8613.7737.6813.77125.420.99-
2021/1239.6-17.7221.17537.4446.08138.810.92-
2021/1148.14-5.7452.94497.8448.51150.120.85本月售價較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/1051.070.2960.5449.748.05155.410.82本月售價較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/950.92-4.6749.08398.6346.59156.350.61-
2021/853.422.6966.04347.7146.23153.780.62本月售價較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/752.027.5999.22294.343.13145.870.65本月售價較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/648.356.2362.43242.2834.97133.970.45本月售價較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/545.5113.4494.79193.9329.52125.10.49本月銷售量及售價皆較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/440.121.6258.08148.4217.45115.30.53本月銷售量及售價皆較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/339.4710.5221.05108.317.24108.310.46-
2021/235.717.846.1668.830.65101.510.49-
2021/133.121.32-4.6733.12-4.6797.270.51-
2020/1232.683.8427.88367.9-9.0995.970.44-
2020/1131.47-1.0830.65335.22-11.5897.450.43-
2020/1031.82-6.8436.99303.75-14.4598.140.43-
2020/934.166.1630.61271.93-18.0592.440.49-
2020/832.1723.21-4.76237.77-22.2188.040.52-
2020/726.11-12.28-27.27205.6-24.3879.240.57-
2020/629.7627.39-2.03179.49-23.9478.50.67-
2020/523.36-7.93-45.29149.73-27.1881.350.65-
2020/425.38-22.17-41.07126.37-22.4291.620.57-
2020/332.61-3.07-28.19100.99-15.72100.990.67-
2020/233.64-3.170.668.38-8.1293.940.72-
2020/134.7435.93-15.2334.74-15.2384.390.8-
2019/1225.566.09-29.33404.7-16.10.0N/A-
2019/1124.093.72-38.98379.14-15.030.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/131.992023/127.052022/137.682021/133.122020/134.74
2024/230.412023/232.132022/237.662021/235.712020/233.64
2024/329.082023/336.062022/348.762021/339.472020/332.61
2024/427.532023/437.352022/458.952021/440.122020/425.38
2024/526.582023/532.072022/554.772021/545.512020/523.36
2024/627.52023/627.932022/646.592021/648.352020/629.76
2024/725.582023/730.582022/728.912021/752.022020/726.11
2024/821.92023/832.032022/823.032021/853.422020/832.17
2024/919.572023/931.392022/926.852021/950.922020/934.16
2024/1020.462023/1029.922022/1027.652021/1051.072020/1031.82
N/AN/A2023/1129.92022/1129.742021/1148.142020/1131.47
N/AN/A2023/1231.242022/1224.452021/1239.62020/1232.68
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.48-36.842.13
24Q2 (19)0.7640.74192.31
24Q1 (18)0.5435.0-14.29
23Q4 (17)0.4-14.89-60.78
23Q3 (16)0.4780.77-66.67
23Q2 (15)0.26-58.73-87.5
23Q1 (14)0.63-38.24-77.26
22Q4 (13)1.02-27.667.37
22Q3 (12)1.41-32.2163.95
22Q2 (11)2.08-24.91197.14
22Q1 (10)2.77191.5887.16
21Q4 (9)0.9510.4766.67
21Q3 (8)0.8622.8650.88
21Q2 (7)0.7-52.7180.0
21Q1 (6)1.48159.65190.2
20Q4 (5)0.570.0-80.0
20Q3 (4)0.57128.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.25-50.980.0
20Q1 (2)0.51-82.110.0
19Q4 (1)2.850.00.0

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